Global, Regional, and National Burden of Gastric Cancer in Adolescents and Young Adults, 1990-2019: A Systematic Analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

Gastric cancer is a significant global health concern, ranking as the fifth most common cancer worldwide and the third leading cause of cancer-related mortality. While improvements in health awareness and medical technology have contributed to a decline in the incidence of gastric cancer in many countries, the rate of gastric cancer in adolescents and young adults (GCAYA) has shown an upward trend. Timely and effective strategies for screening, detection, and treatment are crucial for managing the burden of GCAYA and optimizing the allocation of medical resources. To this end, our study aimed to examine the distribution of the burden of GCAYA across different factors at the global, regional, and national levels between 1990 and 2019. By identifying and analyzing these factors, we can better inform efforts to combat this growing health challenge. This study used data from the Global Burden of Disease database to analyze the global, regional, and national incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALY) GCAYA from 1990 to 2019. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardized mortality rate, and age-standardized DALY rate (ASDR) of GCAYA were summarized and presented in a visually intuitive manner at the global, regional, and national levels. In addition, we calculated the estimated annual percentage change for each indicator of GCAYA globally, regionally, and nationally and visually displayed the results. Furthermore, we conducted an age-based analysis of adolescents and young adults with gastric cancer, comparing the age composition of deaths and the age burden of patients between 1990 and 2019. For the sake of brevity, we will use the abbreviation GCAYA to refer to gastric cancer among adolescents and young adults throughout the remainder of this article. From 1990 to 2019, the incidence of GCAYA has slightly increased globally. The number of newly diagnosed cases rose from 47,932 (95% uncertainty interval 44,592.9-51,005.7) in 1990 to 49,007 (45,007.7-53,078.1) in 2019, while the number of deaths decreased from 35,270 (32,579-37,678.5) to 27,895 (25,710.9-30,240.4). The global ASIR showed a declining trend, decreasing from 22.4 (95% uncertainty interval 21.2-23.6) per 100,000 in 1990 to 15.6 (14.1-17.2) per 100,000 in 2019. The age-standardized mortality rate also showed a declining trend, decreasing from 20.5 (19.2-21.6) per 100,000 in 1990 to 11.9 (10.8-12.8) per 100,000 in 2019. The ASDR also showed a declining trend, decreasing from 493.4 (463.7-523.7) per 100,000 in 1990 to 268.4 (245.5-290.6) per 100,000 in 2019. From 1990 to 2019, the incidence, mortality, and DALY of gastric cancer among male adolescents and young adults were higher than those of female adolescents and young adults. In 2019, the number of male adolescents and young adults with gastric cancer was 2.1 times higher than that of female individuals (368.9 [328.2-410.3] vs 178.2 [160.5-196.9]), the number of deaths was 1.1 times higher (14,971.6 [13,643.3-16,520.5] vs 12,923.6 [11,550.3-14,339]), and the DALY were 1.1 times higher (841,920.5 [766,655.5-927,598.8] vs 731,976.3 [653,421-814,242.8]). The incidence and DALY of GCAYA were higher in regions with high-middle and middle sociodemographic index countries. The age-standardized mortality rate of GCAYA in 198 countries and territories showed a decreasing trend, with the Republic of Korea showing the greatest decrease from 1,360.5 (1,300.3-51,416.5) per 100,000 in 1990 to 298.7 (270.1-328.4) per 100,000 in 2019, with an estimated annual percentage change of -5.14 (95% confidence interval -7.23 to -2.99). The incidence and DALY of GCAYA increased with age, with the highest proportion of patients being in the 35-39 years age group. In both 1990 and 2019, the age of death from GCAYA was mainly concentrated in the 35-39 years age group, accounting for approximately half of the total population. In the past 30 years, although the total number of new cases of GCAYA has increased with population growth, the ASIR and overall disease burden have shown a decreasing trend. This indicates progress in screening, diagnosis, treatment, education, and awareness efforts. However, the distribution of this disease remains uneven in terms of sex, age, development level, region, and country. To address these challenges, global health authorities should take appropriate measures such as optimizing screening programs, strengthening awareness and screening efforts for male individuals, enhancing prevention and control among the 35-39 years age group, improving infrastructure and health care resources in developing countries, promoting international cooperation, and implementing tailored measures.

Yang Q ，Xu D ，Yang Y ，Lu S ，Wang D ，Wang L ... -  《-》

Global burden of gastric cancer in adolescents and young adults: estimates from GLOBOCAN 2020.

Gastric cancer in adolescents and young adults (GCAYA) has been ignored by both patients and physicians. We examined the disease burden of GCAYA and its secular trends in incidence and mortality. A comprehensive analysis of the global burden of GCAYA based on data provided by GLOBOCAN 2020. Global, regional, sex, and country-specific data of the incidence and mortality of GCAYA were extracted from the GLOBOCAN, the Cancer in Five Continents Plus, and the World Health Organization mortality database, respectively. The associations between the Human Development Index (HDI) and GCAYA burden were also evaluated by Pearson correlation analysis. The global incidence of GCAYA was 0.79 per 100,000, and the corresponding mortality was 0.45 per 100,000 in 2020. The mortality-to-incidence ratio (MIR) was lower in AYA (0.61) than in patients aged 40-64 years (0.65) and patients aged 65 years and older (0.75). The age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR) and age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) were 0.84 and 0.53 per 100,000, respectively, in women, compared with 0.74 and 0.45 per 100,000, respectively, in men. The majority of new cases (17,934) and deaths (10,360) were estimated to occur in Asia. There has a significant negative correlation between the MIR of GCAYA and HDI level (R2 = 0.2707, P < 0.0001). There was a decreasing trend of incidence and mortality in most countries. The MIR of GCAYA is lower than that among older patients and exhibit a positive association with socio-economic status. The incidence and mortality of GCAYA show a decreasing trend in most countries.

Li J ，Kuang XH ，Zhang Y ，Hu DM ，Liu K ... -  《-》

Burden of Stomach Cancer Incidence, Mortality, Disability-Adjusted Life Years, and Risk Factors in 204 Countries, 1990-2019: An Examination of Global Burden of Disease 2019.

Stomach cancer is a global health problem and is one of the leading causes of cancer deaths worldwide. This study investigates the spatial and temporal patterns of stomach cancer burden in 204 countries in the last three decades. The estimates of stomach cancer burden and its risk factors were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 study, covering the years 1990 to 2019, across 204 countries within 21 world regions. GBD employs the cause-of-death ensemble modeling framework to calculate disease-specific mortality estimates. Estimated average percent change (EAPC) of absolute counts (incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs)) and age-standardized rates (age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR), and age-standardized DALYs rate (ASDALR)) was calculated in the regions to illustrate the relative changes between 1990 and 2019. Joinpoint regression was used to analyze global trends of stomach cancer burden in the last three decades. Incidence of stomach cancer globally increased from 883,396 cases in 1990 to 1.3 million cases in 2019 and number of deaths due to stomach cancer rose from 788,317 in 1990 to 957,185 in 2019. Between 1990 and 2019, the global ASIR decreased from 22.4 per 100,000 to 15.6 per 100,000, the ASMR decreased from 20.5 per 100,000 to 11.9 per 100,000 and the ASDALR declined from 493.4 per 100,000 to 290.6 per 100,000. Trend analysis using joinpoint regression revealed the slowest rise in incident cases and largest decline in ASIR between 2004 and 2016. In 2019, East Asia had the highest number of incident cases, totaling 626,489, followed by high-income Asia-Pacific (128,168) and South Asia (99,399). The ASIR was the highest in East Asia (30.2/100,000) followed by high-income Asia-Pacific (28.2/100,000) and Andean Latin America (22.4/100,000), while high-income North America had the lowest ASIR at 6.1/100,000. In terms of absolute counts, the top three countries in 2019 were China, India, and Japan together accounting for 61.5% of global incident cases, 58.6% of deaths, and DALYs. Mongolia had the highest ASIR (43.7 per 100,000), followed by Bolivia (34.0 per 100,000) and China (30.6 per 100,000) in 2019, while the lowest ASIR was 3.3 per 100,000 in Malawi. Globally, for both sexes combined, 7.8% of stomach cancer DALYs were associated with a diet high in sodium and 17.2% were linked to smoking. Among males, 24.0% of stomach cancer DALYs were attributable to smoking, compared to only 4.3% in females in 2019. Significant progress has been made globally in the fight against stomach cancer, with the ASIR decreasing by 30.3% and the ASMR by 41.2% between 1990 and 2019. To further reduce the burden of stomach cancer, it is essential to address factors such as Helicobacter pylori prevalence, obesity, and smoking. Additionally, improvements in early detection, socioeconomic development (including better public sanitation, hygiene, and drinking water), and dietary habits are imperative.

Sharma R 《-》

Age-period-cohort analysis of global, regional, and national pancreatic cancer incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years, 1990-2019.

Pancreatic cancer is one of the deadliest cancers in the world. In recent years, the incidence and mortality rates of pancreatic cancer have shown an increasing trend year by year. This study investigates the independent effects of age, period, and cohort on the global incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of pancreatic cancer from 1990 to 2019, and evaluates the differences in the burden of pancreatic cancer across regions with different Sociodemographic Index (SDI) levels. Estimating the impact of age, period, and cohort on pancreatic cancer disease burden in different SDI regions using age-period-cohort modeling with data (with 95% uncertainty intervals [UI]) from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2019 and net drift of age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR), age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR), and age-standardized DALY rates (ASDR) for pancreatic cancer in 120 countries. The number of new cases of pancreatic cancer worldwide increased from 197,348 (95% UI: 188,604,203,971) in 1990 to 530,297 (486,175,573,635) in 2019, the number of deaths increased from 198,051 (189,329 to 204,763) in 1990 to 531,107 (491,948 to 566,537) in 2019, and the number of DALY increased from 4,647,207 (4,465,440 to 4,812,129) in 1990 to 11,549,016 (10,777,405 to 1,238,912) in 2019. The ASIR of the average levels in global pancreatic cancer increased from 5.22 (4.97 to 5.40) per 100,000 population to 6.57 (6.00 to 7.09) per 100,000 population, the ASMR increased from 5.34 (5.07 to 5.52) per 100,000 population to 6.62 (6.11 to 7.06) per 100,000 population, and the ASDR increased from 115.47 (110.82 to 119.60) per 100,000 population to 139.61 (130.18 to 149.14) per 100,000 population. The incidence, mortality, and DALY rates of pancreatic cancer increase with age globally and across all SDI regions, peaking in the 85-89 age group. In high and high-middle SDI regions, the growth rate for males is higher than for females before the age of 85, while females have a higher growth rate after 85. The 75-79 age group exhibits the highest DALY rate in high and high-middle SDI regions, significantly higher than the global and other SDI regions. From 1990 to 2019, the period effects of pancreatic cancer incidence, mortality, and DALY rates have increased significantly worldwide, while remaining almost unchanged in high and high-middle SDI regions. In contrast, period effects have significantly increased in middle, low-middle, and low SDI regions. Cohort effects are more pronounced in middle, low-middle, and low SDI regions. With the aggravation of population aging, the incidence and mortality rates of pancreatic cancer in the world are increasing, and effective prevention and control measures can be achieved by reducing the exposure of risk factors. The APC model used in our analysis provides a novel approach to understanding the complex trends in the incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years of pancreatic cancer. It can inform the development of targeted interventions to reduce the severe disease burden caused by pancreatic cancer.

Zhao H ，Zhang Y ，Liu H ，Wang Y ，Song Z ... -  《BMC CANCER》

Analysis of the global burden of CKD-T2DM in young and middle-aged adults in 204 countries and territories from 2000 to 2019: A systematic study of the global burden of disease in 2019.

Diabetes stands as a principal risk factor for severe complications including renal and cardiovascular diseases. The gradual rise in type 2 diabetes cases globally, coupled with a trend towards younger demographics, has led to an escalating prevalence of chronic kidney disease. However, its etiology is multifaceted, necessitating individualized treatment and refinement, particularly crucial in screening and managing the burden of CKD-T2DM. A comprehensive analysis of CKD-T2DM burden at global, regional, and national levels from 2000 to 2019, based on the latest data, can inform screening, early diagnostics, and treatment strategies, thereby optimizing healthcare resource allocation. Utilizing data sourced from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database, we delineated the incidence, mortality, and DALYs rates of CKD-T2DM from 2000 to 2019 across global, regional, and national scales. We summarized the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR), and age-standardized death rate (ASDR) of CKD-T2DM globally, regionally, and nationally, presenting them visually. Moreover, we calculated and visually depicted the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) of various CKD-T2DM indicators at these levels. Additionally, CKD-T2DM patients were stratified by age to compare the age distribution of patient deaths and the age burden between 2000 and 2019. The disease burden of CKD-T2DM among young and middle-aged individuals globally has shown a sustained increase from 2000 to 2019. Incidence, mortality, and DALYs rates have exhibited an overall upward trend, with males showing higher rates compared to females. Significant disparities exist among different countries and regions, with India, China, and Mexico emerging as the countries with the highest number of new cases. Nicaragua, Mexico, and the United Arab Emirates have the highest age-standardized incidence rates, whereas Uganda, Ethiopia, and Burundi have the lowest. At the age level, the burden of CKD-T2DM exhibits varying trends among different age groups but generally shows an upward trajectory, particularly in the 45-49 age bracket. High systolic blood pressure and high BMI stand as the primary contributing factors to mortality and DALYs, with variations in their influence observed across different regions and levels of development. ver the past 20 years, the burden of CKD-T2DM among young and middle-aged individuals globally has continued to increase, with disparities existing among different countries, regions, and age groups, but overall showing an upward trend. The reasons for this trend are multifaceted, including global lifestyle changes such as dietary shifts, sedentary lifestyles, obesity, as well as population aging and inadequate preventive measures in certain regions. Addressing these challenges necessitates optimizing screening methods, adjusting lifestyles, enhancing management strategies, improving medical care and awareness levels, particularly intensifying awareness and screening efforts among males, reinforcing prevention and control measures for the 45-49 age group, enhancing infrastructure and healthcare resources in developing countries, fostering international collaboration, and implementing context-specific measures.

Liu B ，Li L ，Cui H ，Zhao Q ，Chen S ... -  《-》