Different Models, Same Results: Considerations When Choosing Between Approaches to Model Cost Effectiveness of Chimeric-Antigen Receptor T-Cell Therapy Versus Standard of Care.

Chimeric antigen-receptor T-cell therapy (CAR-T) is characterised by early phase data at the time of registration, high upfront cost and a complex manufacturing and administration process compared with standard therapies. Our objective was to compare the performance of different models to assess the cost effectiveness of CAR-T using a state-transition model (STM), partitioned survival model (PSM) and discrete event simulation (DES). Individual data for tisagenlecleucel for the treatment of young patients with acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (ALL) were used to populate the models. Costs and benefits were measured over a lifetime to generate a cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY). Model performance was compared quantitatively on the outcomes generated and a checklist developed summarising the components captured by each model type relevant to assessing cost effectiveness of CAR-T. Models generated similar results with base-case analyses ranging from an incremental cost per QALY of $96,074-$99,625. DES was the only model to specifically capture CAR-T wait time, demonstrating a substantial loss of benefit of CAR-T with increased wait time. Although model type did not meaningfully impact base-case results, the ability to incorporate an outcome-based payment arrangement (OBA) and wait time are important elements to consider when selecting a model for CAR-T. DES provided greater flexibility compared with STM and PSM approaches to deal with the complex manufacturing and administration process that can lead to extended wait times and substantially reduce the benefit of CAR-T. This is an important consideration when selecting a model type for CAR-T, so major drivers of uncertainty are considered in funding decisions.

Gye A ，De Abreu Lourenco R ，Goodall S 《-》

Long-term Survival and Value of Chimeric Antigen Receptor T-Cell Therapy for Pediatric Patients With Relapsed or Refractory Leukemia.

Whittington MD ，McQueen RB ，Ollendorf DA ，Kumar VM ，Chapman RH ，Tice JA ，Pearson SD ，Campbell JD ... -  《-》

Discrete Event Simulation to Incorporate Infusion Wait-Time When Assessing Cost-Effectiveness of a Chimeric-Antigen Receptor T Cell Therapy.

The main objective was to use discrete event simulation to model the impact of wait-time, defined as the time between leukapheresis and chimeric antigen receptor (CAR-T) infusion, when assessing the cost-effectiveness of tisagenlecleucel in young patients with relapsed/refractory acute lymphoblastic leukemia. The movement of patients through the model was determined by parametric time-to-event distributions, with the competing risk of an event determining the costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) assigned. Cost-effectiveness was expressed using the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) for tisagenlecleucel compared with chemotherapy over the lifetime. The base case generated a total of 5.79 QALYs and $622 872 for tisagenlecleucel and 1.19 QALYs and $181 219 for blinatumomab, resulting in an ICER of $96 074 per QALY. An increase in mean CAR-T wait-time to 6.20 months reduced the benefit and costs of tisagenlecleucel to 2.78 QALYs and $294 478 because of fewer patients proceeding to infusion, reducing the ICER to $71 112 per QALY. Alternatively, when the cost of tisagenlecleucel was assigned pre-infusion in sensitivity analysis, the ICER increased with increasing wait-time. Under a payment arrangement where CAR-T cost is incurred post-infusion, the loss of benefit to patients is not reflected in the ICER. This may be misguiding to decision makers, where cost-effectiveness ratios are used to guide resource allocation. discrete event simulation is an important tool for economic modeling of CAR-T as it is amenable to capturing the impact of wait-time, facilitating better understanding of factors affecting service delivery and consequently informed decision making to deliver faster access to CAR-T for patients.

Gye A ，Lourenco RA ，Goodall S 《-》

Cost-effectiveness of Tisagenlecleucel vs Standard Care in High-risk Relapsed Pediatric Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia in Canada.

Furzer J ，Gupta S ，Nathan PC ，Schechter T ，Pole JD ，Krueger J ，Pechlivanoglou P ... -  《-》

Cost-Effectiveness of Chimeric Antigen Receptor T-Cell Therapy in Pediatric Relapsed/Refractory B-Cell Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia.

Chimeric antigen receptor T-cell (CAR-T) therapy is a promising new class of cancer therapy but has a high up-front cost. We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of CAR-T therapy among pediatric patients with relapsed/refractory B-cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia (B-ALL). We built a microsimulation model for pediatric patients with relapsed/refractory B-ALL receiving either CAR-T therapy or standard of care. Outcomes included costs, quality of life (health utility), complications, and survival. We measured cost-effectiveness with the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), with ICERs under $100 000 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) considered cost effective. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were used to test model uncertainty. Compared to standard of care, CAR-T therapy increased overall cost by $528 200 and improved effectiveness by 8.18 QALYs, resulting in an ICER of $64 600/QALY. The model was sensitive to assumptions about long-term CAR-T survival, the complete remission rate of CAR-T patients, and the health utility of long-term survivors. The base model assumed a 76.0% one-year survival with CAR-T, although if this decreased to 57.8%, then CAR-T was no longer cost effective. If the complete remission rate of CAR-T recipients decreased from 81% to 56.2%, or if the health utility of disease-free survivors decreased from 0.94 to 0.66, then CAR-T was no longer cost effective. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis found that CAR-T was cost effective in 94.8% of iterations at a willingness to pay of $100 000/QALY. CAR-T therapy may represent a cost-effective option for pediatric relapsed/refractory B-ALL, although longer follow-up of CAR-T survivors is required to confirm validity of these findings.

Sarkar RR ，Gloude NJ ，Schiff D ，Murphy JD ... -  《-》