Identifying the prognostic significance of mitophagy-associated genes in multiple myeloma: a novel risk model construction.

Multiple myeloma (MM) is a highly heterogeneous hematological malignancy that is currently incurable. Individualized therapeutic approaches based on accurate risk assessment are essential for improving the prognosis of MM patients. Nevertheless, current prognostic models for MM exhibit certain limitations and prognosis heterogeneity still an unresolved issue. Recent studies have highlighted the pivotal involvement of mitochondrial autophagy in the development and drug sensitivity of MM. This study seeks to conduct an integrative analysis of the prognostic significance and immune microenvironment of mitophagy-related signature in MM, with the aim of constructing a novel predictive risk model. GSE4581 and GSE47552 datasets were acquired from the Gene Expression Omnibus database. MM-differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were identified by limma between MM samples and normal samples in GSE47552. Mitophagy key module genes were obtained by weighted gene co-expression network analysis in the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA)-MM dataset. Mitophagy DEGs were identified by the overlap genes between MM-DEGs and mitophagy key module genes. Prognostic genes were selected through univariate Cox regression and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) analysis, and a risk model was subsequently constructed based on these prognostic genes. Subsequently, the MM samples were stratified into high- and low-risk groups based on their median risk scores. The validity of the risk model was further evaluated using the GSE4581 dataset. Moreover, a nomogram was developed using the independent prognostic factors identified from the risk score and various clinical indicators. Additionally, analyses were conducted on immune infiltration, immune scores, immune checkpoint, and chemotherapy drug sensitivity. The 17 mitophagy DEGs were obtained by intersection of 803 MM-DEGs and 1084 mitophagy key module genes. Five prognostic genes (CDC6, PRIM1, SNRPB, TOP2A, and ZNF486) were selected via LASSO and univariate cox regression analyses. The predictive performance of the risk model, which was constructed based on the five prognostic genes, demonstrated favorable results in both TCGA-MM and GSE4581 datasets as indicated by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. In addition, calibration curve, ROC curve, and decision curve analysis curve corroborated that the nomogram exhibited superior predictive accuracy for MM. Furthermore, immune analysis results indicated a significant difference in stromal scores of two risk groups categorized on median risk scores. And four immune checkpoints (CD274, CTLA4, LAG3, and PDCD1LG2) showed significant differences in different risk groups. The analysis of chemotherapy drug sensitivity revealed that etoposide and doxorubicin, which target TOP2A, exhibited superior treatment outcomes in the high-risk group. A novel prognostic model for MM was developed and validated, demonstrating significant potential in predicting patient outcomes and providing valuable guidance for personalized immunotherapy counseling.

Min R ，Hu Z ，Zhou Y 《-》

Comparison of Two Modern Survival Prediction Tools, SORG-MLA and METSSS, in Patients With Symptomatic Long-bone Metastases Who Underwent Local Treatment With Surgery Followed by Radiotherapy and With Radiotherapy Alone.

Survival estimation for patients with symptomatic skeletal metastases ideally should be made before a type of local treatment has already been determined. Currently available survival prediction tools, however, were generated using data from patients treated either operatively or with local radiation alone, raising concerns about whether they would generalize well to all patients presenting for assessment. The Skeletal Oncology Research Group machine-learning algorithm (SORG-MLA), trained with institution-based data of surgically treated patients, and the Metastases location, Elderly, Tumor primary, Sex, Sickness/comorbidity, and Site of radiotherapy model (METSSS), trained with registry-based data of patients treated with radiotherapy alone, are two of the most recently developed survival prediction models, but they have not been tested on patients whose local treatment strategy is not yet decided. (1) Which of these two survival prediction models performed better in a mixed cohort made up both of patients who received local treatment with surgery followed by radiotherapy and who had radiation alone for symptomatic bone metastases? (2) Which model performed better among patients whose local treatment consisted of only palliative radiotherapy? (3) Are laboratory values used by SORG-MLA, which are not included in METSSS, independently associated with survival after controlling for predictions made by METSSS? Between 2010 and 2018, we provided local treatment for 2113 adult patients with skeletal metastases in the extremities at an urban tertiary referral academic medical center using one of two strategies: (1) surgery followed by postoperative radiotherapy or (2) palliative radiotherapy alone. Every patient's survivorship status was ascertained either by their medical records or the national death registry from the Taiwanese National Health Insurance Administration. After applying a priori designated exclusion criteria, 91% (1920) were analyzed here. Among them, 48% (920) of the patients were female, and the median (IQR) age was 62 years (53 to 70 years). Lung was the most common primary tumor site (41% [782]), and 59% (1128) of patients had other skeletal metastases in addition to the treated lesion(s). In general, the indications for surgery were the presence of a complete pathologic fracture or an impending pathologic fracture, defined as having a Mirels score of ≥ 9, in patients with an American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification of less than or equal to IV and who were considered fit for surgery. The indications for radiotherapy were relief of pain, local tumor control, prevention of skeletal-related events, and any combination of the above. In all, 84% (1610) of the patients received palliative radiotherapy alone as local treatment for the target lesion(s), and 16% (310) underwent surgery followed by postoperative radiotherapy. Neither METSSS nor SORG-MLA was used at the point of care to aid clinical decision-making during the treatment period. Survival was retrospectively estimated by these two models to test their potential for providing survival probabilities. We first compared SORG to METSSS in the entire population. Then, we repeated the comparison in patients who received local treatment with palliative radiation alone. We assessed model performance by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), calibration analysis, Brier score, and decision curve analysis (DCA). The AUROC measures discrimination, which is the ability to distinguish patients with the event of interest (such as death at a particular time point) from those without. AUROC typically ranges from 0.5 to 1.0, with 0.5 indicating random guessing and 1.0 a perfect prediction, and in general, an AUROC of ≥ 0.7 indicates adequate discrimination for clinical use. Calibration refers to the agreement between the predicted outcomes (in this case, survival probabilities) and the actual outcomes, with a perfect calibration curve having an intercept of 0 and a slope of 1. A positive intercept indicates that the actual survival is generally underestimated by the prediction model, and a negative intercept suggests the opposite (overestimation). When comparing models, an intercept closer to 0 typically indicates better calibration. Calibration can also be summarized as log(O:E), the logarithm scale of the ratio of observed (O) to expected (E) survivors. A log(O:E) > 0 signals an underestimation (the observed survival is greater than the predicted survival); and a log(O:E) < 0 indicates the opposite (the observed survival is lower than the predicted survival). A model with a log(O:E) closer to 0 is generally considered better calibrated. The Brier score is the mean squared difference between the model predictions and the observed outcomes, and it ranges from 0 (best prediction) to 1 (worst prediction). The Brier score captures both discrimination and calibration, and it is considered a measure of overall model performance. In Brier score analysis, the "null model" assigns a predicted probability equal to the prevalence of the outcome and represents a model that adds no new information. A prediction model should achieve a Brier score at least lower than the null-model Brier score to be considered as useful. The DCA was developed as a method to determine whether using a model to inform treatment decisions would do more good than harm. It plots the net benefit of making decisions based on the model's predictions across all possible risk thresholds (or cost-to-benefit ratios) in relation to the two default strategies of treating all or no patients. The care provider can decide on an acceptable risk threshold for the proposed treatment in an individual and assess the corresponding net benefit to determine whether consulting with the model is superior to adopting the default strategies. Finally, we examined whether laboratory data, which were not included in the METSSS model, would have been independently associated with survival after controlling for the METSSS model's predictions by using the multivariable logistic and Cox proportional hazards regression analyses. Between the two models, only SORG-MLA achieved adequate discrimination (an AUROC of > 0.7) in the entire cohort (of patients treated operatively or with radiation alone) and in the subgroup of patients treated with palliative radiotherapy alone. SORG-MLA outperformed METSSS by a wide margin on discrimination, calibration, and Brier score analyses in not only the entire cohort but also the subgroup of patients whose local treatment consisted of radiotherapy alone. In both the entire cohort and the subgroup, DCA demonstrated that SORG-MLA provided more net benefit compared with the two default strategies (of treating all or no patients) and compared with METSSS when risk thresholds ranged from 0.2 to 0.9 at both 90 days and 1 year, indicating that using SORG-MLA as a decision-making aid was beneficial when a patient's individualized risk threshold for opting for treatment was 0.2 to 0.9. Higher albumin, lower alkaline phosphatase, lower calcium, higher hemoglobin, lower international normalized ratio, higher lymphocytes, lower neutrophils, lower neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, lower platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, higher sodium, and lower white blood cells were independently associated with better 1-year and overall survival after adjusting for the predictions made by METSSS. Based on these discoveries, clinicians might choose to consult SORG-MLA instead of METSSS for survival estimation in patients with long-bone metastases presenting for evaluation of local treatment. Basing a treatment decision on the predictions of SORG-MLA could be beneficial when a patient's individualized risk threshold for opting to undergo a particular treatment strategy ranged from 0.2 to 0.9. Future studies might investigate relevant laboratory items when constructing or refining a survival estimation model because these data demonstrated prognostic value independent of the predictions of the METSSS model, and future studies might also seek to keep these models up to date using data from diverse, contemporary patients undergoing both modern operative and nonoperative treatments. Level III, diagnostic study.

Lee CC ，Chen CW ，Yen HK ，Lin YP ，Lai CY ，Wang JL ，Groot OQ ，Janssen SJ ，Schwab JH ，Hsu FM ，Lin WH ... -  《-》

[Exploration of key ferroptosis-related genes as therapeutic targets for sepsis based on bioinformatics and the depiction of their immune profiles characterization].

Li M ，Mei Y ，Pan A 《-》

Develop a Novel Signature to Predict the Survival and Affect the Immune Microenvironment of Osteosarcoma Patients: Anoikis-Related Genes.

Osteosarcoma (OS) represents a prevalent primary bone neoplasm predominantly affecting the pediatric and adolescent populations, presenting a considerable challenge to human health. The objective of this investigation is to develop a prognostic model centered on anoikis-related genes (ARGs), with the aim of accurately forecasting the survival outcomes of individuals diagnosed with OS and offering insights into modulating the immune microenvironment. The study's training cohort comprised 86 OS patients sourced from The Cancer Genome Atlas database, while the validation cohort consisted of 53 OS patients extracted from the Gene Expression Omnibus database. Differential analysis utilized the GSE33382 dataset, encompassing three normal samples and 84 OS samples. Subsequently, the study executed gene ontology and Kyoto encyclopedia of genes and genomes enrichment analyses. Identification of differentially expressed ARGs associated with OS prognosis was carried out through univariate COX regression analysis, followed by LASSO regression analysis to mitigate overfitting risks and construct a robust prognostic model. Model accuracy was assessed via risk curves, survival curves, receiver operating characteristic curves, independent prognostic analysis, principal component analysis, and t-distributed stochastic neighbor embedding (t-SNE) analysis. Additionally, a nomogram model was devised, exhibiting promising potential in predicting OS patient prognosis. Further investigations incorporated gene set enrichment analysis to delineate active pathways in high- and low-risk groups. Furthermore, the impact of the risk prognostic model on the immune microenvironment of OS was evaluated through tumor microenvironment analysis, single-sample gene set enrichment analysis (ssGSEA), and immune infiltration cell correlation analysis. Drug sensitivity analysis was conducted to identify potentially effective drugs for OS treatment. Ultimately, the verification of the implicated ARGs in the model construction was conducted through the utilization of real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR). The ARGs risk prognostic model was developed, comprising seven high-risk ARGs (CBS, MYC, MMP3, CD36, SCD, COL13A1, and HSP90B1) and four low-risk ARGs (VASH1, TNFRSF1A, PIP5K1C, and CTNNBIP1). This prognostic model demonstrates a robust capability in predicting overall survival among patients. Analysis of immune correlations revealed that the high-risk group exhibited lower immune scores compared to the low-risk group within our prognostic model. Specifically, CD8+ T cells, neutrophils, and tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes were notably downregulated in the high-risk group, alongside significant downregulation of checkpoint and T cell coinhibition mechanisms. Additionally, three immune checkpoint-related genes (CD200R1, HAVCR2, and LAIR1) displayed significant differences between the high- and low-risk groups. The utilization of a nomogram model demonstrated significant efficacy in prognosticating the outcomes of OS patients. Furthermore, tumor metastasis emerged as an independent prognostic factor, suggesting a potential association between ARGs and OS metastasis. Notably, our study identified eight drugs-Bortezomib, Midostaurin, CHIR.99021, JNK.Inhibitor.VIII, Lenalidomide, Sunitinib, GDC0941, and GW.441756-as exhibiting sensitivity toward OS. The RT-qPCR findings indicate diminished expression levels of CBS, MYC, MMP3, and PIP5K1C within the context of OS. Conversely, elevated expression levels were observed for CD36, SCD, COL13A1, HSP90B1, VASH1, and CTNNBIP1 in OS. The outcomes of this investigation present an opportunity to predict the survival outcomes among individuals diagnosed with OS. Furthermore, these findings hold promise for progressing research endeavors focused on prognostic evaluation and therapeutic interventions pertaining to this particular ailment.

Yang M ，Su Y ，Xu K ，Zheng H ，Cai Y ，Wen P ，Yang Z ，Liu L ，Xu P ... -  《-》

Ceftazidime with avibactam for treating severe aerobic Gram-negative bacterial infections: technology evaluation to inform a novel subscription-style payment model.

Harnan S ，Kearns B ，Scope A ，Schmitt L ，Jankovic D ，Hamilton J ，Srivastava T ，Hill H ，Ku CC ，Ren S ，Rothery C ，Bojke L ，Sculpher M ，Woods B ... -  《-》