Metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR) predicts all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in the general population: evidence from NHANES 2001-2018.

The prevalence of obesity-associated insulin resistance (IR) is increasing along with the increase in obesity rates. In this study, we compared the predictive utility of four alternative indexes of IR [triglyceride glucose index (TyG index), metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR), the triglyceride/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (TG/HDL-C) ratio and homeostatic model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR)] for all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality in the general population based on key variables screened by the Boruta algorithm. The aim was to find the best replacement index of IR. In this study, 14,653 participants were screened from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (2001-2018). And TyG index, METS-IR, TG/HDL-C and HOMA-IR were calculated separately for each participant according to the given formula. The predictive values of IR replacement indexes for all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality in the general population were assessed. Over a median follow-up period of 116 months, a total of 2085 (10.23%) all-cause deaths and 549 (2.61%) cardiovascular disease (CVD) related deaths were recorded. Multivariate Cox regression and restricted cubic splines analysis showed that among the four indexes, only METS-IR was significantly associated with both all-cause and CVD mortality, and both showed non-linear associations with an approximate "U-shape". Specifically, baseline METS-IR lower than the inflection point (41.33) was negatively associated with mortality [hazard ratio (HR) 0.972, 95% CI 0.950-0.997 for all-cause mortality]. In contrast, baseline METS-IR higher than the inflection point (41.33) was positively associated with mortality (HR 1.019, 95% CI 1.011-1.026 for all-cause mortality and HR 1.028, 95% CI 1.014-1.043 for CVD mortality). We further stratified the METS-IR and showed that significant associations between METS-IR levels and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality were predominantly present in the nonelderly population aged < 65 years. In conjunction with the results of the Boruta algorithm, METS-IR demonstrated a more significant association with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in the U.S. population compared to the other three alternative IR indexes (TyG index, TG/HDL-C and HOMA-IR), particularly evident in individuals under 65 years old.

Duan M ，Zhao X ，Li S ，Miao G ，Bai L ，Zhang Q ，Yang W ，Zhao X ... -  《Cardiovascular Diabetology》

Association between various insulin resistance indices and cardiovascular disease in middle-aged and elderly individuals: evidence from two prospectives nationwide cohort surveys.

The estimated glucose disposal rate (eGDR), triglyceride glucose (TyG), triglyceride to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (TG/HDL-C) ratio, and metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR) are dependent indicators of insulin resistance (IR). We aimed to evaluate the association between these indicators and the current or feature incidence of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in middle-aged and elderly individuals. This study tests the hypothesis that IR indices positively or negatively correlate with CVD, and that the potential predictive performance of the IR indices was not the same. Middle-aged and elderly individuals from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) and the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) with complete data on eGDR, TyG, TG/HDL-C, and METS-IR at baseline were obtained. The association between the four indices and CVD was evaluated using multivariate logistic regression analysis. In addition, an adjusted restricted cubic spline (RCS) was applied. Finally, the potential predictive performance of the IR indices was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. We included 7,220 participants (mean age: 61.9 ± 10.7 years; 54.0% male) from the NHANES cohort and 6,426 participants (mean age: 57.9 ± 8.4 years; 45.2% male) from the CHARLS cohort in the study. Multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that a decreasing eGDR significantly increased the incidence of CVD both presently and in the future. Similarly, a higher TyG level and METS-IR were significantly associated with a higher incidence of CVD at both timeframes. However, the TG/HDL-C ratio was not significantly associated with CVD, heart disease, or stroke. No significant interactions were observed between the continuous or quartile variables of eGDR, TyG, TG/HDL-C, or METS-IR, and the incidence of various endpoints across most subgroups. The ROC curve indicated the superior predictive performance of the IR indices. Furthermore, the eGDR was superior to other IR indices for the prediction of CVD both at present and in the future in middle-aged and elderly individuals. As continuous variables, eGDR, TyG, and METS-IR were significantly associated with the incidence of CVD, both currently and in the future, among middle-aged and elderly individuals. Notably, incorporating eGDR, TyG, or METS-IR and the basic model significantly increased the predictive value for CVD. Among these indices, the eGDR index stands out as the most promising parameter for predicting CVD, both at present and in the future.

Li Y ，Li H ，Chen X ，Liang X ... -  《Frontiers in Endocrinology》

Prognostic effect of triglyceride glucose-related parameters on all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in the United States adults with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease.

Insulin resistance (IR) plays a vital role in the pathogenesis of the metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). However, it remains unclear whether triglyceride-glucose (TyG) related parameters, which serve as useful biomarkers to assess IR, have prognostic effects on mortality outcomes of MASLD. Participants in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) database from 1999 to 2018 years were included. TyG and its related parameters [TyG-waist circumference (TyG-WC) and TyG-waist to height ratio (TyG-WHtR)] were calculated. Kaplan-Meier curves, Cox regression analysis, and restricted cubic splines (RCS) were conducted to evaluate the association between TyG-related indices with the all-cause and cardiovascular mortality of adults with MASLD. The concordance index (C-index) was used to evaluate the prediction accuracy of TyG-related indices. A total of 8208 adults (4209 men and 3999 women, median age 49.00 years) with MASLD were included in this study. Multivariate-adjusted Cox regression analysis revealed that high quartile levels of TyG-related indices were significantly associated with the all-cause mortality of participants with MASLD [TyGadjusted hazard ratio (aHR) = 1.25, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.05-1.50, P = 0.014; TyG-WCaHR for all-cause mortality = 1.28, 95% CI 1.07-1.52, P = 0.006; TyG-WHtRaHR for all-cause mortality = 1.50, 95% CI 1.25-1.80, P < 0.001; TyG-WCaHR for cardiovascular mortality = 1.81, 95% CI 1.28-2.55, P = 0.001; TyG-WHtRaHR for cardiovascular mortality = 2.22, 95% CI 1.55-3.17, P < 0.001]. The C-index of TyG-related indices for predicting all-cause mortality was 0.563 for the TyG index, 0.579 for the TyG-WC index, and 0.585 for the TyG-WHtR index, respectively. Regarding cardiovascular mortality, the C-index was 0.561 for the TyG index, 0.607 for the TyG-WC index, and 0.615 for the TyG-WHtR index, respectively. Nonlinear trends were observed between TyG and TyG-WC indices with all-cause mortality of MASLD (P < 0.001 and = 0.012, respectively). A non-linear relationship was observed between the TyG index and cardiovascular mortality of MASLD (P = 0.025). Subgroup analysis suggested that adults aged < 65 years old and those without comorbidities were more sensitive to the mortality prediction of TyG-related indices. Findings of this study highlight the predictive value of TyG-related indices, especially the TyG-WHtR index, in the mortality outcomes of adults with MASLD. TyG-related indices would be surrogate biomarkers for the clinical management of MASLD.

Min Y ，Wei X ，Wei Z ，Song G ，Zhao X ，Lei Y ... -  《Cardiovascular Diabetology》

Association between the triglyceride-glucose index and all-cause and CVD mortality in the young population with diabetes.

Although studies have demonstrated the value of the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index for cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cardiovascular mortality, however, few studies have shown that the TyG index is associated with all-cause or CVD mortality in young patients with diabetes. This study aimed to investigate the association between the TyG index and all-cause and CVD mortality in young patients with diabetes in the United States. Our study recruited 2440 young patients with diabetes from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2001-2018. Mortality outcomes were determined by linking to National Death Index (NDI) records up to December 31, 2019. Cox regression modeling was used to investigate the association between TyG index and mortality in young patients with diabetes. The nonlinear association between TyG index and mortality was analyzed using restricted cubic splines (RCS), and a two-segment Cox proportional risk model was constructed for both sides of the inflection point. During a median follow-up period of 8.2 years, 332 deaths from all causes and 82 deaths from cardiovascular disease were observed. Based on the RCS, the TyG index was found to have a U-shaped association with all-cause and CVD mortality in young patients with diabetes, with threshold values of 9.18 and 9.16, respectively. When the TyG index was below the threshold value (TyG index < 9.18 in all-cause mortality and < 9.16 in CVD mortality), its association with all-cause and CVD mortality was not significant. When the TyG index was above the threshold (TyG index ≥ 9.18 in all-cause mortality and ≥ 9.16 in CVD mortality), it showed a significant positive association with all-cause mortality and CVD mortality (HR 1.77, 95% CI 1.05-2.96 for all-cause mortality and HR 2.38, 95% CI 1.05-5.38 for CVD mortality). Our results suggest a U-shaped association between TyG index and all-cause and CVD mortality among young patients with diabetes in the United States, with threshold values of 9.18 and 9.16 for CVD and all-cause mortality, respectively.

Liu C ，Liang D ，Xiao K ，Xie L ... -  《Cardiovascular Diabetology》

Association between triglyceride-glucose related indices with the all-cause and cause-specific mortality among the population with metabolic syndrome.

Triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index has been determined to play a role in the onset of metabolic syndrome (MetS). Whether the TyG index and TyG with the combination of obesity indicators are associated with the clinical outcomes of the MetS population remains unknown. Participants were extracted from multiple cycles of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) between 1999 and 2018 years. Three indicators were constructed including TyG index, TyG combining with waist circumference (TyG-WC), and TyG combining with waist-to-height ratio (TyG-WHtR). The MetS was defined according to the National Cholesterol Education Program (NCPE) Adult Treatment Panel III. Kaplan-Meier (KM) curves, restricted cubic splines (RCS), and the Cox proportional hazard model were used to evaluate the associations between TyG-related indices and mortality of the MetS population. The sensitive analyses were performed to check the robustness of the main findings. There were 10,734 participants with MetS included in this study, with 5,570 females and 5,164 males. The median age of the study population was 59 years old. The multivariate Cox regression analyses showed high levels of TyG-related indices were significantly associated with the all-cause mortality of MetS population [TyG index: adjustedhazard ratio (aHR): 1.36, 95%confidence interval (CI): 1.18-1.56, p < 0.001; TyG-WHtR index: aHR = 1.29, 95%CI: 1.13-1.47, p < 0.001]. Meanwhile, the TyG-WC and TyG-WHtR index were associated with cardiovascular mortality of the MetS population (TyG-WC: aHR = 1.45, 95%CI: 1.13-1.85, p = 0.004; TyG-WHtR: aHR = 1.50 95%CI: 1.17-1.92, p = 0.002). Three TyG-related indices showed consistent significant correlations with diabetes mortality (TyG: aHR = 4.06, 95%CI: 2.81-5.87, p < 0.001; TyG-WC: aHR = 2.55, 95%CI: 1.82-3.58, p < 0.001; TyG-WHtR: aHR = 2.53 95%CI: 1.81-3.54, p < 0.001). The RCS curves showed a non-linear trend between TyG and TyG-WC indices with all-cause mortality (p for nonlinearity = 0.004 and 0.001, respectively). The sensitive analyses supported the positive correlations between TyG-related indices with mortality of the MetS population. Our study highlights the clinical value of TyG-related indices in predicting the survival of the MetS population. TyG-related indices would be the surrogate biomarkers for the follow-up of the MetS population.

Wei X ，Min Y ，Song G ，Ye X ，Liu L ... -  《Cardiovascular Diabetology》