Evaluation of flood metrics across the Mississippi-Atchafalaya River Basin and their relation to flood damages.

Societal risks from flooding are evident at a range of spatial scales and climate change will exacerbate these risks in the future. Assessing flood risks across broad geographical regions is a challenge, and often done using streamflow time-series records or hydrologic models. In this study, we used a national-scale hydrological model to identify, assess, and map 16 different streamflow metrics that could be used to describe flood risks across 34,987 HUC12 subwatersheds within the Mississippi-Atchafalaya River Basin (MARB). A clear spatial difference was observed among two different classes of metrics. Watersheds in the eastern half of the MARB exhibited higher overall flows as characterized by the mean, median, and maximum daily values, whereas western MARB watersheds were associated with flood indicative of high extreme flows such as skewness, standardized streamflow index and top days. Total agricultural and building losses within HUC12 watersheds were related to flood metrics and those focused on higher overall flows were more correlated to expected annual losses (EAL) than extreme value metrics. Results from this study are useful for identifying continental scale patterns of flood risks within the MARB and should be considered a launching point from which to improve the connections between watershed scale risks and the potential use of natural infrastructure practices to reduce these risks.

Schilling KE ，Anderson ES ，Mount J ，Suttles K ，Gassman PW ，Cerkasova N ，White MJ ，Arnold JG ... -  《PLoS One》

Nonstationary streamflow effects on backwater flood management of the Atchafalaya Basin, USA.

A non-stationary increasing streamflow trend has been observed on the Mississippi River and other major river basins around the world. The current study analyzed the non-stationary streamflow effects (NSFEs) on flood management in backwater areas adjacent to the Atchafalaya Basin floodway in Louisiana, USA. A continuous simulation hydrology model coupled with a quasi-two-dimensional hydrodynamic model of the basin floodway and surrounding regions was used to develop over 180 simulation scenarios by superimposing local flood events (early summer 2014 and late summer 2016) against 90-years' worth of daily Atchafalaya River streamflow hydrographs. The NSFE on the Atchafalaya River induced substantial reductions in the performance of major flood regulating structures with seasonal effects based on the annual flood cycle. Capacity reductions at the structures were demonstrated to trigger a cascade of effects in ostensibly protected backwater areas including amplification of erosion potential near the levee and within tidal passes during early summer floods. Increases in mean and peak flood levels on the order of 15-20 cm during local storm events were shown to extend as far as 20 km away from the floodway protection levee during both early and late summer local flooding scenarios. Low-lying areas closest to the levee were adversely affected during both the high (early summer) and low flow (late summer) periods of the annual discharge cycle. The approach and findings of this study are relevant for risk management in river basins around the world affected by NSFEs.

Miller RL 《-》

A comparative study of morphometric, hydrologic, and semi-empirical methods for the prioritization of sub-watersheds against flash flood-induced landslides in a part of the Indian Himalayan Region.

The flash flood-induced erosion is the primary contributor to soil loss within the Indian Himalayan Region (IHR). This phenomenon is exacerbated by a confluence of factors, including extreme precipitation events, undulating topographical features, and suboptimal soil and water conservation practices. Over the past few decades, several flash flood events have led to the significant degradation of pedosphere strata, which in turn has caused landslides along with fluvial sedimentation in the IHR. Researchers have advocated morphometric, hydrologic, and semi-empirical methods for assessing flash flood-induced soil erosion in hilly watersheds. This study critically examines these methods and their applicability in the Alaknanda River basin of the Indian Himalayan Region. The entire basin is delineated into 12 sub-watersheds, and 13 morphometric parameters are analyzed for each sub-watershed. Thereafter, the ranking of sub-watersheds vulnerability is assigned using the Principal Component Analysis (PCA), compounding method (CM), Geomorphological Instantaneous Unit Hydrograph (GIUH), and Revised Universal Soil Loss Equations (RUSLE) approaches. While the CM method uses all 13 parameters, the PCA approach suggests that the first four principal components are the most important ones, accounting for approximately 89.7% of the total variance observed within the dataset. The GIUH approach highlights the hydrological response of the catchment, incorporating dynamic velocity and instantaneous peak magnifying the flash flood susceptibility, lag time, and the time to peak for each sub-watershed. The RUSLE approach incorporates mathematical equations for estimating annual soil loss utilizing rainfall-runoff erosivity, soil erodibility, topographic, cover management, and supporting practice factors. The variations in vulnerability rankings across various methods indicate that each method captures distinct aspects of the sub-watersheds. The decision-maker can use the weighted average to assign the overall vulnerability to each sub-watershed, aggregating the values from various methods. This study considers an equal weight to the morphometric, hydrological GIUH, and semi-empirical RUSLE techniques to assess the integrated ranking of various sub-watersheds. Vulnerability to flash flood-induced landslides in various sub-watersheds is categorized into three classes. Category I (high-priority) necessitates immediate erosion control measures and slope stabilization. Category II (moderate attention), where rainwater harvesting and sustainable agricultural practices are beneficial. Category III (regular monitoring) suggests periodic community-led soil assessments and afforestation. Sub-watersheds WS11, WS8, WS5, and WS12 are identified under category I, WS7, WS4, WS9, and WS6 under category II, and WS1, WS3, WS2, and WS10 under category III. The occurrence of landslides and flash-flood events and field observations validates the prioritization of sub-watersheds, indicating the need for targeted interventions and regular monitoring activities to mitigate environmental risks and safeguard surrounding ecosystems and communities.

Singh S ，Kansal ML 《-》

Projection of Future Extreme Precipitation and Flood Changes of the Jinsha River Basin in China Based on CMIP5 Climate Models.

Yuan Z ，Xu J ，Wang Y 《-》

The land morphology approach to flood risk mapping: An application to Portugal.

In the last decades, the increasing vulnerability of floodplains is linked to societal changes such as population density growth, land use changes, water use patterns, among other factors. Land morphology directly influences surface water flow, transport of sediments, soil genesis, local climate and vegetation distribution. Therefore, the land morphology, the land used and management directly influences flood risks genesis. However, attention is not always given to the underlying geomorphological and ecological processes that influence the dynamic of rivers and their floodplains. Floodplains are considered a part of a larger system called Wet System (WS). The WS includes permanent and temporary streams, water bodies, wetlands and valley bottoms. Valley bottom is a broad concept which comprehends not only floodplains but also flat and concave areas, contiguous to streams, in which slope is less than 5%. This will be addressed through a consistent method based on a land morphology approach that classifies landforms according to their hydrological position in the watershed. This method is based on flat areas (slopes less than 5%), surface curvature and hydrological features. The comparison between WS and flood risk data from the Portuguese Environmental Agency for the main rivers of mainland Portugal showed that in downstream areas of watersheds, valley bottoms are coincident with floodplains modelled by hydrological methods. Mapping WS has a particular interest in analysing river ecosystems position and function in the landscape, from upstream to downstream areas in the watershed. This morphological approach is less demanding data and time-consuming than hydrological methods and can be used as the preliminary delimitation of floodplains and potential flood risk areas in situations where there is no hydrological data available. The results were also compared with the land use/cover map at a national level and detailed in Trancão river basin, located in Lisbon metropolitan area, an urbanized basin that suffered heavy flooding in the last decades. This study also contributes to a better understanding of the basin morphology at a local-scale and the effects of soil sealing in downstream flood risks. This work will contribute to the understanding of the morphology, ecology and land use of watersheds that could be used to reduce runoff and downstream flood risk. This can be accomplished by using natural water retention and infiltration methods or higher-level based planning instead of a reaction to local decisions on flood hazards. This morphological approach to map landforms, including wet system, is a valuable tool to assist policy makers and planners in flood risk and land use management, floodplain restoration, agricultural land management practices, and location of human activities according to ecological suitability.

Cunha NS ，Magalhães MR ，Domingos T ，Abreu MM ，Küpfer C ... -  《-》