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Predicting the likelihood of live birth for elective oocyte cryopreservation: a counseling tool for physicians and patients.
Can a counseling tool be developed for women desiring elective oocyte cryopreservation to predict the likelihood of live birth based on age and number of oocytes frozen?
Using data from ICSI cycles of a population of women with uncompromised ovarian reserve, an evidence-based counseling tool was created to guide women and their physicians regarding the number of oocytes needed to freeze for future family-building goals.
Elective oocyte cryopreservation is increasing in popularity as more women delay family building. By undertaking elective oocyte freezing at a younger age, women hope to optimize their likelihood of successful live birth(s) using their thawed oocytes at a future date. Questions often arise in clinical practice regarding the number of cryopreserved oocytes sufficient to achieve live birth(s) and whether or not additional stimulation cycles are likely to result in a meaningful increase in the likelihood of live birth. As relatively few women who have electively cryopreserved oocytes have returned to use them, available data for counseling patients wishing to undergo fertility preservation are limited.
A model was developed to determine the proportion of mature oocytes that fertilize and then form blastocysts as a function of age, using women with presumably normal ovarian reserve based on standard testing who underwent ICSI cycles in our program from January, 2011 through March, 2015 (n = 520). These included couples diagnosed exclusively with male-factor and/or tubal-factor infertility, as well as cycles utilizing egg donation. Age-specific probabilities of euploidy were estimated from 14 500 PGS embryo results from an external testing laboratory. Assuming survival of thawed oocytes at 95% for women <36 y and for egg donors, and 85% for women ≥36 y, and 60% live birth rate per transferred euploid blastocyst, probabilities of having at least one, two or three live birth(s) were calculated.
First fresh male-factor and/or tubal-factor only autologous ICSI cycles (n = 466) were analyzed using Poisson regression to calculate the probability that a mature oocyte will become a blastocyst based on age. Egg donation cycles (n = 54) were analyzed and incorporated into the model separately. The proportion of blastocysts expected to be euploid was determined using PGS results of embryos analyzed via array comparative genomic hybridization. A counseling tool was developed to predict the likelihood of live birth, based on individual patient age and number of mature oocytes.
This study provides an evidence-based model to predict the probability of a woman having at least one, two or three live birth(s) based on her age at egg retrieval and the number of mature oocytes frozen. The model is derived from a surrogate population of ICSI patients with uncompromised ovarian reserve. A user-friendly counseling tool was designed using the model to help guide physicians and patients.
The data used to develop the prediction model are, of necessity, retrospective and not based on patients who have returned to use their cryopreserved oocytes. The assumptions used to create the model, albeit reasonable and data-driven, vary by study and will likely vary by center. Centers are therefore encouraged to consider their own blastocyst formation and thaw survival rates when counseling patients.
Our model will provide a counseling resource that may help inform women desiring elective fertility preservation regarding their likelihood of live birth(s), how many cycles to undergo, and when additional cycles would bring diminishing returns.
None.
Not applicable.
Goldman RH
,Racowsky C
,Farland LV
,Munné S
,Ribustello L
,Fox JH
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Cumulative live birth rates after one ART cycle including all subsequent frozen-thaw cycles in 1050 women: secondary outcome of an RCT comparing GnRH-antagonist and GnRH-agonist protocols.
Are cumulative live birth rates (CLBRs) similar in GnRH-antagonist and GnRH-agonist protocols for the first ART cycle including all subsequent frozen-thaw cycles from the same oocyte retrieval?
The chances of at least one live birth following utilization of all fresh and frozen embryos after the first ART cycle are similar in GnRH-antagonist and GnRH-agonist protocols.
Reproductive outcomes of ART treatment are traditionally reported as pregnancies per cycle or per embryo transfer. However, the primary concern is the overall chance of a live birth. After the first ART cycle with fresh embryo transfer, we found live birth rates (LBRs) of 22.8% and 23.8% (P = 0.70) for the GnRH-antagonist and GnRH-agonist protocols, respectively. But with CLBRs including both fresh and frozen embryos from the first oocyte retrieval, chances of at least one live birth increases. There are no previous randomized controlled trials (RCTs) comparing CLBRs in GnRH-antagonist versus GnRH-agonist protocols. Previous studies on CLBR are either retrospective cohort studies including multiple fresh cycles or RCTs comparing single embryo transfer (SET) with double embryo transfer (DET).
CLBR was a secondary outcome in a Phase IV, dual-center, open-label, RCT including 1050 women allocated to a short GnRH-antagonist or a long GnRH-agonist protocol in a 1:1 ratio over a 5-year period using a web-based concealed randomization code. The minimum follow-up time from the first IVF cycle was 2 years. The aim was to compare CLBR between the two groups following utilization of all fresh and frozen embryos from the first ART cycle.
All women referred for their first ART cycle at two public fertility clinics, <40 years of age were approached. A total of 1050 subjects were allocated to treatment and 1023 women started standardized ART protocols with recombinant human follitropin-β (rFSH) stimulation. Day-2 SET was planned and additional embryos were frozen and used in subsequent frozen-thawed cycles. All pregnancies generated from oocyte retrieval during the first IVF cycle including fresh and frozen-thaw cycles were registered. Ongoing pregnancy was determined by ultrasonography at gestational week 7-9 and live birth was irrespective of the duration of gestation. CLBR was defined as at least one live birth per allocated woman after fresh and frozen cycles. Subjects were censored out after the first live birth. Cox proportional hazard model was used to evaluate the relative prognostic significance of female age, BMI, the number of retrieved oocytes and the diagnosis of infertility in relation to the CLBR.
Baseline characteristics were similar and equal proportions of patients continued with frozen-thaw (frozen embryo transfer, FET) cycles after their fresh ART cycle in the GnRH-antagonist and GnRH-agonist arms. When combining all fresh and frozen-thaw embryo transfers from first oocyte retrieval with a minimum of 2-year follow-up, the CLBR was 34.1% (182/534) in the GnRH-antagonist group versus 31.2% (161/516) in the GnRH-agonist group (odds ratio (OR):1.14; 95% CI: 0.88-1.48, P = 0.32). Mean time to the first live birth was 11.0 months in the GnRH-antagonist group compared to 11.5 months in the GnRH-agonist group (P < 0.01). The total number of deliveries from all FET cycles where embryos were thawed were higher in the antagonist group 64/330 (19.4%) compared to the agonist group 43/355 (12.1%) ((OR): 1.74; 95% CI: 1.14-2.66, P = 0.01). The evaluation of prognostic factors showed that more retrieved oocytes were associated with a significantly higher CLBR in both treatment groups. For the subgroup of obese women (BMI >30 kg/m2), the CLBR was significantly higher in the GnRH-antagonist group (P = 0.02).
The duration of the trial is a possible limitation with introduction of new methods as 'Freeze all' and 'GnRH-agonist triggering', but as these treatments were used in only few women, a systematic bias is not likely. Blastocyst culture of surplus embryos for freezing was introduced to both groups simultaneously, thereby minimizing the risk of bias. Furthermore, with a minimum of 2-year follow-up, a minority (<1%) still had cryopreserved embryos and no live birth at the end of the trial. The post hoc prognostic covariate analyses with multiple strata should be interpreted with caution. Finally, the physicians were not blinded to GnRH treatment group after randomization.
With the improvement of embryo culture, freezing and thawing methods as well as a strategy of elective SET, CLBR until first live birth provides an all-inclusive success rate for ART. When comparing GnRH-antagonist and GnRH-agonist protocols, we find similar CLBRs, despite more oocytes being retrieved in the GnRH-agonist protocol.
An unrestricted research grant is funded by Merck Sharp & Dohme Corp., a subsidiary of Merck & Co., Inc., Kenilworth, NJ, USA (MSD). The funders had no influence on the data collection, analyses or conclusions of the study. No conflict of interests to declare.
EudraCT #: 2008-005452-24. ClinicalTrial.gov: NCT00756028.
18 September 2008.
14 January 2009.
Toftager M
,Bogstad J
,Løssl K
,Prætorius L
,Zedeler A
,Bryndorf T
,Nilas L
,Pinborg A
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A 10-year follow-up of reproductive outcomes in women attempting motherhood after elective oocyte cryopreservation.
Loreti S
,Darici E
,Nekkebroeck J
,Drakopoulos P
,Van Landuyt L
,De Munck N
,Tournaye H
,De Vos M
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Successful elective and medically indicated oocyte vitrification and warming for autologous in vitro fertilization, with predicted birth probabilities for fertility preservation according to number of cryopreserved oocytes and age at retrieval.
To evaluate a single treatment center's experience with autologous IVF using vitrified and warmed oocytes, including fertilization, embryonic development, pregnancy, and birth outcomes, and to estimate the likelihood of live birth of at least one, two, or three children according to the number of mature oocytes cryopreserved by elective fertility preservation patients.
Retrospective cohort study.
Private practice clinic.
Women undergoing autologous IVF treatment using vitrified and warmed oocytes. Indications for oocyte vitrification included elective fertility preservation, desire to limit the number of oocytes inseminated and embryos created, and lack of available sperm on the day of oocyte retrieval.
Oocyte vitrification, warming, and subsequent IVF treatment.
Post-warming survival, fertilization, implantation, clinical pregnancy, and live birth rates.
A total of 1,283 vitrified oocytes were warmed for 128 autologous IVF treatment cycles. Postthaw survival, fertilization, implantation, and birth rates were all comparable for the different oocyte cryopreservation indications; fertilization rates were also comparable to fresh autologous intracytoplasmic sperm injection cycles (70% vs. 72%). Implantation rates per embryo transferred (43% vs. 35%) and clinical pregnancy rates per transfer (57% vs. 44%) were significantly higher with vitrified-warmed compared with fresh oocytes. However, there was no statistically significant difference in live birth/ongoing pregnancy (39% vs. 35%). The overall vitrified-warmed oocyte to live born child efficiency was 6.4%.
Treatment outcomes using autologous oocyte vitrification and warming are as good as cycles using fresh oocytes. These results are especially reassuring for infertile patients who must cryopreserve oocytes owing to unavailability of sperm or who wish to limit the number of oocytes inseminated. Age-associated estimates of oocyte to live-born child efficiencies are particularly useful in providing more explicit expectations regarding potential births for elective oocyte cryopreservation.
Doyle JO
,Richter KS
,Lim J
,Stillman RJ
,Graham JR
,Tucker MJ
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The role of intracytoplasmic sperm injection in non-male factor infertility in advanced maternal age.
Does ICSI improve reproductive outcomes compared with conventional IVF when used for non-male factor infertility in women aged 40 years and over?
There is no advantage of ICSI over conventional IVF in women aged 40 years and over when used for non-male factor infertility.
The use of ICSI has increased dramatically in recent years and is being applied for indications other than male factor infertility. Currently, ICSI is used in 65% of IVF cycles in Europe and in 76% of cycles in the USA. Despite its increase use, there is no clear evidence of a benefit in using ICSI over conventional IVF. Older women undergoing infertility treatments are at an increased risk of having diminished ovarian reserve and lower oocyte quality, which could make ICSI the preferred insemination method in this group. However, studies that have examined the benefits of ICSI in this age group are lacking.
A retrospective, single center study included women, aged 40-43 years, who underwent IVF treatments for non-male factor infertility between January 2012 until June 2015.
A total of 745 women were included in the study. Of these, 490 women underwent ICSI and 255 women underwent conventional IVF. In order to be included in the study, women had to be at least 40 years of age at the beginning of ovarian stimulation and their male partner had to have normal sperm parameters according to World Health Organisation (WHO) fifth edition. Exclusion criteria included: more than three previous IVF cycles, a history of fertilization failure or low fertilization (<50%), the use of donor or frozen oocytes and the use of donor or frozen sperm samples. The primary outcome was the live birth rate. Secondary outcomes included fertilization rates, fertilization failure and embryo quality.
Baseline characteristics were similar between the two groups, except for the number of previous IVF cycles, which was higher in the ICSI group (1.0 vs. 0.6, P = 0.0001). Despite similar numbers of oocytes retrieved (7.2 vs. 6.5), when examining oocytes maturity (performed 2 h after oocyte retrieval in the ICSI group and after 18 h in the conventional IVF group), the conventional IVF group had a higher number of Metaphase II (MII) oocytes (6.1 vs. 4.7, P < 0.0001). The conventional IVF group also had higher numbers of zygotes formed (4.48 vs. 3.66, P = 0.001), more cycles with embryos transferred at the blastocyst stage (36 vs. 26%, P = 0.005) and more cycles where embryos were available for cryopreservation (26.4 vs. 19.7%, P = 0.048), compared with the ICSI group. The fertilization rates (64 vs. 67%) and fertilization failure (9.0 vs. 9.7%) were similar. After logistic regression analysis controlling for confounders, the live birth rates were similar between the groups (11.9 vs. 9.6%). Subgroup analyses of women undergoing their first IVF cycle and women with ≤3 oocytes retrieved did not show an advantage of ICSI over conventional IVF.
The retrospective nature of this study was a major limitation. The ICSI group had a higher number of previous IVF cycles, which could mean that ICSI was performed in poorer prognosis patients. Moreover, although this study is one of the largest studies to examine the question of whether ICSI is of value for older women with non-male factor infertility, based on a post hoc power analysis, it was still underpowered to detect differences in live birth rates, which can limit the conclusions of the study. Prospective studies are needed to confirm our findings.
The decision regarding performing ICSI should be based on sperm parameters and previous history. The use of ICSI for the sole indication of advanced maternal age shows no benefit over conventional IVF.
None.
N/A.
Tannus S
,Son WY
,Gilman A
,Younes G
,Shavit T
,Dahan MH
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