Clinical algorithms for the diagnosis and prognosis of interstitial lung disease in systemic sclerosis.

Interstitial lung disease (ILD) is currently the primary cause of death in systemic sclerosis (SSc). Thoracic high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) is considered the gold standard for diagnosis. Recent studies have proposed several clinical algorithms to predict the diagnosis and prognosis of SSc-ILD. To test the clinical algorithms to predict the presence and prognosis of SSc-ILD and to evaluate the association of extent of ILD with mortality in a cohort of SSc patients. Retrospective cohort study, including 177 SSc patients assessed by clinical evaluation, laboratory tests, pulmonary function tests, and HRCT. Three clinical algorithms, combining lung auscultation, chest radiography, and percentage predicted forced vital capacity (FVC), were applied for the diagnosis of different extents of ILD on HRCT. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional models were used to analyze the association of algorithms and the extent of ILD on HRCT with the risk of death using hazard ratios (HR). The prevalence of ILD on HRCT was 57.1% and 79 patients died (44.6%) in a median follow-up of 11.1 years. For identification of ILD with extent ≥10% and ≥20% on HRCT, all algorithms presented a high sensitivity (>89%) and a very low negative likelihood ratio (<0.16). For prognosis, survival was decreased for all algorithms, especially the algorithm C (HR = 3.47, 95% CI: 1.62-7.42), which identified the presence of ILD based on crackles on lung auscultation, findings on chest X-ray, or FVC <80%. Extensive disease as proposed by Goh et al. (extent of ILD > 20% on HRCT or, in indeterminate cases, FVC < 70%) had a significantly higher risk of death (HR = 3.42, 95% CI: 2.12-5.52). Survival was not different between patients with extent of 10% or 20% of ILD on HRCT, and analysis of 10-year mortality suggested that a threshold of 10% may also have a good predictive value for mortality. However, there is no clear cutoff above which mortality is sharply increased. Clinical algorithms had a good diagnostic performance for extents of SSc-ILD on HRCT with clinical and prognostic relevance (≥10% and ≥20%), and were also strongly related to mortality. Non-HRCT-based algorithms could be useful when HRCT is not available. This is the first study to replicate the prognostic algorithm proposed by Goh et al. in a developing country.

Hax V ，Bredemeier M ，Didonet Moro AL ，Pavan TR ，Vieira MV ，Pitrez EH ，da Silva Chakr RM ，Xavier RM ... -  《-》

Clinical decision rule to predict the presence of interstitial lung disease in systemic sclerosis.

To develop a clinical decision rule to predict the presence of interstitial lung disease (ILD) in systemic sclerosis (SSc; scleroderma) and to estimate the prevalence of SSc-ILD. Patient data were extracted from the Canadian Scleroderma Research Group registry. Three algorithms for the clinical decision rule were considered based on lung auscultation, chest radiography (CXR), and % predicted forced vital capacity (FVC). High-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) scans were used as the gold standard to determine the diagnostic properties of the 3 algorithms. Multiple imputation was used to impute HRCT data when missing, thereby avoiding bias due to differential referral for HRCT. This study included 1,168 patients. Of the patients with HRCT scans, 65% had evidence of ILD, compared to 26% by physical examination and 22% by CXR. The FVC of those who did not have HRCT was 8.8% greater than those who did (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 6.0-11.6%). Algorithm A, which identified the presence of ILD based on crackles on lung auscultation and/or findings on CXR, had a likelihood ratio of 3.9, compared to 3.2 for Algorithm B (which included patients with FVC <70%) and 2.2 for Algorithm C (which included patients with FVC <80%). The prevalence of ILD in the cohort was estimated to be 52% (95% CI 46-59%). We developed a simple clinical decision rule to predict SSc-ILD with good test characteristics. The prevalence of ILD in a large, unselected SSc cohort was estimated to be 52%.

Steele R ，Hudson M ，Lo E ，Baron M ，Canadian Scleroderma Research Group ... -  《-》

Interstitial lung disease in systemic sclerosis: a simple staging system.

Goh NS ，Desai SR ，Veeraraghavan S ，Hansell DM ，Copley SJ ，Maher TM ，Corte TJ ，Sander CR ，Ratoff J ，Devaraj A ，Bozovic G ，Denton CP ，Black CM ，du Bois RM ，Wells AU ... -  《-》

Brief Report: Pulmonary Function Tests: High Rate of False-Negative Results in the Early Detection and Screening of Scleroderma-Related Interstitial Lung Disease.

Validated methods for the screening and early diagnosis of systemic sclerosis (SSc; scleroderma)-related interstitial lung disease (ILD) are needed. The aim of this study was to evaluate the performance of pulmonary function tests (PFTs) compared with that of high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) of the chest for the detection of SSc-related ILD in clinical practice, and to identify predictors of lung involvement that is functionally occult but significant on HRCT. Prospectively enrolled patients with SSc were assessed according to the European League Against Rheumatism (EULAR)/EULAR Scleroderma Trial and Research standards. The assessment included PFTs and HRCT. The HRCT images were evaluated in a blinded manner by 2 experienced radiologists. The performance parameters of PFTs for the diagnosis of SSc-related ILD were calculated. Predictors of significant ILD as determined by HRCT in patients with normal forced vital capacity (FVC) values were identified through logistic regression. Among the 102 patients, 64 (63.0%) showed significant ILD on HRCT, while only 27 (26.0%) had an FVC <80% of predicted, and 54 (53.0%) had a decrease in the results of at least 1 PFT. Forty (62.5%) of 64 patients with significant ILD on HRCT had a normal FVC value, translating into a high false-negative rate. Notably, 5 of 40 patients with a normal FVC value had severe, functionally occult lung fibrosis; in 2 of these patients, the results of all of the PFTs were within normal limits. Patients with normal FVC values despite evidence of fibrosis on HRCT more frequently had anti-Scl-70 antibodies and diffuse SSc and less frequently had anticentromere antibodies (ACAs) compared with patients with both normal FVC values and normal HRCT results. The derived evidence-based data reveal a high risk of missing significant SSc-related ILD when relying solely on PFTs. More comprehensive screening algorithms for early detection are warranted. In particular, additional imaging investigations for the early detection of SSc-related ILD should be considered in ACA-negative patients with normal FVC values.

Suliman YA ，Dobrota R ，Huscher D ，Nguyen-Kim TD ，Maurer B ，Jordan S ，Speich R ，Frauenfelder T ，Distler O ... -  《-》

Performance of Forced Vital Capacity and Lung Diffusion Cutpoints for Associated Radiographic Interstitial Lung Disease in Systemic Sclerosis.

Showalter K ，Hoffmann A ，Rouleau G ，Aaby D ，Lee J ，Richardson C ，Dematte J ，Agrawal R ，Chang RW ，Hinchcliff M ... -  《-》