Development of a predictive radiomics model for lymph node metastases in pre-surgical CT-based stage IA non-small cell lung cancer.

To develop and validate predictive models using clinical parameters, radiomic features and a combination of both for lymph node metastasis (LNM) in pre-surgical CT-based stage IA non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients. This retrospective study included 649 pre-surgical CT-based stage IA NSCLC patients from our hospital. One hundred and thirty-eight (21 %) of the 649 patients had LNM after surgery. A total of 396 radiomic features were extracted from the venous phase contrast enhanced computed tomography (CECT). The training group included 455 patients (97 with and 358 without LNM) and the testing group included 194 patients (41 with and 153 without LNM). The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) algorithm was used for radiomic feature selection. The random forest (RF) was used for model development. Three models (a clinical model, a radiomics model, and a combined model) were developed to predict LNM in early stage NSCLC patients. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) value and decision curve analysis were used to evaluate the performance in LNM status (with or without LNM) using the three models. The ROC analysis (also decision curve analysis) showed predictive performance for LNM of the radiomics model (AUC values for training and testing, respectively 0.898 and 0.851) and of the combined model (0.911 and 0.860, respectively). Both performed better than the clinical model (0.739 and 0.614, respectively; delong test p-values both<0.001). A radiomics model using the venous phase of CE-CT has potential for predicting LNM in pre-surgical CT-based stage IA NSCLC patients.

Cong M ，Feng H ，Ren JL ，Xu Q ，Cong L ，Hou Z ，Wang YY ，Shi G ... -  《-》

Development and evaluation of a venous computed tomography radiomics model to predict lymph node metastasis from non-small cell lung cancer.

Cong M ，Yao H ，Liu H ，Huang L ，Shi G ... -  《-》

A Comprehensive Nomogram Combining CT Imaging with Clinical Features for Prediction of Lymph Node Metastasis in Stage I-IIIB Non-small Cell Lung Cancer.

The status of lymph node metastasis (LNM) is highly correlated with the recurrence and survival outcomes of patients with lung cancer. Thus, a tool that predicts LNM could benefit patient treatment and prognosis. The present study established a new radiomic model by combining computed tomography (CT) radiomic features and clinical parameters to predict the LNM status in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Demographic parameters and clinical laboratory values were analyzed in 217 patients with stage I-IIIB NSCLC; 107 of the patients received CT scanning and radiomic characteristics were used for LNM assessment (76 in the training cohort and 31 in the validation cohort). The minimum redundancy maximum relevance (mRMR) and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression model were used to select the most predictive features on the basis of the 76 patients in the training set. The value of the area under the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) was adopted to determine the correlation between LN status and the radiomics signature in training cohorts and then validated in the 31 patients of validation set. The radiomics nomogram was analyzed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was performed to evaluate the clinical utility of this model. This was a retrospective study. Five radiomic characteristics were significantly correlated with LNM in the two cohorts (P < 0.05). The radiomic nomogram that incorporated the above radiomic characteristics, the RDW, and the CT-based LN status had satisfactory discrimination and calibration in the training (AUC, 0.79; 95% CI 0.69-0.89) and validation cohorts (AUC, 0.70; 95% CI 0.50-0.89).The DCA showed that the developed nomogram had promising clinical utility. The developed nomogram, combined with preoperative radiomics evidence, the RDW, and the CT-based LN status, has the potential to preoperatively predict LNM with high accuracy and can facilitate the prediction of LN status for NSCLC patients.

Zheng X ，Shao J ，Zhou L ，Wang L ，Ge Y ，Wang G ，Feng F ... -  《-》

Developing a primary tumor and lymph node 18F-FDG PET/CT-clinical (TLPC) model to predict lymph node metastasis of resectable T2-4 NSCLC.

The goal of this study was to investigate whether the combined PET/CT radiomic features of the primary tumor and lymph node could predict lymph node metastasis (LNM) of resectable non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) in stage T2-4. This retrospective study included 192 NSCLC patients who underwent tumor and node dissection between August 2016 and December 2017 and underwent 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (18F-FDG) PET/CT scanning 1-3 weeks before surgery. In total, 192 primary tumors (> 3 cm) and 462 lymph nodes (LN > 0.5 cm) were analyzed. The pretreatment clinical features of these patients were recorded, and the radiomic features of their primary tumor and lymph node were extracted from PET/CT imaging. The Spearman's relevance combined with the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator was used for radiomic feature selection. Five independent machine learning models (multi-layer perceptron, extreme Gradient Boosting, light gradient boosting machine, gradient boosting decision tree, and support vector machine) were tested as classifiers for model development. We developed the following three models to predict LNM: tumor PET/CT-clinical (TPC), lymph PET/CT-clinical (LPC), and tumor and lymph PET/CT-clinical (TLPC). The performance of the models and the clinical node (cN) staging was evaluated using the ROC curve and confusion matrix analysis. The ROC analysis showed that among the three models, the TLPC model had better predictive clinical utility and efficiency in predicting LNM of NSCLC (AUC = 0.93, accuracy = 85%; sensitivity = 0.93; specificity = 0.75) than both the TPC model (AUC = 0.54, accuracy = 50%; specificity = 0.38; sensitivity = 0.59) and the LPC model (AUC = 0.82, accuracy = 70%; specificity = 0.41; sensitivity = 0.92). The TLPC model also exhibited great potential in predicting the N2 stage in NSCLC (AUC = 0.94, accuracy = 79%; specificity = 0.64; sensitivity = 0.91). The combination of CT and PET radiomic features of the primary tumor and lymph node showed great potential for predicting LNM of resectable T2-4 NSCLC. The TLPC model can non-invasively predict lymph node metastasis in NSCLC, which may be helpful for clinicians to develop more rational therapeutic strategies.

Wang M ，Liu L ，Dai Q ，Jin M ，Huang G ... -  《-》

Dual-Region Computed Tomography Radiomics-Based Machine Learning Predicts Subcarinal Lymph Node Metastasis in Patients with Non-small Cell Lung Cancer.

Noninvasively and accurately predicting subcarinal lymph node metastasis (SLNM) for patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) remains challenging. This study was designed to develop and validate a tumor and subcarinal lymph nodes (tumor-SLNs) dual-region computed tomography (CT) radiomics model for predicting SLNM in NSCLC. This retrospective study included NSCLC patients who underwent lung resection and SLNs dissection between January 2017 and December 2020. The radiomic features of the tumor and SLNs were extracted from preoperative CT, respectively. Ninety machine learning (ML) models were developed based on tumor region, SLNs region, and tumor-SLNs dual-region. The model performance was assessed by the area under the curve (AUC) and validated internally by fivefold cross-validation. In total, 202 patients were included in this study. ML models based on dual-region radiomics showed good performance for SLNM prediction, with a median AUC of 0.794 (range, 0.686-0.880), which was superior to those of models based on tumor region (median AUC, 0.746; range, 0.630-0.811) and SLNs region (median AUC, 0.700; range, 0.610-0.842). The ML model, which is developed by using the naive Bayes algorithm and dual-region features, had the highest AUC of 0.880 (range of cross-validation, 0.825-0.937) among all ML models. The optimal logistic regression model was inferior to the optimal ML model for predicting SLNM, with an AUC of 0.727. The CT radiomics showed the potential for accurately predicting SLNM in NSCLC patients. The ML model with dual-region radiomic features has better performance than the logistic regression or single-region models.

Yan HJ ，Zhao JS ，Zuo HD ，Zhang JJ ，Deng ZQ ，Yang C ，Luo X ，Wan JX ，Zheng XY ，Chen WY ，Li SP ，Tian D ... -  《-》