Association of "a body shape index" with the risk of developing colorectal cancer in U.S. patients with metabolic syndrome: evidence from the NHANES 1999-2018.

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third most common cancer worldwide and presents a significant challenge to public health. Metabolic syndrome (MetS) is a condition that is predominantly characterized by abdominal obesity and metabolic abnormalities such as hypertension, hyperglycemia, and hyperlipidemia, and it is one of the critical risk factors for CRC. Traditional anthropometric measures have limitations in accurately assessing the risk associated with abdominal obesity. This study aimed to investigate the association between "A Body Shape Index" (ABSI) and the risk of developing CRC among individuals with MetS utilizing data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). This cross-sectional study conducted a statistical analysis of all adult participants who met the diagnostic criteria for MetS in the NHANES data from 1999 to 2018. The ABSI was calculated to quantify abdominal obesity. ABSI is derived from a formula that incorporates waist circumference (WC), body mass index (BMI), and height, and is calculated as ABSI = WC / (BMI^(2/3) × Height^(1/2)). Multivariate logistic regression modeling was used to examine the independent association between ABSI and CRC incidence. Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves were employed to analyze the ability of ABSI compared to traditional metrics in identifying CRC risk. This study involved 16,018 MetS patients with a mean age of 51.8 years, of whom 50.3% were male and 49.7% were female. Logistic regression adjusted for confounders revealed a significant association between an elevated ABSI and an increased risk of developing CRC (odds ratio (OR): 1.433, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.116 to 1.841; P = 0.005). ROC analyses confirmed that the predictive accuracy of the ABSI for the risk of developing CRC area under the curve (AUC): (0.668, 95% CI: 0.624 to 0.713) surpassed that of traditional measurement methods. Among individuals with MetS, the ABSI is linked to an elevated risk of developing CRC. Compared with traditional anthropometric indices, the ABSI is a superior predictive marker for the risk of developing CRC.

Kurexi A ，Peng J ，Yao J ，Wang L ，Wang Q ... -  《BMC GASTROENTEROLOGY》

Utility of Anthropometric Indexes for Detecting Metabolic Syndrome in Resource-Limited Regions of Northwestern China: Cross-Sectional Study.

Anthropometric indexes offer a practical approach to identifying metabolic syndrome (MetS) and its components. However, there is a scarcity of research on anthropometric indexes tailored to predict MetS in populations from resource-limited regions. This study aimed to examine the association between 8 easy-to-collect anthropometric indexes and MetS, and determine the most appropriate indexes to identify the presence of MetS for adults in resource-limited areas. A total of 10,520 participants aged 18-85 years from Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, China, were included in this cross-sectional study. Participants were recruited through a stratified sampling approach from January 1, 2020, to December 31, 2021. MetS was defined using the International Diabetes Federation (IDF) criteria. Eight anthropometric indexes were examined, including BMI, waist-to-height ratio (WHtR), weight-adjusted waist index (WWI), conicity index, a body shape index (ABSI), lipid accumulation products (LAP), visceral obesity index (VAI), and the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index. Logistic regression analysis and restricted cubic splines (RCSs) were applied to identify the association between the anthropometric indexes. The receiver operating characteristic curve and the area under the curve (AUC) were analyzed to identify and compare the discriminative power of anthropometric indexes in identifying MetS. The Youden index was used to determine a range of optimal diagnostic thresholds. Logistic regression analysis was applied to identify the association between the anthropometric indexes. A total of 3324 (31.60%) participants were diagnosed with MetS. After adjusting for age, ethnicity, current residence, education level, habitual alcohol consumption, and tobacco use, all the 8 indexes were positively correlated with the risks of MetS (P<.05). LAP presented the highest adjusted odds ratios (adjOR 35.69, 95% CI 34.59-36.80), followed by WHtR (adjOR 29.27, 95% CI 28.00-30.55), conicity index (adjOR 11.58, 95% CI 10.95-12.22), TyG index (adjOR 5.53, 95% CI 5.07-6.04), BMI (adjOR 3.88, 95% CI 3.71-4.05), WWI (adjOR 3.23, 95% CI 3.02-3.46), VAI (adjOR 2.11, 95% CI 2.02-2.20), and ABSI (adjOR 1.71, 95% CI 1.62-1.80). Significantly nonlinear associations between the 8 indexes and the risk of MetS (all Pnonlinear<.001) were observed in the RCSs. WHtR was the strongest predictor of MetS for males (AUC 0.91, 95% CI 0.90-0.92; optimal cutoff 0.53). LAP were the strongest predictor of MetS for females (AUC 0.89, 95% CI 0.89-0.90; optimal cutoff 28.67). Statistical differences were present between WHtR and all other 7 anthropometric indexes among males and overall (all P<.05). In females, the AUC values between LAP and BMI, WWI, ABSI, conicity index, VAI, and TyG index were significantly different (P<.001). No statistical difference was observed between LAP and WHtR among females. According to 8 anthropometric and lipid-related indices, it is suggested that WHtR and LAP are the most appropriate indexes for identifying the presence of MetS in resource-limited areas.

Yang D ，Ma L ，Cheng Y ，Shi H ，Liu Y ，Shi C ... -  《JMIR Public Health and Surveillance》

Comparison of Two Modern Survival Prediction Tools, SORG-MLA and METSSS, in Patients With Symptomatic Long-bone Metastases Who Underwent Local Treatment With Surgery Followed by Radiotherapy and With Radiotherapy Alone.

Survival estimation for patients with symptomatic skeletal metastases ideally should be made before a type of local treatment has already been determined. Currently available survival prediction tools, however, were generated using data from patients treated either operatively or with local radiation alone, raising concerns about whether they would generalize well to all patients presenting for assessment. The Skeletal Oncology Research Group machine-learning algorithm (SORG-MLA), trained with institution-based data of surgically treated patients, and the Metastases location, Elderly, Tumor primary, Sex, Sickness/comorbidity, and Site of radiotherapy model (METSSS), trained with registry-based data of patients treated with radiotherapy alone, are two of the most recently developed survival prediction models, but they have not been tested on patients whose local treatment strategy is not yet decided. (1) Which of these two survival prediction models performed better in a mixed cohort made up both of patients who received local treatment with surgery followed by radiotherapy and who had radiation alone for symptomatic bone metastases? (2) Which model performed better among patients whose local treatment consisted of only palliative radiotherapy? (3) Are laboratory values used by SORG-MLA, which are not included in METSSS, independently associated with survival after controlling for predictions made by METSSS? Between 2010 and 2018, we provided local treatment for 2113 adult patients with skeletal metastases in the extremities at an urban tertiary referral academic medical center using one of two strategies: (1) surgery followed by postoperative radiotherapy or (2) palliative radiotherapy alone. Every patient's survivorship status was ascertained either by their medical records or the national death registry from the Taiwanese National Health Insurance Administration. After applying a priori designated exclusion criteria, 91% (1920) were analyzed here. Among them, 48% (920) of the patients were female, and the median (IQR) age was 62 years (53 to 70 years). Lung was the most common primary tumor site (41% [782]), and 59% (1128) of patients had other skeletal metastases in addition to the treated lesion(s). In general, the indications for surgery were the presence of a complete pathologic fracture or an impending pathologic fracture, defined as having a Mirels score of ≥ 9, in patients with an American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification of less than or equal to IV and who were considered fit for surgery. The indications for radiotherapy were relief of pain, local tumor control, prevention of skeletal-related events, and any combination of the above. In all, 84% (1610) of the patients received palliative radiotherapy alone as local treatment for the target lesion(s), and 16% (310) underwent surgery followed by postoperative radiotherapy. Neither METSSS nor SORG-MLA was used at the point of care to aid clinical decision-making during the treatment period. Survival was retrospectively estimated by these two models to test their potential for providing survival probabilities. We first compared SORG to METSSS in the entire population. Then, we repeated the comparison in patients who received local treatment with palliative radiation alone. We assessed model performance by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), calibration analysis, Brier score, and decision curve analysis (DCA). The AUROC measures discrimination, which is the ability to distinguish patients with the event of interest (such as death at a particular time point) from those without. AUROC typically ranges from 0.5 to 1.0, with 0.5 indicating random guessing and 1.0 a perfect prediction, and in general, an AUROC of ≥ 0.7 indicates adequate discrimination for clinical use. Calibration refers to the agreement between the predicted outcomes (in this case, survival probabilities) and the actual outcomes, with a perfect calibration curve having an intercept of 0 and a slope of 1. A positive intercept indicates that the actual survival is generally underestimated by the prediction model, and a negative intercept suggests the opposite (overestimation). When comparing models, an intercept closer to 0 typically indicates better calibration. Calibration can also be summarized as log(O:E), the logarithm scale of the ratio of observed (O) to expected (E) survivors. A log(O:E) > 0 signals an underestimation (the observed survival is greater than the predicted survival); and a log(O:E) < 0 indicates the opposite (the observed survival is lower than the predicted survival). A model with a log(O:E) closer to 0 is generally considered better calibrated. The Brier score is the mean squared difference between the model predictions and the observed outcomes, and it ranges from 0 (best prediction) to 1 (worst prediction). The Brier score captures both discrimination and calibration, and it is considered a measure of overall model performance. In Brier score analysis, the "null model" assigns a predicted probability equal to the prevalence of the outcome and represents a model that adds no new information. A prediction model should achieve a Brier score at least lower than the null-model Brier score to be considered as useful. The DCA was developed as a method to determine whether using a model to inform treatment decisions would do more good than harm. It plots the net benefit of making decisions based on the model's predictions across all possible risk thresholds (or cost-to-benefit ratios) in relation to the two default strategies of treating all or no patients. The care provider can decide on an acceptable risk threshold for the proposed treatment in an individual and assess the corresponding net benefit to determine whether consulting with the model is superior to adopting the default strategies. Finally, we examined whether laboratory data, which were not included in the METSSS model, would have been independently associated with survival after controlling for the METSSS model's predictions by using the multivariable logistic and Cox proportional hazards regression analyses. Between the two models, only SORG-MLA achieved adequate discrimination (an AUROC of > 0.7) in the entire cohort (of patients treated operatively or with radiation alone) and in the subgroup of patients treated with palliative radiotherapy alone. SORG-MLA outperformed METSSS by a wide margin on discrimination, calibration, and Brier score analyses in not only the entire cohort but also the subgroup of patients whose local treatment consisted of radiotherapy alone. In both the entire cohort and the subgroup, DCA demonstrated that SORG-MLA provided more net benefit compared with the two default strategies (of treating all or no patients) and compared with METSSS when risk thresholds ranged from 0.2 to 0.9 at both 90 days and 1 year, indicating that using SORG-MLA as a decision-making aid was beneficial when a patient's individualized risk threshold for opting for treatment was 0.2 to 0.9. Higher albumin, lower alkaline phosphatase, lower calcium, higher hemoglobin, lower international normalized ratio, higher lymphocytes, lower neutrophils, lower neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, lower platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, higher sodium, and lower white blood cells were independently associated with better 1-year and overall survival after adjusting for the predictions made by METSSS. Based on these discoveries, clinicians might choose to consult SORG-MLA instead of METSSS for survival estimation in patients with long-bone metastases presenting for evaluation of local treatment. Basing a treatment decision on the predictions of SORG-MLA could be beneficial when a patient's individualized risk threshold for opting to undergo a particular treatment strategy ranged from 0.2 to 0.9. Future studies might investigate relevant laboratory items when constructing or refining a survival estimation model because these data demonstrated prognostic value independent of the predictions of the METSSS model, and future studies might also seek to keep these models up to date using data from diverse, contemporary patients undergoing both modern operative and nonoperative treatments. Level III, diagnostic study.

Lee CC ，Chen CW ，Yen HK ，Lin YP ，Lai CY ，Wang JL ，Groot OQ ，Janssen SJ ，Schwab JH ，Hsu FM ，Lin WH ... -  《-》

Tobacco Product Use and Associated Factors Among Middle and High School Students - National Youth Tobacco Survey, United States, 2021.

Gentzke AS ，Wang TW ，Cornelius M ，Park-Lee E ，Ren C ，Sawdey MD ，Cullen KA ，Loretan C ，Jamal A ，Homa DM ... -  《MMWR SURVEILLANCE SUMMARIES》

Allometric versus traditional body-shape indices and risk of colorectal cancer: a Mendelian randomization analysis.

Traditional body-shape indices such as Waist Circumference (WC), Hip Circumference (HC), and Waist-to-Hip Ratio (WHR) are associated with colorectal cancer (CRC) risk, but are correlated with Body Mass Index (BMI), and adjustment for BMI introduces a strong correlation with height. Thus, new allometric indices have been developed, namely A Body Shape Index (ABSI), Hip Index (HI), and Waist-to-Hip Index (WHI), which are uncorrelated with weight and height; these have also been associated with CRC risk in observational studies, but information from Mendelian randomization (MR) studies is missing. We used two-sample MR to examine potential causal cancer site- and sex-specific associations of the genetically-predicted allometric body-shape indices with CRC risk, and compared them with BMI-adjusted traditional body-shape indices, and BMI. Data were obtained from UK Biobank and the GIANT consortium, and from GECCO, CORECT and CCFR consortia. WHI was positively associated with CRC in men (OR per SD: 1.20, 95% CI: 1.03-1.39) and in women (1.15, 1.06-1.24), and similarly for colon and rectal cancer. ABSI was positively associated with colon and rectal cancer in men (1.27, 1.03-1.57; and 1.40, 1.10-1.77, respectively), and with colon cancer in women (1.20, 1.07-1.35). There was little evidence for association between HI and colon or rectal cancer. The BMI-adjusted WHR and HC showed similar associations to WHI and HI, whereas WC showed similar associations to ABSI only in women. This large MR study provides strong evidence for a potential causal positive association of the allometric indices ABSI and WHI with CRC in both sexes, thus establishing the association between abdominal fat and CRC without the limitations of the traditional waist size indices and independently of BMI. Among the BMI-adjusted traditional indices, WHR and HC provided equivalent associations with WHI and HI, while differences were observed between WC and ABSI.

Rontogianni MO ，Bouras E ，Aglago EK ，Freisling H ，Murphy N ，Cotterchio M ，Hampe J ，Lindblom A ，Pai RK ，Pharoah PDP ，Phipps AI ，van Duijnhoven FJB ，Visvanathan K ，van Guelpen B ，Li CI ，Brenner H ，Pellatt AJ ，Ogino S ，Gunter MJ ，Peters U ，Christakoudi S ，Tsilidis KK ... -  《-》