Frailty Predicts Incident Atrial Fibrillation in Women but Not in Men: The Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease Risk Factor Study.
Frailty and atrial fibrillation (AF) are common aging problems and increasing globally. The association(s) between frailty and AF has been inconclusive. The purpose of this prospective population-based cohort was to investigate the associations between frailty and incident AF in older men and women.
In total 839 participants, women (n = 458) and men (n = 381), aged 61-74 years from the Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease Risk Factor Study were included (March 1, 1998, to December 31, 2001). At the baseline, frailty prevalence was 49.3% (n = 414), and non-frailty 50.7% (n = 425) of the total population. Frailty was ascertained with the presence of 3-5 and prefrailty 1-2 of the following criteria: weight loss (highest 20% over 7 years), self-reported tiredness, weakness (measured by handgrip strength), slow walking speed (walking pace), and low physical activity (lowest 20%). AF events were obtained by record linkages from the national computerized hospitalization registry in Finland up to December 31, 2019. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression estimated the hazard ratio (HR) of incident events, adjusted for potential confounders.
During the mean follow-up of 14.2 years, 288 AF cases (169 women; 119 men) occurred. After adjustment for possible confounders, the HRs (95% confidence intervals [CIs]) for AF was 1.46 (1.48-1.85) in the frail population, compared to the non-frail group. The association was observed only among older frail women (multivariable-adjusted HR 1.78, 95% CI [1.28-2.48]) (p for interaction = 0.04). No statistically significant associations were observed between frailty and future AF incident among men (multivariable-adjusted HRs 1.12, 95% CI (0.77-1.63)).
In this population-based epidemiological cohort, the risk of developing AF was increased in women affected by frailty at baseline but not in men.
Tajik B
，Voutilainen A
，Lyytinen A
，Kauhanen J
，Lip GYH
，Tuomainen TP
，Isanejad M
... -
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Frailty alone and interactively with obesity predicts heart failure: Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease Risk Factor Study.
We aim to evaluate the association of frailty and high body mass index with risk of incident heart failure.
From the Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease Risk Factor Study, 408 women and 369 men, aged 61-74 years were included in this study. Frailty was ascertained with the presence of 3-5 and prefrailty 1-2 of the following criteria: weight loss (highest 20% over 7 years), self-reported tiredness, weakness (measured by handgrip strength), slow walking speed (walking pace), and low physical activity (lowest 20%). At the baseline, participants were allocated to frail (n = 36), prefrail (n = 340), and robust (n = 441). HF incidents were obtained by record linkages from the national hospitalization registry in Finland up to 31 December 2019. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression estimated the hazard ratio (HR) of incident events, adjusted for potential confounders. Two hundred one HF events were recorded (111 in women and 90 in men) during the 14.2 years follow-up. After adjustment for the age and sex, the risk of HF events was higher among prefrail (HR 1.42, 95% CI 1.08 to 1.79, P = 0.02) and frail (HR 3.39, 95% CI 1.89 to 4.79, P ≤ 0.001) compared with the robust group. After adjusting for multiple confounders result remained significant for HF indecent in prefrail [1.46 (HR 1.46, 95% CI 1.09 to 1.95, P = 0.01] and frail (HR 3.33, 95% CI 1.86 to 5.70, P ≤ 0.001). In the sensitivity analysis, significant interaction between high BMI (≥25 kg/m2 ) and frailty was observed (P for interaction = 0.02). The association of frailty [multivariate-adjusted HR: 2.88 (1.56 to 5.33), P ≤ 0.001)] and prefrailty [multivariate-adjusted HR: 1.40 (1.08 to 1.91), P = 0.03)] with risk of HF indecent was more pronounced in those with high BMI.
Frailty is highly common in older age, and our results indicated the high risk of HF incident in frail and prefrail groups. While frailty is clinically recognized by weight loss phenotype, our finding showed that frailly and high BMI can coexist and worsen the risk of HF incidence. Further research is warranted to substantiate these results in large studies and clinical settings.
Tajik B
，Voutilainen A
，Sankaranarayanan R
，Lyytinen A
，Kauhanen J
，Lip GYH
，Tuomainen TP
，Isanejad M
... -
《ESC Heart Failure》
Physical frailty, genetic predisposition, and incident arrhythmias.
Cross-sectional evidence suggests a possible link between frailty and atrial fibrillation (AF). It remains unclear whether frailty and incident arrhythmias are longitudinally associated. This study aimed to determine whether the frailty phenotype is longitudinally associated with incident arrhythmias, especially AF.
In this prospective cohort of UK Biobank, individuals with arrhythmias at baseline, those without data for frailty phenotype, and no genetic data were excluded. Five domains of physical frailty, including weight loss, exhaustion, low physical activity, low grip strength, and slow gait speed, were assessed. A total of 142 single-nucleotide polymorphisms was used to calculate the polygenic risk score (PRS) for AF. Hospital inpatient records and death records were used to identify incident arrhythmias.
This study included 464 154 middle-aged and older adults (mean age 56.4 ± 8.1 years, 54.7% female) without arrhythmia at baseline. During a median follow-up of 13.4 years (over 5.9 million person-years), 46 454 new-onset arrhythmias cases were recorded. In comparison with non-frailty, the multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of AF were 1.12 (95% CI: 1.09, 1.15, P < 0.0001) and 1.44 (95% CI: 1.36, 1.51, P < 0.0001) for participants with pre-frailty and frailty, respectively. Similar associations were observed for other arrhythmias. We found that slow gait speed presented the strongest risk factor in predicting all arrhythmias, including AF (HR 1.34, 95% CI: 1.30, 1.39), bradyarrhythmias (HR 1.30, 95% CI: 1.22, 1.37), conduction system diseases (HR 1.29, 95% CI: 1.22, 1.36), supraventricular arrhythmias (HR 1.32, 95% CI: 1.19, 1.47), and ventricular arrhythmias (HR 1.37, 95% CI: 1.25, 1.51), with all P values <0.0001. In addition to slow gait speed, weight loss (HR 1.13, 95% CI: 1.09, 1.16, P < 0.0001) and exhaustion (HR 1.11, 95% CI: 1.07, 1.14, P < 0.0001) were significantly associated with incident AF, whereas insignificant associations were observed for physical activity (HR 1.03, 95% CI: 0.996, 1.08, P = 0.099) and low grip strength (HR 1.00, 95% CI: 0.97, 1.03, P = 0.89). We observed a significant interaction between genetic predisposition and frailty on incident AF (P for interaction <0.0001), where those with frailty and the highest tertile of PRS had the highest risk of AF (HR 3.34, 95% CI: 3.08, 3.61, P < 0.0001) compared with those with non-frailty and the lowest tertile of PRS.
Physical pre-frailty and frailty were significantly and independently associated with incident arrhythmias. Although direct causal inference still needs to be further validated, these results suggested the importance of assessing and managing frailty for arrhythmia prevention.
Zhang Y
，Liu M
，Li J
，Ruan L
，Wu X
，Zhang C
，Chen L
... -
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Lipid levels, apolipoproteins, and risk of incident atrial fibrillation in men: A report from the Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease Risk Factor Study (KIHD).
Apolipoproteins are associated with risk of coronary heart disease but the association with risk of incident atrial fibrillation (AF) has been inconsistent.
This study investigated the association of apolipoproteins A-1 (apoA-1) and B (apoB), and lipid levels including triglyceride (TG), total cholesterol (TC), very low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (VLDL-C), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), with the risk of new-onset AF.
A total of 2533 men from the prospective, population-based Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease Risk Factor Study, aged 42-60 years, were studied. Cox proportional hazards adjusted for potential confounders was used to estimate hazard ratio (HR) of incident events across serum lipid, lipoprotein, and apoA-1 and apoB concentrations.
During the mean follow-up of 22.4 years, 594 AF cases occurred. Cox proportional hazards regression indicated that higher serum HDL-C and apoA-1 concentrations were associated with lower risk of AF [the extreme-quartile multivariable-adjusted HR 0.72 (95% CI 0.57-0.92, P = 0.02) for HDL-C, and 0.72 (95% CI 0.52-1.00, P = 0.05)] for apoA-1]. No significant associations were observed for apoB and other lipids (TC, VLDL-C, LDL-C, non-HDL-C, and TG) with risk of incident AF.
Over the time of follow-up in this study lower new-onset incident AF was in association with higher HDL-C and apo-A1 levels. Future studies should investigate mechanisms underlying the association of low HDL-C and low apoA1 with higher risk of incident AF.
Tajik B
，Tuomainen TP
，Jarroch R
，Kauhanen J
，Lip GYH
，Isanejad M
... -
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