Sex Differences in Mortality Based on United Network for Organ Sharing Status While Awaiting Heart Transplantation.

There are sex differences in mortality while awaiting heart transplantation, and the reason remains unclear. We included all adults in the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients placed on the heart transplant active waitlist from 2004 to 2015. The primary end point was all-cause mortality. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were performed to evaluate survival by United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) status at the time of listing. Random survival forest was used to identify sex interactions for the competing risk of death and transplantation. There were 33 069 patients (25% women) awaiting heart transplantation. This cohort included 7681 UNOS status 1A (26% women), 13 027 UNOS status 1B (25% women), and 12 361 UNOS status 2 (26% women). During a median follow-up of 4.3 months, 1351 women and 4052 men died. After adjusting for >20 risk factors, female sex was associated with a significant risk of death among UNOS status 1A (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.14; 95% confidence interval, 1.01-1.29) and UNOS status 1B (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.17; 95% confidence interval, 1.05-1.30). In contrast, female sex was significantly protective for time to death among UNOS status 2 (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.85; 95% confidence interval, 0.76-0.95). Sex differences in probability of transplantation were present for every UNOS status, and >20 sex interactions were identified for mortality and transplantation. When stratified by initial UNOS status, women had a higher mortality than men as UNOS status 1 and a lower mortality as UNOS status 2. With >20 sex interactions for mortality and transplantation, further evaluation is warranted to form a more equitable allocation system.

Hsich EM ，Blackstone EH ，Thuita L ，McNamara DM ，Rogers JG ，Ishwaran H ，Schold JD ... -  《-》

Does the UNOS heart transplant allocation system favor men over women?

The aim of this paper was to identify sex differences in survival of patients awaiting orthotopic heart transplantation (OHT). Women have a higher mortality rate while awaiting OHT than men, and the reason has not been fully determined. We included all adult patients in the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (SRTR) placed on the OHT waiting list from 2000 to 2010. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality before receiving OHT, analyzed using time-to-event analysis. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate sex differences in survival, with data stratified by United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) status at time of listing. There were 28,852 patients (24% women) awaiting OHT. This cohort included 6,163 UNOS status 1A (25% women), 9,168 UNOS status 1B (25% women), and 13,521 UNOS status 2 (24% women) patients. During a median follow-up of 3.7 years, 1,290 women and 4,286 men died. Female sex was associated with a significant risk of death among UNOS status 1A (adjusted hazard ratio [HR]: 1.20; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.05 to 1.37, p = 0.01) after adjusting for more than 30 baseline variables. In contrast, female sex was significantly protective for time to death among UNOS status 2 patients (adjusted HR: 0.75; 95% CI: 0.67 to 0.84, p < 0.001). No sex differences were noted among UNOS status 1B patients. There are sex differences in survival between women and men awaiting heart transplantation, and the current UNOS transplant criteria do not account for this disparity.

Hsich EM ，Starling RC ，Blackstone EH ，Singh TP ，Young JB ，Gorodeski EZ ，Taylor DO ，Schold JD ... -  《-》

Survival on the Heart Transplant Waiting List.

Bakhtiyar SS ，Godfrey EL ，Ahmed S ，Lamba H ，Morgan J ，Loor G ，Civitello A ，Cheema FH ，Etheridge WB ，Goss J ，Rana A ... -  《-》

Variables of importance in the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients database predictive of heart transplant waitlist mortality.

The prelisting variables essential for creating an accurate heart transplant allocation score based on survival are unknown. To identify these we studied mortality of adults on the active heart transplant waiting list in the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients database from January 1, 2004 to August 31, 2015. There were 33 069 candidates awaiting heart transplantation: 7681 UNOS Status 1A, 13 027 Status 1B, and 12 361 Status 2. During a median waitlist follow-up of 4.3 months, 5514 candidates died. Variables of importance for waitlist mortality were identified by machine learning using Random Survival Forests. Strong correlates predicting survival were estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), serum albumin, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, ventricular assist device, mechanical ventilation, peak oxygen capacity, hemodynamics, inotrope support, and type of heart disease with less predictive variables including antiarrhythmic agents, history of stroke, vascular disease, prior malignancy, and prior tobacco use. Complex interactions were identified such as an additive risk in mortality based on renal function and serum albumin, and sex-differences in mortality when eGFR >40 mL/min/1.73 m. Most predictive variables for waitlist mortality are in the current tiered allocation system except for eGFR and serum albumin which have an additive risk and complex interactions.

Hsich EM ，Thuita L ，McNamara DM ，Rogers JG ，Valapour M ，Goldberg LR ，Yancy CW ，Blackstone EH ，Ishwaran H ，Transplantation of HEarts to MaxImize Survival (THEMIS) Investigators ... -  《-》

Improved survival of patients with end-stage heart failure listed for heart transplantation: analysis of organ procurement and transplantation network/U.S. United Network of Organ Sharing data, 1990 to 2005.

Lietz K ，Miller LW 《-》