The impact of SVR from direct-acting antiviral- and interferon-based treatments for HCV on hepatocellular carcinoma risk.

We evaluated the effect of sustained virologic response (SVR) from direct-acting antiviral (DAA)- and interferon-based treatments on hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk in a large population-based cohort in Canada. We used data from the BC Hepatitis Testers Cohort, which includes ~1.3 million individuals tested for HCV since 1990, linked with healthcare administrative and registry datasets. Patients were followed from the end of HCV treatment to HCC, death or 31 December 2016. We assessed HCC risk among those who did and did not achieve SVR by treatment type using proportional hazard models. Of 12 776 eligible individuals, 3905 received DAAs while 8871 received interferon-based treatments, followed for a median of 1.0 [range: 0.6-2.7] and 7.9 [range: 4.4-17.1] years, respectively. A total of 3613 and 6575 achieved SVR with DAAs- and interferon-based treatments, respectively. Among DAAs-treated patients, HCC incidence rate was 6.9 (95%CI: 4.7-10.1)/1000 person yr (PY) in SVR group (HCC cases: 26) and 38.2 (95%CI: 20.6-71.0) in the no-SVR group (HCC cases: 10, P < .001). Among interferon-treated individuals, HCC incidence rate was 1.8 (95%CI: 1.5-2.2) in the SVR (HCC cases: 99) and 13.9 (95%CI: 12.3-15.8) in the no-SVR group (HCC cases: 239, P < .001). Compared with no-SVR from interferon, SVR from DAA- and interferon-based treatments resulted in significant reduction in HCC risk (adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio (adjSHR) DAA = 0.30, 95%CI: 0.19-0.48 and adjSHR interferon = 0.2, 95%CI: 0.16-0.26). Among those with SVR, treatment with DAAs compared to interferon was not associated with HCC risk (adjSHR = 0.93, 95%CI: 0.51-1.71). In conclusion, similar to interferon era, DAA-related SVR is associated with 70% reduction in HCC risk.

Janjua NZ ，Wong S ，Darvishian M ，Butt ZA ，Yu A ，Binka M ，Alvarez M ，Woods R ，Yoshida EM ，Ramji A ，Feld J ，Krajden M ... -  《-》

Long-term effect of sustained virological response on hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with hepatitis C in Canada.

Evidence is limited on hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk after sustained virological response (SVR) to interferon-based treatment of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. We evaluated the effect of SVR on the risk of HCC and estimated its incidence in post-SVR HCV patients from a large population-based Canadian cohort. The British Columbia Hepatitis Testers Cohort includes individuals tested for HCV between 1990-2013 linked with data on their medical visits, hospitalizations, cancers, prescription drugs and mortality. Patients receiving interferon-based HCV treatments were followed from the end of treatment to HCC diagnosis, death or December 31, 2012. We examined HCC risk among those who did and did not achieve SVR using multivariable proportional hazard models with the Fine and Gray modification for competing risks. Of 8147 individuals who received HCV treatment and were eligible for analysis, 4663 (57%) achieved SVR and 3484 (43%) did not. Each group was followed for a median of 5.6years (range: 0.5-12.9) for an HCC incidence rate of 1.1/1000 person-years (PY) among the SVR and 7.2/1000 PY among the no SVR group. The HCC incidence rate was higher among those with cirrhosis (SVR: 6.4, no SVR: 21.0/1000 PY). In the multivariable model, SVR was associated with a lower HCC risk (subdistribution hazard ratio [SHR]=0.20, 95% CI: 0.13-0.3), while cirrhosis (SHR=2.61, 95% CI: 1.68-4.04), age ⩾50years, being male and genotype 3 infection were associated with a higher HCC risk. Among those who achieved SVR, cirrhosis, age ⩾50years and being male were associated with a higher HCC risk. SVR after interferon-based treatment substantially reduces but does not eliminate HCC risk, which is markedly higher among those with cirrhosis and age ⩾50years at treatment initiation. Treatment of patients at an advanced fibrosis stage with new highly effective drugs will warrant continued surveillance for HCC post-SVR. We assessed the effect of successful hepatitis C treatment with older interferon-based treatment on the occurrence of liver cancer (hepatocellular carcinoma) and found that successful treatment prevents liver cancer. However, more people with cirrhosis and older age continued to develop liver cancer after successful treatment. Thus, treatment with new drugs among those with cirrhosis will require continued monitoring for liver cancer.

Janjua NZ ，Chong M ，Kuo M ，Woods R ，Wong J ，Yoshida EM ，Sherman M ，Butt ZA ，Samji H ，Cook D ，Yu A ，Alvarez M ，Tyndall M ，Krajden M ... -  《-》

Sustained virologic response to direct-acting antiviral agents predicts better outcomes in hepatitis C virus-infected patients: A retrospective study.

Direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs) are extremely effective in eradicating hepatitis C virus (HCV) in chronically infected patients. However, the protective role of the sustained virologic response (SVR) achieved by second- and third-generation DAAs against the onset of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and mortality is less well established. To examine the occurrence of HCC or death from any cause in a retrospective-prospective study of patients treated with DAAs. Patients were enrolled from a tertiary academic hospital center for liver disease management that collects subject data mainly from northeastern Italy. The study was conducted in 380 patients (age: 60 ± 13 years, 224 males, 32% with cirrhosis) treated with DAAs with or without SVR (95/5%), with a median follow up of 58 wk (interquartile range: 38-117). The baseline anthropometric features, HCV viral load, severity of liver disease, presence of extra-hepatic complications, coinfection with HIV and/or HBV, alcohol consumption, previous interferon use, alpha-fetoprotein levels, and renal function were considered to be confounders. The incidence rate of HCC in patients with and without SVR was 1.3 and 59 per 100 person-years, respectively (incidence rate ratio: 44, 95%CI: 15-136, P < 0.001). Considering the combined endpoint of HCC or death from any cause, the hazard ratio (HR) for the SVR patients was 0.070 (95%CI: 0.025-0.194, P < 0.001). Other independent predictors of HCC or death were low HCV viremia (HR: 0.808, P = 0.030), low platelet count (HR: 0.910, P = 0.041), and presence of mixed cryoglobulinemia (HR: 3.460, P = 0.044). Considering SVR in a multi-state model, the independent predictors of SVR achievement were absence of cirrhosis (HR: 0.521, P < 0.001) and high platelet count (HR: 1.019, P = 0.026). Mixed cryoglobulinemia predicted the combined endpoint in patients with and without SVR (HR: 5.982, P = 0.028 and HR: 5.633, P = 0.047, respectively). DAA treatment is effective in inducing SVR and protecting against HCC or death. A residual risk of HCC persists in patients with advanced liver disease or with complications, such as mixed cryoglobulinemia or renal failure.

Colussi G ，Donnini D ，Brizzi RF ，Maier S ，Valenti L ，Catena C ，Cavarape A ，Sechi LA ，Soardo G ... -  《-》

Estimating the impact of early hepatitis C virus clearance on hepatocellular carcinoma risk.

Although achieving sustained virological response (SVR) through antiviral therapy could reduce the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) attributable to hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, the impact of early viral clearance on HCC is not well defined. In this study, we compared the risk of HCC among individuals who spontaneously cleared HCV (SC), the referent population, with the risk in untreated chronic HCV (UCHC), those achieved SVR, and those who failed interferon-based treatment (TF). The BC Hepatitis Testers Cohort (BC-HTC) includes individuals tested for HCV between 1990-2013, integrated with medical visits, hospitalizations, cancers, prescription drugs and mortality data. This analysis included all HCV-positive patients with at least one valid HCV RNA by PCR on or after HCV diagnosis. Of 46 666 HCV-infected individuals, there were 12 527 (26.8%) SC; 24 794 (53.1%) UCHC; 5355 (11.5%) SVR and 3990 (8.5%) TF. HCC incidence was lowest (0.3/1000 person-years (PY)) in the SC group and highest in the TF group (7.7/1000 PY). In a multivariable model, compared to SC, TF had the highest HCC risk (hazard ratio (HR):14.52, 95% confidence interval (CI): 9.83-21.47), followed by UCHC (HR: 5.85; 95% CI: 4.07-8.41). Earlier treatment-based viral clearance similar to SC could decrease HCC incidence by 69.4% (95% CI: 57.5-78.0), 30% (95% CI: 10.8-45.1) and 77.5% (95% CI: 69.4-83.5) among UCHC, SVR and TF patients, respectively. In conclusion, using SC as a real-world comparator group, it showed that substantial reduction in HCC risk could be achieved with earlier treatment initiation. These analyses should be replicated in patients who have been treated with direct acting antiviral therapies.

Darvishian M ，Janjua NZ ，Chong M ，Cook D ，Samji H ，Butt ZA ，Yu A ，Alvarez M ，Yoshida E ，Ramji A ，Wong J ，Woods R ，Tyndall M ，Krajden M ... -  《-》

Risk of Hepatocellular Cancer in HCV Patients Treated With Direct-Acting Antiviral Agents.

The risk of hepatocellular cancer (HCC) after sustained virological response (SVR) with direct-acting antivirals (DAA) is unclear. Our aim was to examine the risk and determinants of HCC in patients cured with DAA. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of hepatitis C virus patients who were treated with DAA in any of the 129 Veterans Health Administration hospitals between January 1, 2015 and December 31, 2015. We calculated the annual incidence rates of HCC by SVR. We used Cox regression models to compare the risk of HCC in patients with vs those without SVR and to identify factors associated with incident HCC among patients with SVR. We reviewed a sample of HCC patients for tumor size and stage at diagnosis. Among 22,500 patients treated with DAA (19,518 with SVR; 2982 without SVR), the mean (standard deviation) age was 61.6 (6.1) years, and 39.0% had cirrhosis. There were 271 new cases of HCC, including 183 in patients with SVR. Compared with patients without SVR, those with SVR had a significantly reduced risk of HCC (0.90 vs 3.45 HCC/100 person-years; adjusted hazard ratio, 0.28, 95% CI=0.22-0.36). Patients with cirrhosis had the highest annual incidence of HCC after SVR (1.82 vs 0.34/100 person-years in patients without cirrhosis; adjusted hazard ratio, 4.73. 95% CI, 3.34-6.68). Most (>44.8%) HCC were classified as stage I. Maximum size of the largest lesion was ≤5 cm in over 75% of cases. Among patients treated with DAA, SVR was associated with a considerable reduction in the risk of HCC. We did not find any evidence to suggest that DAAs promote HCC. However, in patients with SVR, the absolute risk of HCC remained high in patients with established cirrhosis. These patients should be considered for ongoing HCC surveillance.

Kanwal F ，Kramer J ，Asch SM ，Chayanupatkul M ，Cao Y ，El-Serag HB ... -  《-》