Development of quantitative wastewater surveillance models facilitated the precise epidemic management of COVID-19.

Wastewater surveillance serves as a promising approach to elucidate the silent transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in communities. To understand the decay of the coronavirus in sewage pipes, the decay of the coronavirus traveling over 20 km distance of pipeline was analyzed. Based on the decay model, a WWTP and a community model were then proposed for predicting COVID-19 cases in Xi'an and Nanchang city during the COVID-19 outbreak in 2021 and 2022. The results suggested that Monte Carol simulations estimated 23.3, 50.1, 127.3 and 524.2 infected persons in the Yanta district of Xi'an city on December 14th, 18th, 22nd and 26th of 2021, respectively, which is largely consistent with the clinical reports. Next, we further conducted wastewater surveillance in two WWTPs that covered the whole metropolitan region in Nanchang to validate the robustness of the WWTP model from December 2021 to April 2022. SARS-CoV-2 signals were detected in two WWTPs from March 15th to April 5th. Predicted infection numbers were in agreement with the actual infection cases, which promoted precise epidemic control. Finally, community wastewater surveillance was conducted for 40 communities that were not 100 % covered by massive nucleic acid testing in Nanchang city, which accurately identified the SARS-CoV-2 carriers not detected by massive nucleic acid testing. In conclusion, accurate prediction of COVID-19 cases based on WWTP and community models promoted precise epidemic control. This work highlights the viability of wastewater surveillance for outbreak evaluation and identification of hidden cases, which provides an extraordinary example for implementing precise epidemic control of COVID-19.

Fu S ，He F ，Wang R ，Song W ，Wang Q ，Xia W ，Qiu Z ... -  《-》

Longitudinal wastewater surveillance of four key pathogens during an unprecedented large-scale COVID-19 outbreak in China facilitated a novel strategy for addressing public health priorities-A proof of concept study.

Fu S ，Zhang Y ，Wang R ，Deng Z ，He F ，Jiang X ，Shen L ... -  《-》

Tailored wastewater surveillance framework uncovered the epidemics of key pathogens in a Northwestern city of China.

Wastewater surveillance enables rapid pathogen monitoring and community prevalence estimation. However, how to design an integrated and tailored wastewater surveillance framework to monitor major health threats in metropolises remains a major challenge. In this study, we first analyzed the historical clinical data of Xi'an city and designed a wastewater surveillance framework covering five key endemic viruses, namely, SARS-CoV-2, norovirus, influenza A virus (IAV), influenza B virus (IBV), respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), and hantavirus. Amplicon sequencing of SARS-CoV-2, norovirus and hantavirus was conducted biweekly to determine the prevalent community genotypes circulating in this region. The results showed that from April 2023 to August 2023, Xi'an experienced two waves of SARS-CoV-2 infection, which peaked in the middle of May-2023 and late August-2023. The sewage concentrations of IAV and RSV peaked in early March and early May 2023, respectively, while the sewage concentrations of norovirus fluctuated throughout the study period and peaked in late August. The dynamics of the sewage concentrations of SARS-CoV-2, norovirus, IAV, RSV, and hantavirus were in line with the trends in the sentinel hospital percent positivity data, indicating the role of wastewater surveillance in enhancing the understanding of epidemic trends. Amplicon sequencing of SARS-CoV-2 revealed a transition in the predominant genotype, which changed from DY.1 and FR.1.4 to the XBB and EG.5 subvariants. Amplicon sequencing also revealed that there was only one predominant hantavirus genotype in the local population, while highly diverse genotypes of norovirus GI and GII were found in the wastewater. In conclusion, this study provided valuable insights into the dynamics of infection trends and predominant genotypes of key pathogens in a city without sufficient clinical surveillance, highlighting the role of a tailored wastewater surveillance framework in addressing public health priorities. More importantly, our study provides the first evidence demonstrating the applicability of wastewater surveillance for hantavirus, which is a major health threat locally.

Li H ，He F ，Lv Z ，Yi L ，Zhang Z ，Li H ，Fu S ... -  《-》

Comparison of high-frequency in-pipe SARS-CoV-2 wastewater-based surveillance to concurrent COVID-19 random clinical testing on a public U.S. university campus.

Wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE) is utilized globally as a tool for quantifying the amount of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) within communities, yet the efficacy of community-level wastewater monitoring has yet to be directly compared to random Coronavirus Disease of 2019 (COVID-19) clinical testing; the best-supported method of virus surveillance within a single population. This study evaluated the relationship between SARS-CoV-2 RNA in raw wastewater and random COVID-19 clinical testing on a large university campus in the Southwestern United States during the Fall 2020 semester. Daily composites of wastewater (24-hour samples) were collected three times per week at two campus locations from 16 August 2020 to 1 January 2021 (n = 95) and analyzed by reverse transcriptase-quantitative polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR) targeting the SARS-CoV-2 E gene. Campus populations were estimated using campus resident information and anonymized, unique user Wi-Fi connections. Resultant trends of SARS-CoV-2 RNA levels in wastewater were consistent with local and nationwide pandemic trends showing peaks in infections at the start of the Fall semester in mid-August 2020 and mid-to-late December 2020. A strong positive correlation (r = 0.71 (p < 0.01); n = 15) was identified between random COVID-19 clinical testing and WBE surveillance methods, suggesting that wastewater surveillance has a predictive power similar to that of random clinical testing. Additionally, a comparative cost analysis between wastewater and clinical methods conducted here show that WBE was more cost effective, providing data at 1.7% of the total cost of clinical testing ($6042 versus $338,000, respectively). We conclude that wastewater monitoring of SARS-CoV-2 performed in tandem with random clinical testing can strengthen campus health surveillance, and its economic advantages are maximized when performed routinely as a primary surveillance method, with random clinical testing reserved for an active outbreak situation.

Wright J ，Driver EM ，Bowes DA ，Johnston B ，Halden RU ... -  《-》

Wastewater surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 mutational profiles at a university and its surrounding community reveals a 20G outbreak on campus.

Swift CL ，Isanovic M ，Correa Velez KE ，Sellers SC ，Norman RS ... -  《PLoS One》