A SEER-based nomogram accurately predicts prognosis in Ewing's sarcoma.

Ewing's sarcoma is a high-grade malignancy bone and soft tissue tumor that most commonly occurs in children and adolescents. Although the overall prognosis of Ewing's sarcoma has improved, the 5-year survival rate has not improved significantly. The study aimed to determine the risk factors independently associated with the prognosis of Ewing's sarcoma and to construct a nomogram to predict patient survival. Patients diagnosed with Ewing's sarcoma were collected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program database between 2004 and 2015 and further divided into training and validation cohort. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to identify meaningful independent prognostic factors. The nomogram was used to predict 3- and 5-year overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS). Finally, the nomogram was verified internally and externally through the training and validation cohorts, and the predictive capability was evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, C-index, and calibration curve and compared with that of the 7th TNM stage. A total of 1120 patients were divided into training (n = 713) and validation (n = 407) cohorts. Based on the multivariate analysis of the training cohort, a nomogram that integrated age, tumor size, primary site, N stage, and M stage was constructed (P < 0.05). The predicted C-indexes of OS and CSS of the training cohort were 0.744 (95% CI 0.717-0.771) and 0.743 (95% CI 0.715-0.770), respectively. However, the TNM stage had a C-index of 0.695 (95% CI 0.666-0.724) and 0.698 (95% CI 0.669-0.727) for predicting OS and CSS, respectively. The nomogram showed higher C-indexes than those in the TNM stage. Furthermore, the internal and external calibration curves showed good consistency between the predicted and observed values. Age, tumor size, primary site, N stage, and M stage are independent risk factors affecting the OS and CSS in Ewing's sarcoma patients. Compared with the 7th TNM staging, the nomogram consisting of these factors was more accurate for risk assessment and survival prediction in patients with Ewing's sarcoma, thus providing a novel reliable tool for risk assessment and survival prediction in Ewing's sarcoma patients.

Zhan H ，Mo F ，Zhu M ，Xu X ，Zhang B ，Liu H ，Dai M ... -  《Scientific Reports》

A Nomogram for Predicting Cancer-Specific Survival of Osteosarcoma and Ewing's Sarcoma in Children: A SEER Database Analysis.

Osteosarcoma (OSC) and Ewing's sarcoma (EWS) are children's most common primary bone tumors. The purpose of the study is to develop and validate a new nomogram to predict the cancer-specific survival (CSS) of childhood OSC and EWS. The clinicopathological information of all children with OSC and EWS from 2004 to 2018 was downloaded from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to screen children's independent risk factors for CSS. These risk factors were used to construct a nomogram to predict the CSS of children with OSC and EWS. A series of validation methods, including calibration plots, consistency index (C-index), and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), were used to validate the accuracy and reliability of the prediction model. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to validate the clinical application efficacy of predictive models. All patients were divided into low- and high-risk groups based on the nomogram score. Kaplan-Meier curve and log-rank test were used to compare survival differences between the two groups. A total of 2059 children with OSC and EWS were included. All patients were randomly divided into training cohort 60% (N = 1215) and validation cohort 40% (N = 844). Univariate and multivariate analysis suggested that age, surgery, stage, primary site, tumor size, and histological type were independent risk factors. Nomograms were established based on these factors to predict 3-, 5-, and 8-years CSS of children with OSC and EWS. The calibration plots showed that the predicted value was highly consistent with the actual value. In the training cohort and validation cohort, the C-index was 0.729 (0.702-0.756) and 0.735 (0.702-0.768), respectively. The AUC of the training cohort and the validation cohort also showed similar results. The DCA showed that the nomogram had good clinical value. We constructed a new nomogram to predict the CSS of OSC and EWS in children. This predictive model has good accuracy and reliability and can help doctors and patients develop clinical strategies.

Wang J ，Zhanghuang C ，Tan X ，Mi T ，Liu J ，Jin L ，Li M ，Zhang Z ，He D ... -  《Frontiers in Public Health》

Development and validation of prognostic nomogram for germ cell testicular cancer patients.

Mao W ，Wu J ，Kong Q ，Li J ，Xu B ，Chen M ... -  《Aging-US》

Establishing a novel prognostic tool for Ewing sarcoma patients: Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database analysis.

Gao F ，Zhou Y ，Zhao R ，Ren Y ... -  《-》

Development and validation of a nomogram to predict the prognosis of patients with gastric cardia cancer.

Shi X ，Xu L ，Ma B ，Wang S ... -  《Scientific Reports》