Genomic Prediction Using Multi-trait Weighted GBLUP Accounting for Heterogeneous Variances and Covariances Across the Genome.

Implicit assumption of common (co)variance for all loci in multi-trait Genomic Best Linear Unbiased Prediction (GBLUP) results in a genomic relationship matrix () that is common to all traits. When this assumption is violated, Bayesian whole genome regression methods may be superior to GBLUP by accounting for unequal (co)variance for all loci or genome regions. This study aimed to develop a strategy to improve the accuracy of GBLUP for multi-trait genomic prediction, using (co)variance estimates of SNP effects from Bayesian whole genome regression methods. Five generations (G1-G5, test populations) of genotype data were available by simulations based on data of 2,200 Danish Holstein cows (G0, reference population). Two correlated traits with heritabilities of 0.1 or 0.4, and a genetic correlation of 0.45 were generated. First, SNP effects and breeding values were estimated using BayesAS method, assuming (co)variance was the same for SNPs within a genome region, and different between regions. Region size was set as one SNP, 100 SNPs, a whole chromosome or whole genome. Second, posterior (co)variances of SNP effects were used to weight SNPs in construction of matrices. In general, region size of 100 SNPs led to highest prediction accuracies using BayesAS, and wGBLUP outperformed GBLUP at this region size. Our results suggest that when genetic architectures of traits favor Bayesian methods, the accuracy of multi-trait GBLUP can be as high as the Bayesian method if SNPs are weighted by the Bayesian posterior (co)variances.

Karaman E ，Lund MS ，Anche MT ，Janss L ，Su G ... -  《G3-Genes Genomes Genetics》

Modeling heterogeneous (co)variances from adjacent-SNP groups improves genomic prediction for milk protein composition traits.

Accurate genomic prediction requires a large reference population, which is problematic for traits that are expensive to measure. Traits related to milk protein composition are not routinely recorded due to costly procedures and are considered to be controlled by a few quantitative trait loci of large effect. The amount of variation explained may vary between regions leading to heterogeneous (co)variance patterns across the genome. Genomic prediction models that can efficiently take such heterogeneity of (co)variances into account can result in improved prediction reliability. In this study, we developed and implemented novel univariate and bivariate Bayesian prediction models, based on estimates of heterogeneous (co)variances for genome segments (BayesAS). Available data consisted of milk protein composition traits measured on cows and de-regressed proofs of total protein yield derived for bulls. Single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), from 50K SNP arrays, were grouped into non-overlapping genome segments. A segment was defined as one SNP, or a group of 50, 100, or 200 adjacent SNPs, or one chromosome, or the whole genome. Traditional univariate and bivariate genomic best linear unbiased prediction (GBLUP) models were also run for comparison. Reliabilities were calculated through a resampling strategy and using deterministic formula. BayesAS models improved prediction reliability for most of the traits compared to GBLUP models and this gain depended on segment size and genetic architecture of the traits. The gain in prediction reliability was especially marked for the protein composition traits β-CN, κ-CN and β-LG, for which prediction reliabilities were improved by 49 percentage points on average using the MT-BayesAS model with a 100-SNP segment size compared to the bivariate GBLUP. Prediction reliabilities were highest with the BayesAS model that uses a 100-SNP segment size. The bivariate versions of our BayesAS models resulted in extra gains of up to 6% in prediction reliability compared to the univariate versions. Substantial improvement in prediction reliability was possible for most of the traits related to milk protein composition using our novel BayesAS models. Grouping adjacent SNPs into segments provided enhanced information to estimate parameters and allowing the segments to have different (co)variances helped disentangle heterogeneous (co)variances across the genome.

Gebreyesus G ，Lund MS ，Buitenhuis B ，Bovenhuis H ，Poulsen NA ，Janss LG ... -  《-》

Multi-trait single-step genomic prediction accounting for heterogeneous (co)variances over the genome.

Widely used genomic prediction models may not properly account for heterogeneous (co)variance structure across the genome. Models such as BayesA and BayesB assume locus-specific variance, which are highly influenced by the prior for (co)variance of single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) effect, regardless of the size of data. Models such as BayesC or GBLUP assume a common (co)variance for a proportion (BayesC) or all (GBLUP) of the SNP effects. In this study, we propose a multi-trait Bayesian whole genome regression method (BayesN0), which is based on grouping a number of predefined SNPs to account for heterogeneous (co)variance structure across the genome. This model was also implemented in single-step Bayesian regression (ssBayesN0). For practical implementation, we considered multi-trait single-step SNPBLUP models, using (co)variance estimates from BayesN0 or ssBayesN0. Genotype data were simulated using haplotypes on first five chromosomes of 2200 Danish Holstein cattle, and phenotypes were simulated for two traits with heritabilities 0.1 or 0.4, assuming 200 quantitative trait loci (QTL). We compared prediction accuracy from different prediction models and different region sizes (one SNP, 100 SNPs, one chromosome or whole genome). In general, highest accuracies were obtained when 100 adjacent SNPs were grouped together. The ssBayesN0 improved accuracies over BayesN0, and using (co)variance estimates from ssBayesN0 generally yielded higher accuracies than using (co)variance estimates from BayesN0, for the 100 SNPs region size. Our results suggest that it could be a good strategy to estimate (co)variance components from ssBayesN0, and then to use those estimates in genomic prediction using multi-trait single-step SNPBLUP, in routine genomic evaluations.

Karaman E ，Lund MS ，Su G 《-》

The patterns of genomic variances and covariances across genome for milk production traits between Chinese and Nordic Holstein populations.

With the development of SNP chips, SNP information provides an efficient approach to further disentangle different patterns of genomic variances and covariances across the genome for traits of interest. Due to the interaction between genotype and environment as well as possible differences in genetic background, it is reasonable to treat the performances of a biological trait in different populations as different but genetic correlated traits. In the present study, we performed an investigation on the patterns of region-specific genomic variances, covariances and correlations between Chinese and Nordic Holstein populations for three milk production traits. Variances and covariances between Chinese and Nordic Holstein populations were estimated for genomic regions at three different levels of genome region (all SNP as one region, each chromosome as one region and every 100 SNP as one region) using a novel multi-trait random regression model which uses latent variables to model heterogeneous variance and covariance. In the scenario of the whole genome as one region, the genomic variances, covariances and correlations obtained from the new multi-trait Bayesian method were comparable to those obtained from a multi-trait GBLUP for all the three milk production traits. In the scenario of each chromosome as one region, BTA 14 and BTA 5 accounted for very large genomic variance, covariance and correlation for milk yield and fat yield, whereas no specific chromosome showed very large genomic variance, covariance and correlation for protein yield. In the scenario of every 100 SNP as one region, most regions explained <0.50% of genomic variance and covariance for milk yield and fat yield, and explained <0.30% for protein yield, while some regions could present large variance and covariance. Although overall correlations between two populations for the three traits were positive and high, a few regions still showed weakly positive or highly negative genomic correlations for milk yield and fat yield. The new multi-trait Bayesian method using latent variables to model heterogeneous variance and covariance could work well for estimating the genomic variances and covariances for all genome regions simultaneously. Those estimated genomic parameters could be useful to improve the genomic prediction accuracy for Chinese and Nordic Holstein populations using a joint reference data in the future.

Li X ，Lund MS ，Janss L ，Wang C ，Ding X ，Zhang Q ，Su G ... -  《BMC GENETICS》

Comparison of genomic predictions using genomic relationship matrices built with different weighting factors to account for locus-specific variances.

Various models have been used for genomic prediction. Bayesian variable selection models often predict more accurate genomic breeding values than genomic BLUP (GBLUP), but GBLUP is generally preferred for routine genomic evaluations because of low computational demand. The objective of this study was to achieve the benefits of both models using results from Bayesian models and genome-wide association studies as weights on single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) markers when constructing the genomic matrix (G-matrix) for genomic prediction. The data comprised 5,221 progeny-tested bulls from the Nordic Holstein population. The animals were genotyped using the Illumina Bovine SNP50 BeadChip (Illumina Inc., San Diego, CA). Weighting factors in this investigation were the posterior SNP variance, the square of the posterior SNP effect, and the corresponding minus base-10 logarithm of the marker association P-value [-log10(P)] of a t-test obtained from the analysis using a Bayesian mixture model with 4 normal distributions, the square of the estimated SNP effect, and the corresponding -log10(P) of a t-test obtained from the analysis using a classical genome-wide association study model (linear regression model). The weights were derived from the analysis based on data sets that were 0, 1, 3, or 5 yr before performing genomic prediction. In building a G-matrix, the weights were assigned either to each marker (single-marker weighting) or to each group of approximately 5 to 150 markers (group-marker weighting). The analysis was carried out for milk yield, fat yield, protein yield, fertility, and mastitis. Deregressed proofs (DRP) were used as response variables to predict genomic estimated breeding values (GEBV). Averaging over the 5 traits, the Bayesian model led to 2.0% higher reliability of GEBV than the GBLUP model with an original unweighted G-matrix. The superiority of using a GBLUP with weighted G-matrix over GBLUP with an original unweighted G-matrix was the largest when using a weighting factor of posterior variance, resulting in 1.7 percentage points higher reliability. The second best weighting factors were -log10 (P-value) of a t-test corresponding to the square of the posterior SNP effect from the Bayesian model and -log10 (P-value) of a t-test corresponding to the square of the estimated SNP effect from the linear regression model, followed by the square of estimated SNP effect and the square of the posterior SNP effect. In addition, group-marker weighting performed better than single-marker weighting in terms of reducing bias of GEBV, and also slightly increased prediction reliability. The differences between weighting factors and scenarios were larger in prediction bias than in prediction accuracy. Finally, weights derived from a data set having a lag up to 3 yr did not reduce reliability of GEBV. The results indicate that posterior SNP variance estimated from a Bayesian mixture model is a good alternative weighting factor, and common weights on group markers with a size of 30 markers is a good strategy when using markers of the 50,000-marker (50K) chip. In a population with gradually increasing reference data, the weights can be updated once every 3 yr.

Su G ，Christensen OF ，Janss L ，Lund MS ... -  《-》