Siblings reduce multiple sclerosis risk by preventing delayed primary Epstein-Barr virus infection.

Epstein-Barr virus infection, and perhaps almost exclusively delayed Epstein-Barr virus infection, seems to be a prerequisite for the development of multiple sclerosis. Siblings provide protection against infectious mononucleosis by occasionally preventing delayed primary Epstein-Barr virus infection, with its associated high risk of infectious mononucleosis. Each additional sibling provides further protection according to the age difference between the index child and the sibling. The closer the siblings are in age, the higher the protection, with younger siblings being more protective against infectious mononucleosis than older siblings. If the hypothesis that delayed Epstein-Barr virus infection is necessary for the development of multiple sclerosis is true, then the relative risk of multiple sclerosis as a function of sibship constellation should mirror the relative risk of infectious mononucleosis as a function of sibship constellation. Such an indirect hypothesis test is necessitated by the fact that age at primary Epstein-Barr virus infection is unknown for practically all people who have not experienced infectious mononucleosis. In this retrospective cohort study using nationwide registers, we followed all Danes born during the period 1971-2018 (n = 2 576 011) from 1977 to 2018 for hospital contacts with an infectious mononucleosis diagnosis (n = 23 905) or a multiple sclerosis diagnosis (n = 4442), defining two different end points. Relative risks (hazard ratios) of each end point as a function of sibship constellation were obtained from stratified Cox regression analyses. The hazard ratios of interest for infectious mononucleosis and multiple sclerosis could be assumed to be identical (test for homogeneity P = 0.19), implying that having siblings, especially of younger age, may protect a person against multiple sclerosis through early exposure to the Epstein-Barr virus. Maximum protection per sibling was obtained by having a 0-2 years younger sibling, corresponding to a hazard ratio of 0.80, with a 95% confidence interval of 0.76-0.85. The corresponding hazard ratio from having an (0-2 years) older sibling was 0.91 (0.86-0.96). Our results suggest that it may be possible essentially to eradicate multiple sclerosis using an Epstein-Barr virus vaccine administered before the teenage years. Getting there would require both successful replication of our study findings and, if so, elucidation of why early Epstein-Barr virus infection does not usually trigger the immune mechanisms responsible for the association between delayed Epstein-Barr virus infection and multiple sclerosis risk.

Rostgaard K ，Nielsen NM ，Melbye M ，Frisch M ，Hjalgrim H ... -  《-》

Association of Infectious Mononucleosis in Childhood and Adolescence With Risk for a Subsequent Multiple Sclerosis Diagnosis Among Siblings.

Xu Y ，Hiyoshi A ，Smith KA ，Piehl F ，Olsson T ，Fall K ，Montgomery S ... -  《JAMA Network Open》

Epstein-Barr virus and its association with disease - a review of relevance to general practice.

Fugl A ，Andersen CL 《BMC Family Practice》

Sibship size, birth order and risk of nasopharyngeal carcinoma and infectious mononucleosis: a nationwide study in Sweden.

The aetiology of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) remains enigmatic in endemic and non-endemic areas. Early-life infection with Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) may predispose to NPC development, whereas delayed primary infection with EBV may cause infectious mononucleosis (IM). We used Swedish population and health registers to investigate whether potential indicators of early EBV infection, such as birth order, sibship size, maternal age and paternal age, are related to the subsequent risks for NPC and IM. We conducted two nested case-control studies, one for each health outcome, based on 251 NPC case patients, 11 314 IM case patients and five population control subjects per case matched by birth year and sex. We used conditional logistic regression modelling to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for NPC and IM. The multivariate-adjusted ORs of developing NPC increased with number of siblings; the ORs associated with having one, two and three or more siblings, compared with none, were 1.59 (95% CI = 0.97, 2.62), 1.94 (95% CI = 1.17, 3.22), and 2.03 (95% CI = 1.23, 3.35), respectively (Ptrend = 0.006). This increased risk of NPC was explained mainly by having older rather than younger siblings. In contrast, lower risks of IM were observed among individuals with an increasing number of older siblings, younger siblings and total siblings. Early-life social environment, possibly related to EBV infection, contributes to NPC pathogenesis in non-endemic areas. This hypothesis is further supported by the clearly contrasting findings between NPC and IM.

Liu Z ，Fang F ，Chang ET ，Adami HO ，Ye W ... -  《-》

Childcare attendance and risk of infectious mononucleosis: A population-based Danish cohort study.

Rostgaard K ，Stensballe LG ，Søegaard SH ，Kamper-Jørgensen M ，Hjalgrim H ... -  《PLoS One》