Predicting central cervical lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid carcinoma with Hashimoto's thyroiditis: a practical nomogram based on retrospective study.

In papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) patients with Hashimoto's thyroiditis (HT), preoperative ultrasonography frequently reveals the presence of enlarged lymph nodes in the central neck region. These nodes pose a diagnostic challenge due to their potential resemblance to metastatic lymph nodes, thereby impacting the surgical decision-making process for clinicians in terms of determining the appropriate surgical extent. Logistic regression analysis was conducted to identify independent risk factors associated with central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) in PTC patients with HT. Then a prediction model was developed and visualized using a nomogram. The stability of the model was assessed using ten-fold cross-validation. The performance of the model was further evaluated through the use of ROC curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis. A total of 376 HT PTC patients were included in this study, comprising 162 patients with CLNM and 214 patients without CLNM. The results of the multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that age, Tg-Ab level, tumor size, punctate echogenic foci, and blood flow grade were identified as independent risk factors associated with the development of CLNM in HT PTC. The area under the curve (AUC) of this model was 0.76 (95% CI [0.71-0.80]). The sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and positive predictive value of the model were determined to be 88%, 51%, 67%, and 57%, respectively. The proposed clinic-ultrasound-based nomogram in this study demonstrated a favorable performance in predicting CLNM in HT PTCs. This predictive tool has the potential to assist clinicians in making well-informed decisions regarding the appropriate extent of surgical intervention for patients.

Wang L ，Zhang L ，Wang D ，Chen J ，Su W ，Sun L ，Jiang J ，Wang J ，Zhou Q ... -  《PeerJ》

The Impact of Coexistent Hashimoto's Thyroiditis on Central Compartment Lymph Node Metastasis in Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma.

Hashimoto's thyroiditis (HT) is the most prevalent inflammatory disorder of the thyroid gland. Current studies have reported the coexistence rate between HT and papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) is quite high. The objective of this study was to evaluate the impact of HT on the predictive factors of central compartment lymph node metastasis (CLNM) in PTC. A retrospective investigation was performed on PTC patients. They were subclassified into HT and non-HT groups. The results of preoperative neck ultrasound (US) examinations were reviewed. The clinical characteristics and the predictive value for CLNM were explored and compared between the two groups. A total of 756 patients were included in this study. There were more female patients (86.1%) in the PTC coexistent with the HT group than non-HT group. The patients with HT group had higher preoperative serum level of TSH. There was statistically significant difference between the HT patients and non-HT patients in nodular vascularization. Univariate and multivariate analyses showed that male, age ≤45 years old, tumor diameter >1 cm, and presence of suspicious central compartment lymph node on US, irregular nodular shape, multifocal carcinoma were independent predictive factors of CLNM in PTC patients. It was showed that male, age ≤45 years old, tumor diameter >1 cm, multifocality, and presence of suspicious central lymph node on US were risk factors for CLNM in non-HT patients. Only tumor diameter >1 cm and presence of suspicious central lymph node on US were independently correlated with CLNM in HT patients. The sensitivity of the multivariate model was 63.5%, and specificity was 88.9% for prediction CLNM in HT patients. For non-HT patients, the AUC was 80.6%, the sensitivity of the multivariate model was 64.5%, and specificity was 85.2. PTC combined with HT is more common in women, and TSH level in HT group is higher than that in patients with PTC alone. Regardless of that HT is not a related risk factor of CLNM in PTC, our result suggested that different predictive systems should be used for HT and non-HT patients respectively to have a more accurate evaluation of CLNM in clinic.

Liu Y ，Lv H ，Zhang S ，Shi B ，Sun Y ... -  《Frontiers in Endocrinology》

A comprehensive prediction model for central lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid carcinoma with Hashimoto's thyroiditis: BRAF may not be a valuable predictor.

Papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) frequently coexists with Hashimoto's thyroiditis (HT), which poses challenges in detecting central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) and determining optimal surgical management. Our study aimed to identify the independent predictors for CLNM in PTC patients with HT and develop a comprehensive prediction model for individualized clinical decision-making. In this retrospective study, a total of 242 consecutive PTC patients who underwent thyroid surgery and central lymph node dissection between February 2019 and December 2021 were included. 129 patients with HT were enrolled as the case group and 113 patients without HT as control. The results of patients' general information, laboratory examination, ultrasound features, pathological evaluation, and BRAF mutation were collected. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent predictors, and the prediction model and nomogram were developed for PTC patients with HT. The performance of the model was assessed using the receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration curve, decision curve analysis, and clinical impact curve. In addition, the impact of the factor BRAF mutation was further evaluated. Multivariate analysis revealed that gender (OR = 8.341, P = 0.013, 95% CI: 1.572, 44.266), maximum diameter (OR = 0.316, P = 0.029, 95% CI: 0.113, 0.888), multifocality (OR = 3.238, P = 0.010, 95% CI: 1.319, 7.948), margin (OR = 2.750, P = 0.046, 95% CI: 1.020, 7.416), and thyrotropin receptor antibody (TR-Ab) (OR = 0.054, P = 0.003, 95% CI: 0.008, 0.374) were identified as independent predictors for CLNM in PTC patients with HT. The area under the curve of the model was 0.82, with accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of 77.5%, 80.3% and 75.0%, respectively. Meanwhile, the model showed satisfactory performance in the internal validation. Moreover, the results revealed that BRAF mutation cannot further improve the efficacy of the prediction model. Male, maximum diameter > 10mm, multifocal tumors, irregular margin, and lower TR-Ab level have significant predictive value for CLNM in PTC patients with HT. Meanwhile, BRAF mutation may not have a valuable predictive role for CLNM in these cases. The nomogram constructed offers a convenient and valuable tool for clinicians to determine surgical decision and prognostication for patients.

Chen Y ，Zhao S ，Zhang Z ，Chen Z ，Jiang B ，An M ，Shang M ，Wu X ，Zhang X ，Chen B ... -  《Frontiers in Endocrinology》

The model for predicting the central lymph node metastasis in cN0 papillary thyroid microcarcinoma with Hashimoto's thyroiditis.

The relationship between Hashimoto's thyroiditis (HT) and papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) is controversial. These include central lymph node metastasis (CLNM), which affects the prognosis of PTMC patients. This study aimed to establish a predictive model combining ultrasonography and clinicopathological features to accurately evaluate latent CLNM in PTMC patients with HT at the clinical lymph node-negative (cN0) stage. In this study, 1102 PTMC patients who received thyroidectomy and central cervical lymph node dissection (CLND) from the First Affiliated Hospital of Shandong First Medical University from January 2021 to December 2022 and the 960th Hospital of PLA from January 2021 to December 2022 were jointly collected. The clinical differences between PTMCs with HT and those without HT were compared. A total of 373 PTMCs with HT in cN0 were randomly divided into a training cohort and a validation cohort. By analyzing and screening the risk factors of CLNM, a nomogram model was established and verified. The predictive performance was measured by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve, and clinical decision curve analysis (DCA). The ratio of central lymph node metastasis (CLNMR) in PTMCs with HT was 0.0% (0.0%, 15.0%) and 7.7% (0.0%, 40.0%) in the non-HT group (P<0.001). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age, gender, calcification, adjacent to trachea or capsule, and TPOAB were predictors of CLNM in PTMCs with HT. The areas under the curve (AUC) of the prediction models in the training cohort and the validation cohort were 0.835 and 0.825, respectively, which showed good differentiation ability. DCA indicates that the prediction model also has high net benefit and clinical practical value. This study found that CLN involvement was significantly reduced in PTMC patients with HT, suggesting that different methods should be used to predict CLNM in PTMC patients with HT and without HT, to more accurately assist preoperative clinical evaluation. The actual CLNM situation of PTMCs with HT in cN0 can be accurately predicted by the combination of ultrasonography and clinicopathological features.

Lin Y ，Cui N ，Li F ，Wang Y ，Wang B ... -  《Frontiers in Endocrinology》

Sonographic characteristics and clinical characteristics combined with nomogram for predicting the aggressiveness of papillary thyroid carcinoma coexisted with Hashimoto's thyroiditis.

The association between Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma (PTC) and coexistent Hashimoto's Thyroiditis (HT) was controversial. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the presence of HT exerts any influence on the aggressiveness of PTC, and to establish a nomogram for predicting the possibility of aggressiveness in PTC. 373 consecutive PTC patients with/without coexistent HT from January 2017 to December 2020 were retrospective reviewed. Patients' clinicopathologic and sonographic characteristics were collected for univariate and multivariate analyses. A nomogram was established based on the risk factors for aggressiveness in PTC. Male (p = 0.001), tumor size >1.0 cm (p = 0.046) and lymph node metastasis (p = 0.018) were negatively associated with PTC coexisted with HT, while it was significantly positively associated with the frequence of multifocality (p = 0.010). Univariate and multivariate analyses suggested that age ≥55 years (p = 0.000), male (p = 0.027), HT (p = 0.017), tumor size >1.0 cm (p = 0.015), multifocality (p = 0.041), distance to capsular ≤0 cm (p = 0.050) and blood flow (Grade I: p = 0.044) were independent risk factors for predicting the aggressiveness in PTC. A nomogram according to these predictors was further developed and validated. The receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC = 0.734 and 0.809 for training and validation cohorts, respectively) and decision curve analyses indicated that the nomogram model was clinically useful. The calibration curve revealed that the nomogram exhibited an excellent consistency. In this study, the coexistent HT might play a protective role in preventing the proliferation of PTC. Dispensable aggressive treatment may be reduced in PTC by pre-operative identification of sonographic and clinical characteristics and incorporating with the predicted nomogram model.

Zhao S ，Zhang Z ，Zhang X ，Wu X ，Chen Y ，Min X ，Chen B ... -  《-》