Evaluating the impact of urbanization on the urban heat islands through integrated radius and non-linear regression approach.

Urban heat islands (UHIs) are a significant environmental problem, exacerbating the urban climate and affecting human health in the Asir region of Saudi Arabia. The need to understand the spatio-temporal dynamics of UHI in the context of urban expansion is crucial for sustainable urban planning. The aim of this study was to quantify the changes in land use and land cover (LULC) and urbanization, assess the expansion process of UHI, and analyze its connectivity in order to develop strategies to mitigate UHI in an urban context over a 30-year period from 1990 to 2020. Using remote sensing data, LULC changes were analyzed with a random forest model. LULC change rate (LCCR), land cover intensity (LCI), and landscape expansion index (LEI) were calculated to quantify urbanization. The land surface temperature for the study period was calculated using the mono-window algorithm. The UHI effect was analyzed using an integrated radius and non-linear regression approach, fitting SUHI data to polynomial curves and identifying turning points based on the regression derivative for UHI intensity belts to quantify the expansion and intensification of UHI. Landscape metrics such as the aggregation index (AI), landscape shape index (LSI), and four other matrices were calculated to assess UHI morphology and connectivity of the UHI. In addition, the LEI was adopted to measure the extent of UHI growth patterns. From 1990 to 2020, the study area experienced significant urbanization, with the built-up area increasing from 69.40 to 338.74 km2, an increase of 1.923 to 9.385% of the total area. This expansion included growth in peripheral areas of 129.33 km2, peripheral expansion of 85.40 km2, and infilling of 3.80 km2. At the same time, the UHI effect intensified with an increase in mean LST from 40.55 to 46.73 °C. The spatial extent of the UHI increased, as shown by the increase in areas with an LST above 50 °C from 36.58 km2 in 1990 to 133.52 km2 in 2020. The connectivity of the UHI also increased, as shown by the increase in the AI from 38.91 to 41.30 and the LSI from 56.72 to 93.64, reflecting a more irregular and fragmented urban landscape. In parallel to these urban changes, the area classified as UHI increased significantly, with the peripheral areas expanding from 23.99 km2 in the period 1990-2000 to 80.86 km2 in the period 2000-2020. Peripheral areas also grew significantly from 36.42 to 96.27 km2, contributing to an overall more pronounced and interconnected UHI effect by 2020. This study provides a comprehensive analysis of urban expansion and its thermal impacts. It highlights the need for integrated urban planning that includes strategies to mitigate the UHI effect, such as improving green infrastructure, optimizing land use, and improving urban design to counteract the negative effects of urbanization.

Bindajam AA ，Hang HT ，Alshayeb MJ ，Shohan AAA ，Mallick J ... -  《-》

Quantitative assessment of interplay between urbanization dynamics and land surface temperature variations using generalized additive model coupled PDP for sustainable urban planning and management.

Shohan AAA ，Bindajam AA ，Hang HT ，Alshayeb MJ ，Alsulamy S ，Mallick J ... -  《-》

Research on the spatiotemporal coupling relationships between land use/land cover compositions or patterns and the surface urban heat island effect.

Urbanization leads to changes in landscape configuration and land use/land cover (LULC) patterns, and these changes are important factors affecting the surface urban heat island (SUHI) effect. However, from the perspective of spatiotemporal changes, quantitative analytical results regarding the impacts of the LULC composition, configuration, and pattern in inland plateau lakeside cities on the SUHI effect, and the responsive relationships among these factors remain unclear. By combining satellite remote sensing data with analytical methods, such as urban-rural gradients, spatial statistics, and landscape pattern indices, the impacts of LULC changes on the SUHI effect in Kunming, China, are revealed. The results show the following. (1) The explosive growth in impervious surfaces (ISs) caused by urbanization, leading to changes in the LULC composition, configuration and pattern, is the main reason for the deterioration of the SUHI effect. Over the past 30 years, Kunming's ISs have increased by 304.58 km2, SUHI has expanded by 764.26 km2, and the regional average land surface temperature (LST) has increased by 1 °C. (2) This study also found that a large area of bare ground is another important reason for the sharp rise in LST, explaining why bare land (BL) has the highest average LST (28.72 °C). (3) The pattern of LULC can well explain the spatial distribution characteristics of SUHIs. The normalized difference built-up index (NDBI), normalized difference bareness index (NDBaI), and LST have the same change curve along the urban-rural gradient, while the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), modified normalized difference water index (MNDWI), and LST have opposite trends. (4) ISs and water body (WB) are the main types of warming and cooling, respectively, but the warming effect of ISs is greater than the cooling effect of WB. From the average value of the correlation coefficient with LST, NDBI (0.84) > MNDWI (-0.63). (5) Kunming's remote sensing index values do not have simple linear relationships with the LST. NDBaI, NDBI, and LST show significant exponential relationships, and NDVI, MNDWI, and LST show significant quadratic polynomial relationships. (6) The dominant landscape type determines the correlation between the landscape shape index (LSI) and the LST of green spaces (GSs). (7) Adopting a simple and regular landscape layout can effectively reduce the SUHI effect. These research results could provide a scientific decision-making basis for the spatial urban planning and ecological construction of Kunming and could have practical significance for guiding the green, healthy, and sustainable development of the city.

Ma X ，Peng S 《-》

Evaluating the impact of landscape configuration, patterns and composition on land surface temperature: an urban heat island study in the Megacity Lahore, Pakistan.

The urban heat island (UHI) phenomenon is negatively impacted by rapid urbanization, which significantly affects people's everyday lives, socioeconomic activities, and the urban thermal environment. This study focuses on the impact of composition, configuration, and landscape patterns on land surface temperature (LST) in Lahore, Pakistan. The study uses Landsat 5-TM and Landsat 8-OLI/TIRS data acquired over the years 2000, 2010 and 2020 to derive detailed information on land use, normalized difference vegetation index, LST, urban cooling islands (UCI), green cooling islands (GCI) and landscape metrics at the class and landscape level such as percentage of the landscape (PLAND), patch density (PD), class area (CA), largest patch index (LPI), number of patches (NP), aggregation index (AI), Landscape Shape Index (LSI), patch richness (PR), and mean patch shape index (SHAPE_MN). The study's results show that from the years 2000 to 2020, the built-up area increased by 17.57%, whereas vacant land, vegetation, and water bodies declined by 03.79%, 13.32% and 0.4% respectively. Furthermore, landscape metrics at the class level (PLAND, LSI, LPI, PD, AI, and NP) show that the landscape of Lahore is becoming increasingly heterogeneous and fragmented over time. The mean LST in the study area exhibited an increasing trend i.e. 18.87°C in 2000, 20.93°C in 2010, and 22.54°C in 2020. The significant contribution of green spaces is vital for reducing the effects of UHI and is highlighted by the fact that the mean LST of impervious surfaces is, on average, roughly 3°C higher than that of urban green spaces. The findings also demonstrate that there is a strong correlation between mean LST and both the amount of green space (which is negative) and impermeable surface (which is positive). The increasing trend of fragmentation and shape complexity highlighted a positive correlation with LST, while all area-related matrices including PLAND, CA and LPI displayed a negative correlation with LST. The mean LST was significantly correlated with the size, complexity of the shape, and aggregation of the patches of impervious surface and green space, although aggregation demonstrated the most constant and robust correlation. The results indicate that to create healthier and more comfortable environments in cities, the configuration and composition of urban impermeable surfaces and green spaces should be important considerations during the landscape planning and urban design processes.

Nasar-U-Minallah M ，Haase D ，Qureshi S 《-》

Quantitative assessment of land surface temperature and vegetation indices on a kilometer grid scale.

Due to expanding populations and thriving economies, studies into the built environment's thermal characteristics have increased. This research tracks and predicts how land use and land cover (LULC) changes may affect ground temperatures, urban heat islands, and city thermal fields (UTFVI). The current study examines land surface temperature (LST), urban thermal field variance index (UTFVI), normalized difference built-up index (NDBI), normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), and land use land cover (LULC) on a kilometer scale. According to the comparative study, the mean LST decreases by 3 °C and the NDVI increases considerably. Correlation analysis showed that LST and NDVI are inversely connected, while LST and NDBI are positively correlated. NDVI and NDBI have a strong negative association, while LST and UTFVI have a positive correlation. Urban planners and environmentalists can study the LST's effects on land surface parameters in different environmental contexts during the lockout period. The urban heat island (UHI) phenomenon, in which the land surface qualities of an urban region cause a change in the urban thermal environment, forms and intensifies over an urban area. The minimum and maximum LST in grid number 1 in 2009 was 20.30 °C and 29.91 °C, respectively, with a mean LST of 25.1 °C. There was a decline in the minimum and maximum LST in grid number 1 in 2020 with a minimum and maximum LST of 17.31 °C and 25.35 °C, respectively, with a mean LST of 21.33 °C. There was a 3.8 °C drop in the LST of this grid. The minimum and maximum NDVI were also - 0.16 and 0.59, respectively, with an average NDVI value of 0.21. Therefore, it is essential to evaluate and foresee the impact of LULC change on the thermal environment and examines the connection between LULC shifts with subsequent changes in land surface temperature (LST) along with the UHI phenomenon. Maps of the UTFVI reveal positive UHI phenomena, with the highest UTFVI zones occurring over the developed area and none over the adjacent rural territory. During the summer months, the urban area with the strongest UTFVI zone grows noticeably larger than it does during the winter months during the forecasted years. Future policymakers and city planners can mitigate the effects of heat stress and create more sustainable urban environments by evaluating the expected distribution maps of LULC, LST, UHI, and UTFVI.

Kikon N ，Kumar D ，Ahmed SA 《-》