Spleen Stiffness-Based Algorithms Are Superior to Baveno VI Criteria to Rule Out Varices Needing Treatment in Patients With Advanced Chronic Liver Disease.

The Baveno VI criteria have set the stage for noninvasive assessment of compensated advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD). The algorithm combining liver stiffness measurement (LSM, <20 kPa) and platelet count (>150,000/μL) safely avoids screening endoscopy for varices needing treatment (VNT) but identifies only a relatively low number of patients. We aimed to evaluate the value of spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) using spleen-dedicated elastography in ruling out VNT. In this real-life multicenter retrospective derivation-validation cohort, all consecutive patients with ACLD (defined by LSM ≥10 kPa) with available upper endoscopy, laboratory results, spleen diameter, LSM, and SSM measured with spleen-dedicated transient elastography were included. VNT were defined as medium-to-large varices or small varices with red spots. In the derivation cohort (n = 201, 11.9% VNT), SSM demonstrated excellent capability at identifying VNT (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC] 0.88), outperforming LSM (AUROC 0.77, P = 0.03) and platelets (AUROC 0.73, P = 0.002). In comparison with Baveno VI criteria (33.8% spared endoscopies), the sequential Baveno VI plus SSM and a novel spleen size and stiffness model were able to increase the number of patients avoiding endoscopy (66.2% and 71.1%, respectively) without missing more than 5% of VNT. These findings were confirmed in an external validation cohort of patients with more advanced liver disease (n = 176, 34.7% VNT) in which the number of spared endoscopies tripled (27.3% and 31.3% for SSM-based algorithms) compared with Baveno VI criteria (8.5%). Spleen stiffness-based algorithms are superior to Baveno VI criteria in ruling out VNT in patients with ACLD and double the number of patients avoiding screening endoscopy.

Vanderschueren E ，Armandi A ，Kwanten W ，Cassiman D ，Francque S ，Schattenberg JM ，Laleman W ... -  《-》

Performance of spleen stiffness measurement by 100-Hz vibration-controlled transient elastography, liver stiffness, APRI score and their combination for predicting oesophageal varices in liver cirrhosis.

Oesophageal varices (EV) rupture remains one of the most severe complications of cirrhosis. As the gold standard to predict this accident, esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) itself also has a weakness. Not all patients are convenient with this modality in clinical practice apart from the risk and cost burden. Hence, the search for other non-invasive modalities with high accuracy is still noteworthy. Among them, spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) with 100 Hz probe, liver stiffness measurement (LSM), and the aspartate amino transferase to platelet ratio index (APRI) score became popular and intensively studied with good accuracy, but the results remain conflicting. This study aims to investigate the performance of SSM, LSM, APRI score, and their combination especially as a screening tool for predicting EV in liver cirrhosis patients. In this cross-sectional study, we included 141 patients with liver cirrhosis who had undergone endoscopy, SSM, LSM, and APRI score calculation between January and March 2023 were enrolled. Diagnostic accuracy was assessed by the area under the receiver-operator curve (AUC). Transient elastography (TE) measurement was performed using a spleen-dedicated FibroScan with a 100-Hz probe. Of the 141 patients, the most common aetiology was hepatitis B in 71 patients (50.4 %). EV were found in 116 patients. Using the AUC, SSM at a cutoff of 40 kPa had the best performance with an AUC of 0.892 (CI 95 %: 0.814-0.969, p <0.0001), with sensitivity 88.79 % and specificity 80 %). Meanwhile, LSM and APRI score had an AUC of 0.832 (CI 95 %: 0.742-0.922, p <0.0001) and 0.780 (CI 95 %: 0.660-0.900, p <0.0001), respectively. The combination of all measurement tools did not show better performance than SSM alone with an AUC of 0.892 (CI 95 %: 0.802-0.982, P <0.0001) CONCLUSION: SSM provides better performance than LSM and APRI scores for predicting EV. Performance of SSM alone is non-inferior compare to multiple diagnostic tools combined.

Kurniawan J ，Siahaan BSP 《-》

Performance of spleen stiffness measurement to rule out high-risk varices in patients with porto-sinusoidal vascular disorder.

Baveno VII consensus suggests that screening endoscopy can be spared in patients with compensated cirrhosis when spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) by vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) is ≤40 kPa as they have a low probability of high-risk varices (HRV). Conversely, screening endoscopy is required in all patients with porto-sinusoidal vascular disorder (PSVD). This study aimed to evaluate the performance of SSM-VCTE to rule out HRV in patients with PSVD and signs of portal hypertension. We retrospectively included patients with PSVD, ≥1 sign of portal hypertension, without a history of variceal bleeding, who underwent an SSM-VCTE within 2 years before or after an upper endoscopy in 21 VALDIG centers, divided into a derivation and a validation cohort. One hundred fifty-four patients were included in the derivation cohort; 43% had HRV. By multivariable logistic regression analysis, SSM-VCTE >40 kPa and serum bilirubin ≥1 mg/dL were associated with HRV. SSM-VCTE ≤40 kPa combined with bilirubin <1 mg/dL had a sensitivity of 96% to rule out HRV and could spare 38% of screening endoscopies, with 4% of HRV missed, and a 95% negative predictive value. In the validation cohort, including 155 patients, SSM combined with bilirubin could spare 21% of screening endoscopies, with 4% of HRV missed and a 94% negative predictive value. This study gathering a total of 309 patients with PSVD showed that SSM-VCTE ≤40 kPa combined with bilirubin <1 mg/dL identifies patients with PSVD and portal hypertension with a probability of HRV <5%, in whom screening endoscopy can be spared.

Moga L ，Paradis V ，Ferreira-Silva J ，Gudavalli K ，Indulti F ，Dajti E ，Nicoara-Farcau O ，Tosetti G ，Antonenko A ，Fodor A ，Vidal-González J ，Turco L ，Capinha F ，Elkrief L ，Monllor-Nunell T ，Goria O ，Balcar L ，Lannes A ，Mallet V ，Poujol-Robert A ，Thabut D ，Houssel-Debry P ，Wong YJ ，Ronot M ，Vilgrain V ，Rampally SP ，Payancé A ，Castera L ，Reiberger T ，Ferrusquía-Acosta J ，Noronha Ferreira C ，Vitale G ，Simon-Talero M ，Procopet B ，Berzigotti A ，Caccia R ，Turon F ，Schepis F ，Ravaioli F ，Colecchia A ，Valsan A ，Macedo G ，Plessier A ，Rautou PE ，ERN RARE-LIVER; a study of VALDIG, an EASL consortium ... -  《-》

A combined model based on spleen stiffness measurement and Baveno VI criteria to rule out high-risk varices in advanced chronic liver disease.

Recently, Baveno VI guidelines suggested that esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) can be avoided in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) who have a liver stiffness measurement (LSM) <20 kPa and platelet count >150,000/mm3. We aimed to: assess the performance of spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) in ruling out patients with high-risk varices (HRV); validate Baveno VI criteria in a large population and assess how the sequential use of Baveno VI criteria and SSM could safely avoid the need for endoscopy. We retrospectively analyzed 498 patients with cACLD who had undergone LSM/SSM by transient elastography (TE) (FibroScan®), platelet count and EGDs from 2012 to 2016 referred to our tertiary centre. The new combined model was validated internally by a split-validation method, and externally in a prospective multicentre cohort of 115 patients. SSM, LSM, platelet count and Child-Pugh-B were independent predictors of HRV. Applying the newly identified SSM cut-off (≤46 kPa) or Baveno VI criteria, 35.8% and 21.7% of patients in the internal validation cohort could have avoided EGD, with only 2% of HRVs being missed with either model. The combination of SSM with Baveno VI criteria would have avoided an additional 22.5% of EGDs, reaching a final value of 43.8% spared EGDs, with <5% missed HRVs. Results were confirmed in the prospective external validation cohort, as the combined Baveno VI/SSM ≤46 model would have safely spared (0 HRV missed) 37.4% of EGDs, compared to 16.5% when using the Baveno VI criteria alone. A non-invasive prediction model combining SSM with Baveno VI criteria may be useful to rule out HRV and could make it possible to avoid a significantly larger number of unnecessary EGDs compared to Baveno VI criteria only. Spleen stiffness measurement assessed by transient elastography, the most widely used elastography technique, is a non-invasive technique that can help the physician to better stratify the degree of portal hypertension and the risk of esophageal varices in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease. Performing spleen stiffness measurement together with liver stiffness measurement during the same examination is simple and fast and this sequential model can identify a greater number of patients that can safely avoid endoscopy, which is an invasive and expensive examination.

Colecchia A ，Ravaioli F ，Marasco G ，Colli A ，Dajti E ，Di Biase AR ，Bacchi Reggiani ML ，Berzigotti A ，Pinzani M ，Festi D ... -  《-》

Validation of a Machine Learning Algorithm, EVendo, for Predicting Esophageal Varices in Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

Treatment with atezolizumab and bevacizumab has become standard of care for advanced unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) but carries an increased gastrointestinal bleeding risk. Therefore, patients are often required to undergo esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) to rule out esophageal varices (EV) prior to initiating therapy, which can delay care and lead to unnecessary procedural risks and health care costs. In 2019, the EVendo score was created and validated as a noninvasive tool to accurately screen out patients who were at low risk for having EV that required treatment. We sought to validate whether the EVendo score could be used to accurately predict the presence of EV and varices needing treatment (VNT) in patients with HCC. This was a retrospective multicenter cohort study of patients with HCC from 9/2004 to 12/2021. We included patients who underwent EGDs within 1 year after their HCC diagnosis. We collected clinical parameters needed to calculate an EVendo score at the time of EGD and compared the EVendo model prediction to the gold standard endoscopic report in predicting presence of VNT. 112 with HCC were recruited to this study, with 117 qualifying EGDs. VNT occurred in 39 (33.3%) patients. The EVendo score had a sensitivity of 97.4% and a negative predictive value of 96.9%, supporting the validity in applying EVendo in predicting VNT in HCC. In this study, we validated the use of the EVendo score in ruling out VNT in patients with HCC. The application of the EVendo score could safely defer about 30% of EGDs for EV screening in HCC patients. Although additional validation cohorts are needed, this suggests that EVendo score can potentially be applied in patients with HCC to avoid unnecessary EGDs, which can ultimately mitigate healthcare costs and delays in initiating HCC treatment with atezolizumab and bevacizumab.

Yang JO ，Chittajallu P ，Benhammou JN ，Patel A ，Pisegna JR ，Tabibian J ，Dong TS ... -  《-》