Elevated Triglyceride-Glucose (TyG) Index Predicts Poor Clinical Outcomes in Critically Ill AECOPD Patients: A Retrospective Study.

The triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index is a surrogate biomarker of insulin resistance which has been widely used in intensive care unit (ICU) to predict prognosis. However, its role in critically ill acute exacerbation of COPD (AECOPD) patients remains largely unknown. A total of 645 AECOPD patients were induced in this retrospective cohort study, which extracted data from the eICU Collaborative Research Database (eICU-CRD). The TyG index was calculated as Ln (fasting triglycerides (mg/dL) × fasting plasma glucose (mg/dL)/2). The primary endpoint includes in-hospital mortality and ICU mortality. The secondary endpoint was sepsis, acute kidney injury (AKI), and acute respiratory failure (ARF). Multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed that the TyG index was independently associated with an increased risk of in-hospital mortality (hazard ratio, HR: 1.45, 95% CI: 1.04-2.01, P = 0.028) and ICU mortality (HR: 2.13, 95% CI: 1.28-3.54, P = 0.004). Moreover, the TyG index was independently associated with an increased risk of sepsis (odds ratio, OR: 1.54, 95% CI: 1.24-1.93, P < 0.001), AKI (OR: 1.57, 95% CI: 1.26-2.02, P < 0.001) and ARF (OR: 1.50, 95% CI: 1.20-1.87, P < 0.001). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis revealed that higher TyG indexes were also related to increased in-hospital mortality and ICU mortality. In addition, the restricted cubic splines regression model demonstrated that the in-hospital mortality and ICU mortality increased linearly with increasing TyG index (P for non-linearity = 0.897, P for non-linearity = 0.897, respectively). Elevated TyG index was independently associated with an increased risk of poor clinical outcomes in critically ill AECOPD patients. A prospective study to define TyG as a biomarker for prognosis prediction in critically ill AECOPD patients is warranted.

Wang X ，Cui X ，Fan H ，Hu T ... -  《International Journal of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease》

A retrospective study utilized MIMIC-IV database to explore the potential association between triglyceride-glucose index and mortality in critically ill patients with sepsis.

Triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index has emerged as a novel biomarker for detecting insulin resistance (IR) and has been proven to be associated with various diseases. However, its correlation with the prognosis of severe sepsis remains unraveled. This retrospective cohort study utilized patient records from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC-IV, version 2.2) to examine the outcomes of patients with sepsis. The primary outcomes were hospital mortality and intensive care unit (ICU) mortality. The correlation between the TyG index and outcomes was evaluated through the Kaplan-Meier method, the Log-rank test, and univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. Additionally, restricted cubic spline (RCS) regression analysis was employed to delve into the nonlinear relationship between baseline TyG index and outcomes, with trend significance assessed through quartile levels. Subgroup analyses were conducted to evaluate the consistency of the TyG index's prognostic value across various influencing factors. The study included 1,742 patients with sepsis requiring intensive care. The in-hospital mortality rate was 19.75% (344/1,742), and the ICU mortality rate was 14.75% (257/1,742). Cox regression analysis revealed that, in comparison to the first quartile (Q1), patients in the fourth quartile (Q4) had a 63% higher risk of in-hospital mortality (HR 1.63 [95% CI 1.22 to 2.18], P < 0.01) and a 79% higher risk of ICU mortality (HR 1.79 [95% CI 1.28 to 2.51], P < 0.001). Model 3 showed that ICU mortality risks for Q4, Q3, and Q2 were 240%, 75%, and 33% higher, respectively (HR 3.40 [95% CI 2.24 to 5.16], P < 0.001; HR 1.75 [95% CI 1.16 to 2.63], P = 0.007; HR 1.33 [95% CI 1.20 to 1.53], P < 0.001). RCS regression analysis identified a nonlinear association between the TyG index and mortality (overall P < 0.001; P for nonlinearity < 0.001, with an inflection point at 8.9). Subgroup analysis showed that the effect size and direction were consistent across different subgroups, suggesting the stability of the results. This study demonstrates that a higher TyG index is significantly associated with increased in-hospital and ICU mortality risk in critically ill sepsis patients, with evidence of non-linear correlation. Therefore, the TyG index helps identify the mortality prognosis of sepsis patients in the ICU.

Lou J ，Xiang Z ，Zhu X ，Fan Y ，Song J ，Cui S ，Li J ，Jin G ，Huang N ... -  《Scientific Reports》

Association between the triglyceride glucose index and the risk of acute kidney injury in critically ill patients with hypertension: analysis of the MIMIC-IV database.

The triglyceride glucose (TyG) index, a metric computed from the levels of fasting triglyceride (TG) and fasting plasma glucose (FPG), has emerged as a simple surrogate measure for insulin resistance (IR) in recent years. In multiple critical care scenarios, such as contrast-induced acute kidney injury (AKI) and cardiorenal syndrome, a high TyG index levels shows a notable correlation with AKI incidence. However, its predictive value for AKI in critically ill hypertensive patients remains uncertain. Participants were selected from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database and divided into quartiles based on the TyG index. The primary focus of the study was to investigate the risk of acute kidney injury (AKI), with in-hospital mortality as a secondary endpoint, assessed among all study subjects as well as specifically among AKI patients. The use of renal replacement therapy (RRT), indicative of AKI progression, was also considered a secondary endpoint reflecting renal outcomes. To explore the correlation between the TyG index and AKI risk in critically ill hypertensive patients, the study employed a restricted cubic splines model and Cox proportional hazards (CPH) models. Additionally, Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was utilized to assess differences in primary and secondary outcomes across groups categorized by their TyG index. Analyses were conducted to ensure the consistency of the predictive capability of TyG index across various subgroups. Our study included 4,418 participants, with 57% being male patients. AKI occurred in 56.1% of cases. Through the CPH analysis, we identified a significant association between the TyG index and AKI occurrence in critically ill hypertensive patients. With the help of a restricted cubic splines model, we observed a direct relationship between an elevated TyG index and an increased AKI. Subgroup examinations consistently proved the predictive value of the TyG index across categories. Furthermore, Kaplan-Meier survival analysis revealed notable differences in RRT among AKI patients. The findings underscore the importance of the TyG index as a reliable predictor for the occurrence of AKI and adverse renal outcomes among hypertensive patients in critical ill states. Nevertheless, validating causality mandates extensive prospective investigations.

Zhang W ，Yang Z 《Frontiers in Endocrinology》

Comparative study on the predictive value of TG/HDL-C, TyG and TyG-BMI indices for 5-year mortality in critically ill patients with chronic heart failure: a retrospective study.

The triglyceride glucose (TyG) index, TyG-body mass index (TyG-BMI), and triglyceride-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (TG/HDL-C) are substitute indicators for insulin resistance (IR). This study aimed to compare the predictive value of these indicators for 5-year mortality in critically ill patients with chronic heart failure (CHF). Critically ill patients with CHF were identified from the Multiparameter Intelligent Monitoring in Intensive Care (MIMIC) III and IV databases. The primary outcome was 5-year mortality. The relationship between the three indices and mortality risk was determined using multivariate Cox proportional hazards models, Kaplan-Meier (K‒M) analysis and restricted cubic splines analysis. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was generated to compare the ability of the three indices to predict mortality. Finally, whether the IR indices would further increase the predictive ability of the basic model including baseline variables with a significance level between survivors and non-survivors was evaluated by ROC curve. Altogether, 1329 patients with CHF were identified from the databases. Cox proportional hazards models indicated that the TyG index was independently associated with an elevated risk of 5-year mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.56; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.29-1.9), while the TyG-BMI index and TG/HDL-C level were significantly associated with 5-year mortality, with an HR (95% CI) of 1.002 (1.000-1.003) and 1.01 (1.00-1.03), respectively. The K-M analysis revealed that the cumulative incidence of all-cause 5-year death increased with increasing quartiles of the TyG index, TyG-BMI index, or TG/HDL-C ratio. According to the ROC curve, the TyG index outperformed the TyG-BMI and TG/HDL-C ratio at predicting all-cause 5-year mortality (0.608 [0.571-0.645] vs. 0.558 [0.522-0.594] vs. 0.561 [0.524-0.598]). The effect of the TyG index on all-cause mortality was consistent across subgroups, with no significant interaction with randomized factors. Furthermore, adding the TyG index to the basic model for 5-year mortality improved its predictive ability (area under the curve, 0.762 for the basic model vs. 0.769 for the basic model + TyG index); however, the difference was not statistically significant. As continuous variables, all three indices were significantly associated with 5-year mortality risk in critically ill patients with CHF. Although these IR indices did not improve the predictive power of the basic model in patients with CHF, the TyG index appears to be the most promising index (vs. TyG-BMI and TG/HDL-C ratio) for prevention and risk stratification in critically ill patients with CHF.

Zhou Z ，Liu Q ，Zheng M ，Zuo Z ，Zhang G ，Shi R ，Wu T ... -  《Cardiovascular Diabetology》

U-shaped association between triglyceride-glucose index and all-cause mortality among critically ill pediatrics: a population-based retrospective cohort study.

Previous studies have shown that an elevated triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index was associated with all-cause mortality in both general adult individuals and critically ill adult patients. However, the relationship between the TyG index and clinical prognosis in pediatric patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) remains unknown. We aimed to investigate the association of the TyG index with in-hospital all-cause mortality in critically ill pediatric patients. A total of 5706 patients in the Pediatric Intensive Care database were enrolled in this study. The primary outcome was 30-day in-hospital all-cause mortality, and secondary outcome was 30-day in-ICU all-cause mortality. The restricted cubic spline (RCS) curves and two-piecewise multivariate Cox hazard regression models were performed to explore the relationship between the TyG index and outcomes. The median age of the study population was 20.5 [interquartile range (IQR): 4.8, 63.0] months, and 3269 (57.3%) of the patients were male. The mean TyG index level was 8.6 ± 0.7. A total of 244 (4.3%) patients died within 30 days of hospitalization during a median follow-up of 11 [7, 18] days, and 236 (4.1%) patients died in ICU within 30 days of hospitalization during a median follow-up of 6 [3, 11] days. The RCS curves indicated a U-shape association between the TyG index and 30-day in-hospital and in-ICU all-cause mortality (both P values for non-linear < 0.001). The risk of 30-day in-hospital all-cause mortality was negatively correlated with the TyG index until it bottoms out at 8.6 (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.72, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.55-0.93). However, when the TyG index was higher than 8.6, the risk of primary outcome increased significantly (adjusted HR, 1.51, 95% CI 1.16-1.96]). For 30-day in-ICU all-cause mortality, we also found a similar relationship (TyG < 8.6: adjusted HR, 0.75, 95% CI 0.57-0.98; TyG ≥ 8.6: adjusted HR, 1.42, 95% CI 1.08-1.85). Those results were consistent in subgroups and various sensitivity analysis. Our study showed that the association between the TyG index and 30-day in-hospital and in-ICU all-cause mortality was nonlinear U-shaped, with a cutoff point at the TyG index of 8.6 in critically ill pediatric patients. Our findings suggest that the TyG index may be a novel and important factor for the short-term clinical prognosis in pediatric patients.

Gao Q ，Luo F ，Yu H ，Lin Y ，Xu R ，Li P ，Zhang Y ，Liu J ，Su L ，Li Y ... -  《Cardiovascular Diabetology》