Identifying the Risk Factors and Estimating the Prognosis in Patients with Pelvis and Spine Ewing Sarcoma: A Population-Based Study.
Retrospective analysis.
The study was designed to: (1) figure out risk factors of metastasis; (2) explore prognostic factors and develop a nomogram for pelvis and spine Ewing sarcoma (PSES).
Tools to predict survival of PSES are still insufficient. Nomogram has been widely developed in clinical oncology. Moreover, risk factors of PSES metastasis are still unclear.
The data were collected and analyzed from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. The optimal cutoff values of continuous variables were identified by X-tile software. The prognostic factors of survival were performed by Kaplan-Meier method and multivariate Cox proportional hazards modeling. Nomograms were further constructed for estimating 3- and 5-year cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) by using R with rms package. Meanwhile, Pearson χ2 test or Fisher exact test, and logistic regression analysis were used to analyze the risk factors for the metastasis of PSES.
A total of 371 patients were included in this study. The 3- and 5-year CSS and OS rate were 65.8 ± 2.6%, 55.2 ± 2.9% and 64.3 ± 2.6%, 54.1 ± 2.8%, respectively. The year of diagnosis, tumor size, and lymph node invasion were associated with metastasis of patients with PSES. A nomogram was developed based on identified factors including: age, tumor extent, tumor size, and primary site surgery. The concordance index (C-index) of CSS and OS were 0.680 and 0.679, respectively. The calibration plot showed the similar trend of 3-year, 5-year CSS, and OS of PSES patients between nomogram-based prediction and actual observation, respectively.
PSES patients with earlier diagnostic year (before 2010), larger tumor size (>59 mm), and lymph node invasion, are more likely to have metastasis. We developed a nomogram based on age, tumor extent, tumor size, and surgical treatments for determining the prognosis for patients with PSES, while more external patient cohorts are warranted for validation.Level of Evidence: 3.
Jiang R
,He S
,Sun H
,Gong H
,Yang X
,Cai X
,Wei H
,Xiao J
... -
《-》
Prognostic factors of sarcomas occurring in bone and joint: A SEER based study.
To clarify the epidemiology, treatment, and prognosis of sarcomas occurring in the bones and joints. The surveillance, epidemiology, and end results (SEER) 18 registries, comprising sarcoma diagnoses made between 2008 and 2014, were queried for sarcomas arising in bones or joints. Kaplan-Meier analysis, multivariate logistic regression analysis, Cox proportional hazards model, and nomograms were used to identify prognostic factors. 2794 patients aged from 1 to 99 (55.8% male) with microscopically confirmed diagnosed as sarcomas (including osteosarcoma, chondrosarcoma, Ewing sarcoma, and soft tissue sarcomas) which primary site limited to bone and joint were identified. Eight independent factors, including age, race, sex, tumor site, histology, pathology grade, tumor size, and total number of malignant tumors (TNOMT), were associated with tumor metastasis. Nine independent prognostic factors, including age (>=60 year, hazard ratio [HR] = 4.145, 95% confidence interval [CI], P < .001), sex (female, HR = 0.814, 95%CI, P = .007), tumor site (spine, HR = 2.527, 95%CI, P < .001), histology, pathology grade (undifferentiated, HR = 5.816, 95%CI, P < .001), tumor size (>=20 cm, HR = 3.043, 95%CI, P < .001), tumor extent (distant, HR = 4.145, 95%CI, P < .001), surgery (no performed, HR = 2.436, 95%CI, P < .001), and TNOMT (1, HR = 0.679, 95%CI, P < .001, were identified and incorporated to construct a nomogram for 2- and 5-year overall survival (OS). The calibration curve for the probability of survival showed good agreement between prediction by the nomogram and actual observation. The C-index of the nomogram for survival prediction was 0.814. Patients who received chemotherapy had a significantly decreased risk of death only for Ewing sarcoma, poorly differentiated tumors, undifferentiated tumors, and distant tumor invasion (P < .05). However, radiotherapy did not show significant differences in OS. This study presents population-based estimates of prognosis for patients with bone sarcomas and demonstrates the impact of age, race, sex, tumor site, histology, pathology grade, tumor size, tumor extent, surgery, radiotherapy, chemotherapy, and the TNOMT on OS. Moreover, the nomogram resulted in a more accurate prognostic prediction. However, in our study, radiotherapy showed no survival benefit, perhaps because detailed data on treatment factors were unavailable and which may have influenced the results.
Zhou H
,He S
,Zhang D
,Wang J
,Yang X
,Jiao J
,Xu W
,Yang J
,Xiao J
... -
《-》