Incremental value of biomarkers to clinical variables for mortality prediction in acutely decompensated heart failure: the Multinational Observational Cohort on Acute Heart Failure (MOCA) study.

This study aims to evaluate the incremental value of plasma biomarkers to traditional clinical variables for risk stratification of 30-day and one-year mortality in acutely decompensated heart failure (ADHF). Through an international collaborative network, individual patient data on 5306 patients hospitalized for ADHF were collected. The all-cause mortality rate was 11.7% at 30 days and 32.9% at one year. The clinical prediction model (age, gender, blood pressure on admission, estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 mL/min/1.73 m(2), sodium and hemoglobin levels, and heart rate) had a c-statistic of 0.74 for 30-day mortality and 0.73 for one-year mortality. Several biomarkers measured at presentation improved risk stratification when added to the clinical model. At 30 days, the net reclassification improvement (NRI) was 28.7% for mid-regional adrenomedullin (MR-proADM; p<0.001) and 25.5% for soluble (s)ST2 (p<0.001). At one year, sST2 (NRI 10.3%), MR-proADM (NRI 9.1%), amino-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP; NRI 9.1%), mid-regional proatrial natriuretic peptide (MR-proANP; NRI 7.4%), B-type natriuretic peptide (NRI 5.5%) and C-reactive protein (CRP; NRI 5.3%) reclassified patients with ADHF (p<0.05 for all). CRP also markedly improved risk stratification of patients with ADHF as a dual biomarker combination with MR-proADM (NRI 36.8% [p<0.001] for death at 30 days) or with sST2 (NRI 20.3%; [p<0.001] for one-year mortality). In this study, biomarkers provided incremental value for risk stratification of ADHF patients. Biomarkers such as sST2, MR-proADM, natriuretic peptides and CRP, reflecting different pathophysiologic pathways, add prognostic value to clinical risk factors for predicting both short-term and one-year mortality in ADHF.

Lassus J ，Gayat E ，Mueller C ，Peacock WF ，Spinar J ，Harjola VP ，van Kimmenade R ，Pathak A ，Mueller T ，Disomma S ，Metra M ，Pascual-Figal D ，Laribi S ，Logeart D ，Nouira S ，Sato N ，Potocki M ，Parenica J ，Collet C ，Cohen-Solal A ，Januzzi JL Jr ，Mebazaa A ，GREAT-Network ... -  《-》

Clinical utility of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide for risk stratification of patients with acute decompensated heart failure. Derivation and validation of the ADHF/NT-proBNP risk score.

NT-proBNP has been associated with prognosis in acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF). Whether NT-proBNP provides additional prognostic information beyond that obtained from standard clinical variables is uncertain. We sought to assess whether N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) determination improves risk reclassification of patients with ADHF and to develop and validate a point-based NT-proBNP risk score. This study included 824 patients with ADHF (453 in the derivation cohort, 371 in the validation cohort). We compared two multivariable models predicting 1-year all-cause mortality, including clinical variables and clinical variables plus NT-proBNP. We calculated the net reclassification improvement (NRI) and the integrated discrimination improvement (IDI). Then, we developed and externally validated the NT-proBNP risk score. One-year mortalities for the derivation and validation cohorts were 28.3% and 23.4%, respectively. Multivariable predictors of mortality included chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, estimated glomerular filtration rate, sodium, hemoglobin, left ventricular ejection fraction, and moderate to severe tricuspid regurgitation. Adding NT-proBNP to the clinical variables only model significantly improved the NRI (0.129; p=0.0027) and the IDI (0.037; p=0.0005). In the derivation cohort, the NT-proBNP risk score had a C index of 0.839 (95% CI: 0.798-0.880) and the Hosmer-Lemeshow statistic was 1.23 (p=0.542), indicating good calibration. In the validation cohort, the risk score had a C index of 0.768 (95% CI: 0.711-0.817); the Hosmer-Lemeshow statistic was 2.76 (p=0.251), after recalibration. The NT-proBNP risk score provides clinicians with a contemporary, accurate, easy-to-use, and validated predictive tool. Further validation in other datasets is advisable.

Scrutinio D ，Ammirati E ，Guida P ，Passantino A ，Raimondo R ，Guida V ，Sarzi Braga S ，Pedretti RF ，Lagioia R ，Frigerio M ，Catanzaro R ，Oliva F ... -  《-》

Soluble ST2, high-sensitivity troponin T- and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide: complementary role for risk stratification in acutely decompensated heart failure.

Pascual-Figal DA ，Manzano-Fernández S ，Boronat M ，Casas T ，Garrido IP ，Bonaque JC ，Pastor-Perez F ，Valdés M ，Januzzi JL ... -  《-》

Pro-A-type natriuretic peptide, proadrenomedullin, and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide used in a multimarker strategy in primary health care in risk assessment of patients with symptoms of heart failure.

Use of new biomarkers in the handling of heart failure patients has been advocated in the literature, but most often in hospital-based populations. Therefore, we wanted to evaluate whether plasma measurement of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), midregional pro-A-type natriuretic peptide (MR-proANP), and midregional proadrenomedullin (MR-proADM), individually or combined, gives prognostic information regarding cardiovascular and all-cause mortality that could motivate use in elderly patients presenting with symptoms suggestive of heart failure in primary health care. The study included 470 elderly patients (mean age 73 years) with symptoms of heart failure in primary health care. All participants underwent clinical examination, 2-dimenstional echocardiography, and plasma measurement of the 3 propeptides and were followed for 13 years. All mortality was registered during the follow-up period. The 4th quartiles of the biomarkers were applied as cutoff values. NT-proBNP exhibited the strongest prognostic information with >4-fold increased risk for cardiovascular mortality within 5 years. For all-cause mortality MR-proADM exhibited almost 2-fold and NT-proBNP 3-fold increased risk within 5 years. In the 5-13-year perspective, NT-proBNP and MR-proANP showed significant and independent cardiovascular prognostic information. NT-proBNP and MR-proADM showed significant prognostic information regarding all-cause mortality during the same time. In those with ejection fraction (EF) <40%, MR-proADM exhibited almost 5-fold increased risk of cardiovascular mortality with 5 years, whereas in those with EF >50% NT-proBNP exhibited >3-fold increased risk if analyzed as the only biomarker in the model. If instead the biomarkers were all below the cutoff value, the patients had a highly reduced mortality risk, which also could influence the handling of patients. The 3 biomarkers could be integrated in a multimarker strategy for use in primary health care.

Alehagen U ，Dahlström U ，Rehfeld JF ，Goetze JP ... -  《-》

Multiple biomarker strategy for improved diagnosis of acute heart failure in older patients presenting to the emergency department.

Biomarkers can help to identity acute heart failure (AHF) as the cause of symptoms in patients presenting to the emergency department (ED). Older patients may prove a diagnostic challenge due to co-morbidities. Therefore we prospectively investigated the diagnostic performance of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) alone or in combination with other biomarkers for AHF upon admission at the ED. 302 non-surgical patients aged ≥ 70 years were consecutively enrolled upon admission to the ED. In addition to NT-proBNP, mid-regional pro-adrenomedullin (MR-proADM), mid-regional pro-atrial natriuretic peptide (MR-proANP), C-terminal pro-endothelin-1 (CT-proET-1) and ultra-sensitive C-terminal pro-vasopressin (Copeptin-us) were measured at admission. Two cardiologists independently adjudicated the final diagnosis of AHF after reviewing all available baseline data excluding the biomarkers. We assessed changes in C-index, integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and net reclassification improvement (NRI) for the multimarker approach. AHF was diagnosed in 120 (40%) patients (age 81±6 years, 64 men, 56 women). Adding MR-ADM to NT-proBNP levels improved C-index (0.84 versus 0.81; p=0.045), and yielded IDI (3.3%; p=0.002), NRI (17%, p<0.001) and continuous NRI (33.3%; p=0.002). Adding CT-proET-1 to NT-proBNP levels improved C index (0.86 versus 0.81, p=0.031), and yielded robust IDI (12.4%; p<0.001), NRI (31.3%, p<0.001) and continuous NRI (69.9%; p<0.001). No other dual or triple biomarker combination showed a significant improvement of both C-index and IDI. In older patients presenting to the ED, the addition of CT-proET-1 or MR-proADM to NT-proBNP improves diagnostic accuracy of AHF. Both dual biomarker approaches offer significant risk reclassification improvement over NT-proBNP.

Bahrmann P ，Bahrmann A ，Hofner B ，Christ M ，Achenbach S ，Sieber CC ，Bertsch T ... -  《-》