Identification of a Nine-Gene Signature and Establishment of a Prognostic Nomogram Predicting Overall Survival of Pancreatic Cancer.

Background: Pancreatic cancer is highly lethal and aggressive with increasing trend of mortality in both genders. An effective prediction model is needed to assess prognosis of patients for optimization of treatment. Materials and Methods: Seven datasets of mRNA expression and clinical data were obtained from gene expression omnibus (GEO) database. Level 3 mRNA expression and clinicopathological data were obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (TCGA-PAAD) dataset. Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) between pancreatic tumor and normal tissue were identified by integrated analysis of multiple GEO datasets. Univariate and Lasso Cox regression analyses were applied to identify overall survival-related DEGs and establish a prognostic gene signature whose performance was evaluated by Kaplan-Meier curve, receiver operating characteristic (ROC), Harrell's concordance index (C-index) and calibration curve. GSE62452 and GSE57495 were used for external validation. Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) and tumor immunity analysis were applied to elucidate the molecular mechanisms and immune relevance. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to identify independent prognostic factors in pancreatic cancer. Finally, a prognostic nomogram was established based on the TCGA PAAD dataset. Results: A nine-gene signature comprising MET, KLK10, COL17A1, CEP55, ANKRD22, ITGB6, ARNTL2, MCOLN3, and SLC25A45 was established to predict overall survival of pancreatic cancer. The ROC curve and C-index indicated good performance of the nine-gene signature at predicting overall survival in the TCGA dataset and external validation datasets relative to classic AJCC staging. The nine-gene signature could classify patients into high- and low-risk groups with distinct overall survival and differentiate tumor from normal tissue. Univariate Cox regression revealed that the nine-gene signature was an independent prognostic factor in pancreatic cancer. The nomogram incorporating the gene signature and clinical prognostic factors was superior to AJCC staging in predicting overall survival. The high-risk group was enriched with multiple oncological signatures and aggressiveness-related pathways and associated with significantly lower levels of CD4+ T cell infiltration. Conclusion: Our study identified a nine-gene signature and established a prognostic nomogram that reliably predict overall survival in pancreatic cancer. The findings may be beneficial to therapeutic customization and medical decision-making.

Wu M ，Li X ，Zhang T ，Liu Z ，Zhao Y ... -  《Frontiers in Oncology》

Identification of a Five-Gene Signature and Establishment of a Prognostic Nomogram to Predict Progression-Free Interval of Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma.

Background: The incidence of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) is high and increasing worldwide. Although prognosis is relatively good, it is important to select the minority of patients with poorer prognosis to avoid side effects associated with unnecessary over-treatment in low-risk patients; this requires accurate prognostic predictions. Materials and Methods: Six PTC expression datasets were obtained from the gene expression omnibus (GEO) database. Level 3 mRNA expression and clinicopathological data were obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas Thyroid Cancer (TCGA-THCA) database. Through integrated analysis of these datasets, highly reliable differentially-expressed genes (DEGs) between tumor and normal tissue were identified and lasso Cox regression was applied to identify DEGs related to the progression-free interval (PFI) and to establish a prognostic gene signature. The performance of a five-gene signature was evaluated based on a Kaplan-Meier curve, receiver operating characteristic (ROC), and Harrell's concordance index (C-index). Multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to identify factors associated with PTC prognosis. Finally, a prognostic nomogram was established based on the TCGA-THCA dataset. Results: A novel five-gene signature was established to predict the PTC PFI, which included PLP2, LYVE1, FABP4, TGFBR3, and FXYD6, and the ROC curve and C-index showed good performance in both training and validation datasets. This could classify patients into high- and low-risk groups with distinct PFIs and differentiate PTC tumors from normal tissue. Univariate Cox regression revealed that this signature was an independent prognostic factor for PTC. The established nomogram, incorporating the prognostic gene signature and clinical parameters, was able to predict the PFI with high efficiency. The gene signature-based nomogram was superior to the American Thyroid Association (ATA) risk stratification to predict PTC PFI. Conclusions: Our study identified a five-gene signature and established a prognostic nomogram, which were reliable in predicting the PFI of PTC; this could be beneficial for individualized treatment and medical decision making.

Wu M ，Yuan H ，Li X ，Liao Q ，Liu Z ... -  《Frontiers in Endocrinology》

Development and validation of a metastasis-related Gene Signature for predicting the Overall Survival in patients with Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma.

Background: Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is a highly fatal, aggressive cancer characterized by invasiveness and metastasis. In this study, we aimed to propose a gene prediction model based on metastasis-related genes (MTGs) to more accurately predict PDAC prognosis. Methods: Differentially expressed MTGs (DE-MTGs) were identified via integrated analysis of gene expression omnibus (GEO) datasets and Human Cancer Metastasis Database (HCMDB). Overall survival (OS) related DE-MTGs were then identified and a prognostic gene signature was established using Lasso-Cox regression with TCGA-PAAD datasets. Tumor immunity was analyzed using ESTIMATE and CIBERSORT algorithms. Finally, a nomogram predicting 1-year, 2-year, and 3-year OS of PDAC patients was established based on the prognostic gene signature and relevant clinical parameters using a stepwise Cox regression model. Results: A total of 36 DE-MTGs related to OS were identified in PDAC. Consequently, an MTG-based gene signature comprising of RACGAP1, RARRES3, TPX2, MMP28, GPR87, KIF14, and TSPAN7 was established to predict the OS of PDAC. The MTG-based gene signature was able to distinguish high-risk patients with significantly poorer prognosis and accurately predict OS of PDAC in both the training and external validation datasets. Cox regression analysis indicated that the MTG-based gene signature was an independent prognostic factor in PDAC. The gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) showed that molecular alterations in the high-risk group were associated with multiple oncological pathways. Moreover, analysis of tumor immunity revealed significantly higher levels of follicular helper T cells and M0 macrophage infiltration, and lower levels of infiltrating naïve B cells, CD8 T cells, monocytes, and resting dendritic cells in the high-risk group. Immune cell infiltration levels were significantly associated with the expression of the seven DE-MTGs. Finally, a nomogram was established by incorporating the prognostic gene signature and clinical parameters, which was superior to the AJCC staging system in predicting the OS of PDAC patients. Conclusions: The DE-MTGs we identified were closely associated with the progress and prognosis of PDAC and are potential therapeutic targets. The MTG-based gene signature and nomogram may serve to improve the individualized prediction of survival, assisting in clinical decision-making.

Wu M ，Li X ，Liu R ，Yuan H ，Liu W ，Liu Z ... -  《Journal of Cancer》

Identification of a three-gene expression signature and construction of a prognostic nomogram predicting overall survival in lung adenocarcinoma based on TCGA and GEO databases.

Lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) is the major cause of cancer mortality. Traditional prognostic factors have limited importance after including other parameters. Thus, developing a more credible prognostic model combined with genes and clinical parameters is necessary. The messenger RNA (mRNA) expression and clinical information from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA)-LUAD datasets and microarray data from three Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) databases were obtained. We identified differentially-expressed genes (DEGs) between lung tumor and normal tissues through integrated analysis of the three GEO datasets. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were conducted to select survival-associated DEGs and to establish a prognostic gene signature which was associated with overall survival (OS). The expression of gene proteins was assessed in 180 LUAD tissue microarrays (TMAs) by immunohistochemistry (IHC). We verified its predictive performance with a Kaplan-Meier (KM) curve, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and Harrell's concordance index (C-index) and validated it in external GEO databases. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed to identify the significant prognostic indicators in LUAD. Furthermore, we established a prognostic nomogram based on TCGA-LUAD dataset. A three-gene signature was constructed to predict the OS of LUAD patients. The KM analysis, ROC curve, and C-index present a good predictive ability of the gene signature in TCGA dataset [P<0.0001; C-index 0.6375; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.5632-0.7118; area under the ROC curve (AUC) 0.674] and the external GEO datasets (P=0.05, 0.004, and 0.04, respectively). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses also verified that LUAD patients with low-risk scores had a decreased risk of death compared to those with a high-risk score in TCGA database [hazard ratio (HR) =0.3898; 95% CI: 0.1938-0.7842; P<0.05]. Finally, we constructed a nomogram integrating the gene signature and clinicopathological parameters (P<0.0001; C-index 0.762; 95% CI: 0.714-0.845; AUC 0.8136). Compared with conventional staging, a nomogram can effectively improve prognosis prediction. The nomogram is closely associated to the OS of LUAD patients. This consequence may be beneficial to individualized treatment and clinical decision-making.

Zhou Y ，Gao S ，Yang R ，Du C ，Wang Y ，Wu Y ... -  《-》

Identification of a Four Cancer Stem Cell-Related Gene Signature and Establishment of a Prognostic Nomogram Predicting Overall Survival of Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma.

Cancer stem cells (CSCs) are now being considered as the initial component in the development of pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PAAD). Our aim was to develop a CSCrelated signature to assess the prognosis of PAAD patients for the optimization of treatment. Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) between pancreatic tumor and normal tissue in the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) were screened out, and the weighted gene correlation network analysis (WGCNA) was employed to identify the CSC-related gene sets. Then, univariate, Lasso Cox regression analyses and multivariate Cox regression were applied to construct a prognostic signature using the CSC-related genes. Its prognostic performance was validated in TCGA and ICGC cohorts. Furthermore, Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to identify independent prognostic factors in PAAD, and a prognostic nomogram was established. The Kaplan-Meier analysis, ROC curve and C-index indicated the good performance of the CSC-related signature at predicting overall survival (OS). Univariate Cox regression and multivariate Cox regression revealed that the CSC-related signature was an independent prognostic factor in PAAD. The nomogram was superior to the risk model and AJCC stage in predicting OS. In terms of mutation and tumor immunity, patients in the high-risk group had higher tumor mutation burden (TMB) scores than patients in the low-risk group, and the immune score and the ESTIMATE score were significantly lower in the high-risk group. Moreover, according to the results of principal component analysis (PCA) and Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA), the low-risk and high-risk groups displayed different stemness statuses based on the risk model. Our study identified four CSC-related gene signatures and established a prognostic nomogram that reliably predicts OS in PAAD. The findings may support new ideas for screening therapeutic targets to inhibit stem characteristics and the development of PAAD.

Li S ，Chen R ，Luo W ，Lin J ，Chen Y ，Wang Z ，Lin W ，Li B ，Wang J ，Yang J ... -  《-》