A novel online calculator based on noninvasive markers (ALBI and APRI) for predicting post-hepatectomy liver failure in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

Post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) remains the primary cause of in-hospital mortality after hepatectomy. Identifying predictors of PHLF is important to improve surgical safety. We sought to identify the predictive accuracy of two noninvasive markers, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) and aspartate aminotransferase to platelet count ratio index (APRI), to predict PHLF among patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and to build up an online prediction calculator. Patients who underwent resection for HCC between 2013 and 2016 at 6 Chinese hospitals were retrospectively analyzed. The independent predictors of PHLF were identified using univariate and multivariate analyses; derivative data were used to construct preoperative and postoperative nomogram models. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for the two predictive models, and ALBI, APRI, Child-Pugh, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores were compared relative to predictive accuracy for PHLF. Among the 767 patients in the analytic cohort, 102 (13.3%) experienced PHLF. Multivariable logistic regression analysis identified high ALBI grade (>-2.6) and high APRI grade (>1.5) as independent risk factors associated with PHLF in both the preoperative and postoperative models. Two nomogram predictive models and corresponding web-based calculators were subsequently constructed. The areas under the ROC curves for the postoperative and preoperative models, APRI, ALBI, MELD and Child-Pugh scores in predicting PHLF were 0.844, 0.789, 0.626, 0.609, 0.569, and 0.560, respectively. ALBI and APRI demonstrated more accurate ability to predict PHLF than Child-Pugh and MELD. Two online calculators that combined ALBI and APRI were proposed as useful preoperative and postoperative tools for individually predicting the occurrence of PHLF among patients with HCC.

Shi JY ，Sun LY ，Quan B ，Xing H ，Li C ，Liang L ，Pawlik TM ，Zhou YH ，Wang H ，Gu WM ，Chen TH ，Lau WY ，Shen F ，Wang NY ，Yang T ... -  《-》

A novel online calculator based on albumin-bilirubin and aspartate transaminase-to-platelet ratio index for predicting postoperative morbidity following hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma.

zhangchengwuzr@hotmail.com; Prof. Tian Yang, MD. Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Navy Medical University, Shanghai 200438, China. Email: yangtiandfgd@hotmail.com. Identifying patients at high risks of developing postoperative morbidity is important to improve perioperative outcomes. We sought to define the accuracy of two objective and non-invasive serological-based scores, i.e., albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) and aspartate transaminase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), to predict postoperative morbidity among patients undergoing hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and build up a personalized predictive tool for clinical practice. Clinical data of patients who underwent hepatectomy for HCC at 8 hospitals from a multicenter database were retrospectively analyzed. The predictive accuracy of ALBI and APRI relative to 30-day overall and major morbidity were evaluated using area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC). Based on multivariable logistic regression analyses, preoperative and postoperative nomogram models and consequent online calculators were constructed to predict overall and major morbidity, respectively. Among 2,301 patients, 725 (31.5%) experienced postoperative complications (major morbidity, 35.9%, 260/725). Multivariable analyses identified high ALBI grade (>-2.6) and APRI grade (>1.5) as independent risk factors associated with overall and major morbidity in both preoperative and postoperative prediction models. Two nomogram predictive models and corresponding online calculators that combined ALBI and APRI were subsequently constructed. The AUCs of the preoperative and postoperative models were 0.728 and 0.742 to predict overall morbidity, and 0.739 and 0.713 to predict major morbidity, respectively, which were much higher than those of Child-Pugh score and the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD). Using the bootstrap validation method, the resulting models were internally validated well. Preoperative ALBI and APRI scores can predict postoperative morbidity following hepatectomy for HCC. An easy-to-use online calculator that combined ALBI and APRI was proposed for individually predicting the probabilities of postoperative overall and major morbidity before and immediately after surgery, so as to provide useful information to inform conversations about surgical risks.

Sun LY ，Zhu H ，Diao YK ，Xing H ，Liang L ，Li J ，Zhou YH ，Gu WM ，Chen TH ，Zeng YY ，Pawlik TM ，Lau WY ，Li C ，Shen F ，Zhang CW ，Yang T ... -  《-》

A Comparative Study of Albumin-Bilirubin Score with Child-Pugh Score, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Score and Indocyanine Green R15 in Predicting Posthepatectomy Liver Failure for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients.

The albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade is a newly proposed model for assessing the hepatic function. This study aimed to compare the value of the ALBI score with Child-Pugh score, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score and indocyanine green (ICG) R15 in predicting posthepatectomy liver failure (PHLF). Patients undergoing curative resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) between January 2014 and June 2017 were enrolled. The values of the Child-Pugh score, MELD score, ICG R15 and ALBI score in predicting PHLF were evaluated. A total of 473 HCC patients were enrolled. The ALBI score was identified as an independent predictor of PHLF. The AUCs for the Child-Pugh score, MELD score, ICG R15 and ALBI score in predicting PHLF were 0.665, 0.649, 0.668, and 0.745 respectively. Multivariable analyses revealed that the ALBI score was an independent predictor of PHLF regardless of the hepatectomy subgroups, but the Child-Pugh score and MELD score were not significant predictors of PHLF both in major and minor hepatectomy subgroups, and ICG R15 was only a significant predictor of PHLF in minor hepatectomy subgroup. The ALBI score showed superior predictive value of PHLF over Child-Pugh score, MELD score and ICG R15. We propose to use the ALBI score to evaluate surgical risk for HCC patients undergoing hepatic resection.

Zou H ，Yang X ，Li QL ，Zhou QX ，Xiong L ，Wen Y ... -  《-》

Predicting Post-Hepatectomy Liver Failure in HCC Patients: A Review of Liver Function Assessment Based on Laboratory Tests Scores.

Morandi A ，Risaliti M ，Montori M ，Buccianti S ，Bartolini I ，Moraldi L ... -  《-》

Preoperative aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet-ratio index as a predictor of posthepatectomy liver failure for resectable hepatocellular carcinoma.

Mai RY ，Ye JZ ，Long ZR ，Shi XM ，Bai T ，Chen J ，Li LQ ，Wu GB ，Wu FX ... -  《Cancer Management and Research》