Hepatocellular carcinoma incidence post direct-acting antivirals in hepatitis C-related advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis patients in Australia.

Despite efficacy in HCV eradication, direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy has raised controversies around their impact on hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) incidence. Herein we reported the first Australian data on HCC incidence in DAA-treated HCV patients with advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis. We conducted a retrospective single center study of DAA-treated HCV patients with advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis from April 2015 to December 2017. Patients with prior HCC were included if they had complete response to HCC treatment. Among 138 patients who completed DAA therapy, 133 (96.4%) achieved sustained virologic response (median follow-up 23.8 months). Ten had prior HCC and 5/10 (50.0%) developed recurrence, while de novo HCC developed in 7/128 (5.5%). Median time from DAA to HCC diagnosis was 34 weeks in recurrent HCC vs. de novo 52 weeks (P = 0.159). In patients with prior HCC, those with recurrence (vs. without) had shorter median time between last HCC treatment and DAA (12 vs. 164 weeks, P < 0.001). On bivariate analysis, failed sustained virologic response at 12 weeks (SVR12) (P = 0.011), platelets (P = 0.005), model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score (P = 0.029), alpha fetoprotein (AFP) (P = 0.013), and prior HCC (P < 0.001) were associated with HCC post-DAA. On multivariate analysis, significant factors were prior HCC (OR = 4.80; 95% CI: 1.47-48.50; P = 0.010), failed SVR12 (OR = 2.83; 95% CI: 1.71-16.30; P = 0.016) and platelets (OR = 0.97; 95% CI: 0.95-0.99; P = 0.009). Our study demonstrates a high incidence of recurrent HCC in HCV patients with advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis treated with DAA. Factors associated with HCC development post-DAA were more advanced liver disease, failed SVR12 and prior HCC, with higher rates of recurrence in those who started DAA earlier.

Chan PPY ，Levy MT ，Shackel N ，Davison SA ，Prakoso E ... -  《Hepatobiliary & Pancreatic Diseases International》

Factors Associated With Increased Risk of De Novo or Recurrent Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients With Cirrhosis Treated With Direct-Acting Antivirals for HCV Infection.

Patients with cirrhosis and hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection treated with direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) are still at risk for developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aimed to identify features of de novo or recurrent HCCs in these patients, and factors associated with HCC development, in a large cohort of patients with cirrhosis who received treatment with DAAs. In a retrospective study, we collected data from 565 patients with cirrhosis (median age, 64 years; range, 28-87 years; 60% male, 49% infected with HCV genotype 1; median liver stiffness measurement [LSM], 19.1 kPa; 87% Child-Pugh-Turcotte score A) treated with DAAs at a single center in Italy, from December 2014 through 2016. Cirrhosis was defined based on clinical features, histologic factors (METAVIR F4), or LSM >11.9 kPa. Patients were assessed (complete blood analysis and HCV-RNA quantification) every 4 weeks during treatment; at weeks 4, 12, and 24 afterward; and at 6-month intervals thereafter. HCC surveillance was performed by ultrasound or CT scans every 3-6 months, based on history of HCC. Non-invasive markers of fibrosis, such as ratio of aspartate aminotransferase to platelets, fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) score, and LSMs were assessed. During a median 25 months of follow up (range, 3-39 months), HCC developed in 28/505 patients without a history of HCC (de novo HCC); the 3-year estimated cumulative probability for HCC was 6% (95% CI, 4%-9%). Of patients with de novo HCC, 75% had a single tumor and 82% of these were Barcelona liver cancer stage 0-A; the median level of alpha-fetoprotein was 6 ng/mL (range, 1.0-9240 ng/mL). Male sex (hazard ratio [HR], 6.17; 95% CI, 1.44-26.47; P = .01), diabetes (HR, 2.52; 95% CI, 1.08-5.87; P = .03), LSM (HR, 1.03; 95% CI, 1.01-1.06; P = .01), and FIB-4 score (HR, 1.08; 95% CI, 1.01-1.14; P = .01) were independently associated with de novo HCC. HCC developed in 20/60 patients with a history of HCC (HCC recurrence); the 3-year cumulative probability for recurrence was 43% (95% CI, 20%-61%). In the 20 patients with HCC recurrence, 11 had a single tumor and 90% were Child-Pugh-Turcotte score A. Diabetes was independently associated with HCC recurrence (HR, 4.12; 95% CI, 1.55-10.93; P = .004). In a large, single-center cohort of consecutive patients with cirrhosis and who received DAA treatment for HCV infection, most liver tumors were identified at early stages. Male sex, diabetes, and non-invasive markers of liver fibrosis can be used to identify patients at increased risk for HCC following DAAs therapy.

Degasperi E ，D'Ambrosio R ，Iavarone M ，Sangiovanni A ，Aghemo A ，Soffredini R ，Borghi M ，Lunghi G ，Colombo M ，Lampertico P ... -  《-》

Increased Risk for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Persists Up to 10 Years After HCV Eradication in Patients With Baseline Cirrhosis or High FIB-4 Scores.

It is unclear if hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk declines over time after hepatitis C virus (HCV) eradication. We analyzed changes in HCC annual incidence over time following HCV eradication and identified dynamic markers of HCC risk. We identified 48,135 patients who initiated HCV antiviral treatment from 2000 through 2015 and achieved a sustained virologic response (SVR) in the Veterans Health Administration (29,033 treated with direct-acting antiviral [DAA] agents and 19,102 treated with interferon-based regimens). Patients were followed after treatment until February 14, 2019 (average 5.4 years), during which 1509 incident HCCs were identified. Among patients with cirrhosis before treatment with DAAs (n = 9784), those with pre-SVR fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) scores ≥3.25 had a higher annual incidence of HCC (3.66%/year) than those with FIB-4 scores <3.25 (1.16%/year) (adjusted hazard ratio 2.14; 95% confidence interval 1.66-2.75). In DAA-treated patients with cirrhosis and FIB-4 scores ≥3.25, annual HCC risk decreased from 3.8%/year in the first year after SVR to 2.4%/year by the fourth year (P=.01). In interferon-treated patients with FIB-4 scores ≥3.25, annual HCC risk remained above 2%/year, even 10 years after SVR. A decrease in FIB-4 scores from ≥3.25 pre-SVR to <3.25 post-SVR was associated with an approximately 50% lower risk of HCC, but the absolute annual risk remained above 2%/year. Patients without cirrhosis before treatment (n = 38,351) had a low risk of HCC, except for those with pre-SVR FIB-4 scores ≥3.25 (HCC risk 1.22%/year) and post-SVR FIB-4 scores ≥3.25 (HCC risk 2.39%/year); risk remained high for many years after SVR. Patients with cirrhosis before an SVR to treatment for HCV infection continue to have a high risk for HCC (>2%/year) for many years, even if their FIB-4 score decreases, and should continue surveillance. Patients without cirrhosis but with FIB-4 scores ≥3.25 have a high enough risk to merit HCC surveillance, especially if FIB-4 remains ≥3.25 post-SVR.

Ioannou GN ，Beste LA ，Green PK ，Singal AG ，Tapper EB ，Waljee AK ，Sterling RK ，Feld JJ ，Kaplan DE ，Taddei TH ，Berry K ... -  《-》

Undefined/non-malignant hepatic nodules are associated with early occurrence of HCC in DAA-treated patients with HCV-related cirrhosis.

An unexpected early increase in incidence, recurrence and clinical aggressiveness of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has been reported (and refuted) in patients with HCV-related cirrhosis following direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment. To address this controversy, we performed a prospective multicenter study on consecutively enrolled cirrhotic patients, with or without a history of HCC, undergoing DAA therapy. A total of 1,161 HCC-free cirrhotics (group 1) and 124 cirrhotics who had received a curative treatment for an HCC (group 2) were enrolled. Clinical features, including presence of undefined/non-malignant liver nodules (UNMNs), were analyzed with respect to HCC incidence and recurrence. During a median study time of 17 months in group 1 and 16 months in group 2, de novo HCC developed in 48 patients (yearly incidence 3.1/100 patient-years, 75% BCLC 0-A) and recurred in 40 (mean yearly incidence 29.9/100 patient-years, 83% BCLC 0-A). A peak of HCC instant incidence was observed at 4.2 months in group 1 patients with UNMNs, and at 7.7 months in group 2. By multivariable Cox regression models, UNMNs (hazard ratio [HR] 3.11; 95% CI 1.47-6.57: p = 0.003), ascites detected any time before enrolment (HR 3.04; 95% CI 1.23-7.51; p = 0.02), and alpha-fetoprotein log-value (HR 1.90; 95% CI 1.05-3.44; p = 0.03) were the variables independently associated with the incidence of de novo HCC, while history of alcohol abuse (HR 2.10; 95% CI 1.08-4.09; p = 0.03) and history of recurrence of HCC (HR 2.87; 95% CI 1.35-6.09; p = 0.006) were associated with HCC recurrence. An early high incidence of both de novo HCC, in patients with UNMNs, and recurrent HCC was observed in DAA-treated patients; this was not accompanied by increased tumor aggressiveness. This prospective study focuses on the risk of developing de novo or recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment in patients with hepatitis C-related cirrhosis. We found that DAA treatment was associated with an early high HCC incidence in patients with undefined or non-malignant nodules, as well as in those with a history of complete response to HCC treatment. Whether this is related to the presence of clinically undetectable nests of cancer cells or to precancerous lesions that may progress to overt HCC upon DAA treatment remains unanswered. No evidence of increased clinical aggressiveness was reported in de novo or recurrent HCC.

Sangiovanni A ，Alimenti E ，Gattai R ，Filomia R ，Parente E ，Valenti L ，Marzi L ，Pellegatta G ，Borgia G ，Gambato M ，Terreni N ，Serio I ，Belli L ，Oliveri F ，Maimone S ，Brunacci M ，D'Ambrosio R ，Forzenigo LV ，Russo FP ，Rumi M ，Barone M ，Fracanzani AL ，Raimondo G ，Giannini EG ，Brunetto MR ，Villa E ，Biganzoli E ，Colombo M ，Lampertico P ... -  《-》

Risk of Hepatocellular Cancer in HCV Patients Treated With Direct-Acting Antiviral Agents.

The risk of hepatocellular cancer (HCC) after sustained virological response (SVR) with direct-acting antivirals (DAA) is unclear. Our aim was to examine the risk and determinants of HCC in patients cured with DAA. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of hepatitis C virus patients who were treated with DAA in any of the 129 Veterans Health Administration hospitals between January 1, 2015 and December 31, 2015. We calculated the annual incidence rates of HCC by SVR. We used Cox regression models to compare the risk of HCC in patients with vs those without SVR and to identify factors associated with incident HCC among patients with SVR. We reviewed a sample of HCC patients for tumor size and stage at diagnosis. Among 22,500 patients treated with DAA (19,518 with SVR; 2982 without SVR), the mean (standard deviation) age was 61.6 (6.1) years, and 39.0% had cirrhosis. There were 271 new cases of HCC, including 183 in patients with SVR. Compared with patients without SVR, those with SVR had a significantly reduced risk of HCC (0.90 vs 3.45 HCC/100 person-years; adjusted hazard ratio, 0.28, 95% CI=0.22-0.36). Patients with cirrhosis had the highest annual incidence of HCC after SVR (1.82 vs 0.34/100 person-years in patients without cirrhosis; adjusted hazard ratio, 4.73. 95% CI, 3.34-6.68). Most (>44.8%) HCC were classified as stage I. Maximum size of the largest lesion was ≤5 cm in over 75% of cases. Among patients treated with DAA, SVR was associated with a considerable reduction in the risk of HCC. We did not find any evidence to suggest that DAAs promote HCC. However, in patients with SVR, the absolute risk of HCC remained high in patients with established cirrhosis. These patients should be considered for ongoing HCC surveillance.

Kanwal F ，Kramer J ，Asch SM ，Chayanupatkul M ，Cao Y ，El-Serag HB ... -  《-》