The AST/ALT Ratio (De Ritis Ratio) Represents an Unfavorable Prognosis in Patients in Early-Stage SFTS: An Observational Cohort Study.
Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS), a widely prevalent infectious disease caused by severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome virus (SFTSV) that carries with it a high mortality rate, has emerged to be a public health concern. This study aimed to investigate the epidemiological and clinical characteristics of patients infected with SFTSV, seeking novel prognostic risk factors for SFTS.
In this retrospective and cross-sectional study, confirmed SFTS patients from the First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University were enrolled from September 1, 2019, to December 12, 2020. Cases were analyzed for epidemiological, demographic, clinical, and laboratory data. Logistic regression models were used to assess the association between predictors and outcome variables. A generalized additive mixed model (GAMM) was conducted to analyze the trending shift of aspartate aminotransferase/alanine transaminase-ratio (AST/ALT-ratio) and platelet (PLT) in SFTS patients treated with ribavirin. p values ≤ 0.05 were considered statistically significant.
Clinical and laboratory results of 107 hospitalized patients with SFTSV infection were retrospectively described. The mean age at onset of disease was 60.38 ± 11.29 years old and the ratio between male and female was 1:1.2. Fever and thrombocytopenia are hallmark features of SFTS. Furthermore, multiple cases also experienced neurological complications, gastrointestinal/skeletal muscle symptoms together with other non-specific clinical manifestations; laboratory dataset outcomes reported dysregulated levels for routine blood biomarkers, coagulation function, and biochemistry. Overall, 107 patients were segregated into two groups according to patient condition at the clinical endpoint (survivors/non-survivors). SFTS survivors had a higher level of PLT- counts, total protein (TP), and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), while levels of activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), thrombin time (TT), D-dimer (D-D), fibrinogen degradation products (FDP), ALT, AST, AST/ALT-ratio, creatinine (Cr), creatine phosphokinase (CK) and procalcitonin (PCT) was higher in non-survivors. Results from univariate Cox regression revealed that elevated levels of FDP, TT, AST/ALT-ratio, PCT, as well as decreased eGFR level and presence of central nervous system symptoms (CNS), were significant predictors for SFTS prognostic, results from multivariate logistic regression analysis in three adjusted models showed AST/ALT-ratio and PCT were independent risk factors for the prognosis of SFTS patients. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that SFTS patients with AST/ALT-ratio >2.683 were associated with a shorter futime (means survival time), therefore indicating an unfavorable prognosis. Treatment with ribavirin could increase PLT count while decreasing AST/ALT-ratio within SFTS patients.
SFTS is an emerging infectious disease, possibly leading to multiple-organ injury; AST/ALT-ratio was an independent risk factor for the prognosis of SFTS patients. Further investigation should be performed in order to gain more knowledge on this disease and guide clinical management.
Wang L
,Xu Y
,Zhang S
,Bibi A
,Xu Y
,Li T
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《Frontiers in Cellular and Infection Microbiology》
Difference in hematocrit and plasma albumin levels as an early biomarker of severity and prognosis in patients with severe fever and thrombocytopenia syndrome.
Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) is a widespread infectious disease with high mortality. Hence, identifying valuable biomarkers for detecting the early changes in SFTS is crucial. In this study, we investigated the relationship between the difference in hematocrit (HCT) and serum albumin (ALB) levels (HCT-ALB) and the prognosis of patients with SFTS virus infection. After excluding the patients who did not meet the SFTS diagnostic criteria, those with SFTS from the First Affiliated Hospital of Wannan Medical College were divided into a fatal and Nonfatal group based on their disease prognosis. A dynamic analysis of the daily laboratory data was conducted for 14 days following SFTS onset. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the predictive value of HCT-ALB. Another sample of patients with SFTS admitted to the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University was utilized to verify the study conclusions. A total of 158 patients with SFTS were included. Among them, 126 patients were categorized in the Nonfatal group and 32 in the fatal group, leading to a mortality rate of 20.25% (32/158). Univariate analysis of the laboratory test findings and ROC curve analysis showed that alanine aminotransferase (ALT), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), HCT-ALB, and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) had a relatively better ability to discriminate the disease condition of the patients with SFTS. Moreover, HCT-ALB served as a predictor of SFTS prognosis. Additionally, an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.777 and a critical HCT-ALB value of 4.75 on day 7 were associated with a sensitivity of 83.3% and a specificity of 73.9%. On day 8 (AUC = 0.882), the critical value of HCT-ALB was 9.25, while the sensitivity was 100% and specificity was 76.5%. Further verification based on the data of 91 patients with SFTS admitted to the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University demonstrated a mortality rate of 51% (24/47) among those with HCT-ALB values >4.75 on day 7 of the disease course, highlighting the potential of the HCT-ALB value of >4.75 for predicting SFTS prognosis. High HCT-ALB values are closely related to the mortality of patients with SFTS. HCT-ALB is a sensitive and independent predictor of early disease in patients with SFTS.
Hao Y
,Sun J
,Wang X
,Wu Q
,Wang W
,Zhang A
,Huifen Kuai BS
,Yang J
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