Spatial variation and geographical weighted regression analysis to explore open defecation practice and its determinants among households in Ethiopia.

In Ethiopia, recent evidence revealed that over a quarter (27%) of households (HHs) defecated openly in bush or fields, which play a central role as the source of many water-borne infectious diseases, including cholera. Ethiopia is not on the best track to achieve the SDG of being open-defecation-free by 2030. Therefore, this study aimed to explore the spatial variation and geographical inequalities of open defecation (OD) among HHs in Ethiopia. This was a country-wide community-based cross-sectional study among a weighted sample of 8663 HHs in Ethiopia. The global spatial autocorrelation was explored using the global Moran's-I, and the local spatial autocorrelation was presented by Anselin Local Moran's-I to evaluate the spatial patterns of OD practice in Ethiopia. Hot spot and cold spot areas of OD were detected using ArcGIS 10.8. The most likely high and low rates of clusters with OD were explored using SaTScan 10.1. Geographical weighted regression analysis (GWR) was fitted to explore the geographically varying coefficients of factors associated with OD. The prevalence of OD in Ethiopia was 27.10% (95% CI: 22.85-31.79). It was clustered across enumeration areas (Global Moran's I = 0.45, Z-score = 9.88, P-value ≤ 0.001). Anselin Local Moran's I analysis showed that there was high-high clustering of OD at Tigray, Afar, Northern Amhara, Somali, and Gambela regions, while low-low clustering of OD was observed at Addis Ababa, Dire-Dawa, Harari, SNNPR, and Southwest Oromia. Hotspot areas of OD were detected in the Tigray, Afar, eastern Amhara, Gambela, and Somali regions. Tigray, Afar, northern Amhara, eastern Oromia, and Somali regions were explored as having high rates of OD. The GWR model explained 75.20% of the geographical variation of OD among HHs in Ethiopia. It revealed that as the coefficients of being rural residents, female HH heads, having no educational attainment, having no radio, and being the poorest HHs increased, the prevalence of OD also increased. The prevalence of OD in Ethiopia was higher than the pooled prevalence in sub-Saharan Africa. Tigray, Afar, northern Amhara, eastern Oromia, and Somali regions had high rates of OD. Rural residents, being female HH heads, HHs with no educational attainment, HHs with no radio, and the poorest HHs were spatially varying determinants that affected OD. Therefore, the government of Ethiopia and stakeholders need to design interventions in hot spots and high-risk clusters. The program managers should plan interventions and strategies like encouraging health extension programs, which aid in facilitating basic sanitation facilities in rural areas and the poorest HHs, including female HHs, as well as community mobilization with awareness creation, especially for those who are uneducated and who do not have radios.

Derseh NM ，Alemayehu MA ，Agimas MC ，Yismaw GA ，Tesfie TK ，Abuhay HW ... -  《PLoS One》

Mapping and predicting open defecation in Ethiopia: 2021 PMA-ET study.

There has been extensive research conducted on open defecation in Ethiopia, but a notable gap persists in comprehensively understanding the spatial variation and predictors at the household level. This study utilizes data from the 2021 Performance Monitoring for Action Ethiopia (PMA-ET) to address this gap by identifying hotspots and predictors of open defecation. Employing geographically weighted regression analysis, it goes beyond traditional models to account for spatial heterogeneity, offering a nuanced understanding of geographical variations in open defecation prevalence and its determinants. This research pinpoints hotspot areas and significant predictors, aiding policymakers and practitioners in tailoring interventions effectively. It not only fills the knowledge gap in Ethiopia but also informs global sanitation initiatives. The study comprised a total weighted sample of 24,747 household participants. ArcGIS version 10.7 and SaT Scan version 9.6 were used to handle mapping, hotspots, ordinary least squares, Bernoulli model analysis, and Spatial regression. Bernoulli-based model was used to analyze the purely spatial cluster detection of open defecation at the household level in Ethiopia. Ordinary Least Square (OLS) analysis and geographically weighted regression analysis were employed to assess the association between an open defecation and explanatory variables. The spatial distribution of open defecation at the household level exhibited clustering (global Moran's I index value of 4.540385, coupled with a p-value of less than 0.001), with significant hotspots identified in Amhara, Afar, Harari, and parts of Dire Dawa. Spatial analysis using Kuldorff's Scan identified six clusters, with four showing statistical significance (P-value < 0.05) in Amhara, Afar, Harari, Tigray, and southwest Ethiopia. In the geographically weighted regression model, being male [coefficient = 0.87, P-value < 0.05] and having no media exposure (not watching TV or listening to the radio) [coefficient = 0.47, P-value < 0.05] emerged as statistically significant predictors of household-level open defecation in Ethiopia. The study revealed that open defecation at the household level in Ethiopia varies across the regions, with significant hotspots identified in Amhara, Afar, Harari, and parts of Dire Dawa. Geographically weighted regression analysis highlights male participants lacking media exposure as substantial predictors of open defecation. Targeted interventions in Ethiopia should improve media exposure among males in hotspot regions, tailored sanitation programs, and region-specific awareness campaigns. Collaboration with local communities is crucial.

Kebede N ，Delie AM ，Bogale EK ，Anagaw TF ，Tiruneh MG ，Fenta ET ，Endeshaw D ，Eshetu HB ，Adal O ，Tareke AA ... -  《BMC PUBLIC HEALTH》

Geospatial variation of exclusive breastfeeding and its determinants among mothers of infants under 6 months in Ethiopia: spatial and geographical weighted regression analysis.

Exclusive breastfeeding (EBF) is a major public health problem in Ethiopia. However, the spatial variation of EBF and the associated factors have not been studied as much as we have searched. This study aimed at assessing geospatial variation and the predictors of EBF using geographically weighted regression. A cross-sectional study was conducted using the 2019 Mini-Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey data set. The study used a total weighted sample of 548 infants. Hotspot spatial analysis showed the hotspot and cold spot areas of EBF. The spatial distribution of EBF was interpolated for the target population using spatial interpolation analysis. SaTScan V.9.6 software was used to detect significant clusters. Ordinary least squares regression analysis identified significant spatial predictors. In geographically weighted regression analysis, the effect of predictor variables on the spatial variation of EBF was detected using local coefficients. The weighted prevalence of EBF in Ethiopia was 58.97% (95% CI 52.67% to 64.99%), and its spatial distribution was found to be clustered (global Moran's I=0.56, p<0.001). Significant hotspot areas were located in Amhara, Tigray, Southern Nations, Nationalities, and Peoples' Region, and Somali regions, while significant cold spots were located in Dire Dawa, Addis Ababa and Oromia regions. Kulldorff's SaTScan V.9.6 was used to detect significant clusters of EBF using a 50% maximum cluster size per population. The geographically weighted regression model explained 35.75% of the spatial variation in EBF. The proportions of households with middle wealth index and married women were significant spatial predictors of EBF. Middle wealth index and married women were significant spatial predictors of EBF. Our detailed map of EBF hotspot areas will help policymakers and health programmers encourage the practice of EBF in hotspot areas and set national and regional programmes focused on improving EBF in cold spots by considering significant predictor variables.

Yismaw GA ，Abuhay HW ，Alemayehu MA ，Derseh NM ，Agimas MC ，Tesfie TK ... -  《-》

Hotspots of female genital mutilation/cutting and associated factors among girls in Ethiopia: a spatial and multilevel analysis.

Geremew TT ，Azage M ，Mengesha EW 《BMC PUBLIC HEALTH》

Geospatial patterns, and individual and community levels factors of cesarean section deliveries in Ethiopia: A spatial and multilevel analysis.

Cesarean Section (CS) is the most popular surgery worldwide in obstetric care to save a mother's or the fetus's life. The prevalence of CS delivery in Ethiopia was 0.7% and 1.9% in 2000 and 2016 respectively and its spatial distribution and variation in Ethiopia are limited. This study provides evidence for healthcare providers and pregnant women on the national CS geospatial distribution and variation to promote evidence-based decision-making and improve maternal and neonatal outcomes. Therefore, this study aimed to determine geospatial patterns and individual and community-level factors of CS deliveries in Ethiopia. A secondary data analysis of 5,527 weighted samples of mothers using the 2019 Ethiopian mini demographic and health survey was conducted. The spatial hotspot analysis using Getis-Ord Gi* hot spot analysis of ArcGIS version 10.7.1 was used to show the spatial cluster of CS and multilevel mixed effect logistic regression analyses were employed. Statistical significance was declared at p-value <0.05 and adjusted odds ratio (AOR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) was reported. The prevalence of CS delivery in Ethiopia was 5.4% with 95%CI (4.6%, 6.4%). The spatial autocorrelation shows CS was clustered in Ethiopia (global Moran's index = 1.009, and p-value<0.001). Spatial hotspot indicates CS was prevalent in Addis Ababa, Diredewa, Oromo, and Somali regions. The odds of CS delivery were higher among mothers aged 24-35: AOR = 1.98, 95% CI (1.3, 3.1), and 35-49: AOR = 3.7, 95% CI(2.2, 6.1), live with female household heads: AOR = 1.9, 95% CI (1.2, 3.1), mothers with primary AOR = 1.6, 95% CI (1.07, 2.7), secondary: AOR = 2.4, 95% CI (1.3, 4.25) and higher education: AOR = 2.06, 95% CI (1.03, 4.2), multiple births: AOR = 8.1, 95% CI (3.4, 19.74), mothers in Addis Ababa: AOR = 3.4, 95% CI (1.1, 11.9) and Diredewa: AOR = 7, 95% CI (1.23, 40.7) as compared to their counterparts. In Ethiopia, CS deliveries remain below the World Health Organization estimate with distinct geospatial variation. Geographically, CS delivery is concentrated in urban areas like Addis Ababa and Diredewa, as well as in parts of the Somali and Oromia regions. Maternal age, female household head, Muslim religion, higher educational status, and multiple births at the individual level, and region at the community level were factors of CS delivery in Ethiopia. Therefore, efforts should be geared towards strategies and interventions to ensure fair access to CS delivery in line with WHO recommendations, especially in the regions where the CS delivery rate is below WHO estimates in Tigray, Amhara, Afar, and Benishangul Gumze regions.

Endawkie A ，Kebede SD ，Kebede N ，Mihiretu MM ，Bekele Enyew E ，Ayele K ，Asmare L ，Bayou FD ，Arefaynie M ，Tsega Y ... -  《PLoS One》