The effect of smoking status on burn inhalation injury mortality.

Three factors that effect burn mortality are age, total body surface of burn (TBSA), and inhalation injury. Of the three, inhalation injury is the strongest predictor of mortality thus its inclusion in the revised Baux score (age+TBSA+17* (inhalation injury, 1=yes, 0=no)). However, the weighted contribution of specific comorbidities such as smoker status on mortality has traditionally not been accounted for nor studied in this subset of burn patients. We therefore sought to examine the impact of current tobacco and/or marijuana smoking in patients with inhalation injury. A retrospective analysis of patients admitted to a regional burn center from 2002 to 2012. Independent variables analyzed included basic demographics, burn mechanism, presence of inhalation injury, TBSA, pre-existing comorbidities, and smoker status. Bivariate analysis was performed and logistic regression modeling using significant variables was utilized to estimate odds of mortality. There were a total of 7640 patients over the study period. 7% (n=580) of the burn cohort with inhalation injury were included in this study. In-hospital burn mortality for inhalation injury patients was 23%. Current smokers (20%) included cigarette smokers and marijuana users, 19% and 3%, respectively. Preexisting respiratory disease (17%) was present in 36% of smokers compared to 13% of non-smokers (p<0.001). Smokers had significantly lower mortality rate (9%) compared to non-smokers (26%, p<0.01). The logistic regression model for mortality outcomes identified statistically four significant variables: age, TBSA, ethnicity, and smoker status (OR=0.41, 95% CI=0.18-0.93). Presence of comorbidities, including preexisting respiratory disease, was not significant. In the sub group of burn patients with inhalation injury, the odds of mortality significantly decreased in pre-existing smokers after adjusting for significant covariates. We postulate that an immune tolerance mechanism that modulates and diminishes the pro-inflammatory response confers a survival advantage in smokers after exposure to acute smoke inhalation injury. Future prospective studies in human and/or animal models are needed to confirm these findings.

Knowlin L ，Stanford L ，Cairns B ，Charles A ... -  《-》

The measured effect magnitude of co-morbidities on burn injury mortality.

The ability to better prognosticate burn injury outcome is challenging and historically, most center use the Baux or revised Baux score to help prognosticate burn outcome, however, the weighted contribution of comorbidity on burn mortality has traditionally not been accounted for nor adequately studied. We therefore sought to determine the effect of comorbidities, using the Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) on burn mortality. The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of comorbidities on burn injury mortality as determined by the LA50 (lethal TBSA burn at which 50% of the cohort will succumb from the burn injury) in a retrospective analysis of patients admitted to a regional burn center from 2002 to 2012. Independent variables analyzed included basic demographics, burn mechanism, presence of inhalation injury, TBSA (total body surface area), length of hospital stay, and pre-existing comorbidities. Bivariate analysis was performed and logistic regression modeling using significant variables was utilized to estimate odds of death. 7640 patients were included in this study. Overall survival rate was 96%. 40% of our burn cohort had at least one comorbidity. There was a linear increase in the likelihood of death with an increase in CCI. The logistic regression model for mortality outcomes identified four statistically significant variables: age, TBSA, inhalational injury and the presence of comorbidities (OR=1.59 for each 1 point increase in CCI; 95% CI 1.44-1.77). The unadjusted LA50 was 53% for the entire cohort. Partial adjustment multivariate regression controlling for burn mechanism and inhalation injury only, produced a slight reduction in LA50 for the 0-18 and 19-64 age categories to 76% and 48% TBSA, respectively, but a significant decrease occurred in the ≥65 years age group with a reduced LA50 to 20% TBSA (p<0.001). After full adjustment for all significant covariates, including comorbidities, the independent magnitude of effect of comorbidities on the LA50 was evident in the <65 cohort. The full adjustment showed a LA50 decreased to 61% and 43% TBSA, respectively in the 0-18 and >18-65 age groups respectively (p<0.001), however, in the >65 years age cohort there was no change in the LA50. Preexisting comorbidities have a significant effect on burn injury mortality in all age groups, particularly the younger burn population. The measured effect of comorbidities in the >65 yr age cohort was mitigated by the co-linearity between age and comorbidities. The inclusion of CCI is imperative so as to better prognosticate burn outcome and help guide expectations and resource utilization, particularly in the younger burn cohort.

Knowlin L ，Stanford L ，Moore D ，Cairns B ，Charles A ... -  《-》

Long term mortality in critically ill burn survivors.

Little is known about long term survival risk factors in critically ill burn patients who survive hospitalization. We hypothesized that patients with major burns who survive hospitalization would have favorable long term outcomes. We performed a two center observational cohort study in 365 critically ill adult burn patients who survived to hospital discharge. The exposure of interest was major burn defined a priori as >20% total body surface area burned [TBSA]. The modified Baux score was determined by age + %TBSA+ 17(inhalational injury). The primary outcome was all-cause 5year mortality based on the US Social Security Administration Death Master File. Adjusted associations were estimated through fitting of multivariable logistic regression models. Our final model included adjustment for inhalational injury, presence of 3rd degree burn, gender and the acute organ failure score, a validated ICU risk-prediction score derived from age, ethnicity, surgery vs. medical patient type, comorbidity, sepsis and acute organ failure covariates. Time-to-event analysis was performed using Cox proportional hazard regression. Of the cohort patients studied, 76% were male, 29% were non white, 14% were over 65, 32% had TBSA >20%, and 45% had inhalational injury. The mean age was 45, 92% had 2nd degree burns, 60% had 3rd degree burns, 21% received vasopressors, and 26% had sepsis. The mean TBSA was 20.1%. The mean modified Baux score was 72.8. Post hospital discharge 5year mortality rate was 9.0%. The 30day hospital readmission rate was 4%. Patients with major burns were significantly younger (41 vs. 47 years) had a significantly higher modified Baux score (89 vs. 62), and had significantly higher comorbidity, acute organ failure, inhalational injury and sepsis (all P<0.05). There were no differences in gender and the acute organ failure score between major and non-major burns. In the multivariable logistic regression model, major burn was associated with a 3 fold decreased odds of 5year post-discharge mortality compared to patients with TBSA<20% [OR=0.29 (95%CI 0.11-0.78; P=0.014)]. The adjusted model showed good discrimination [AUC 0.81 (95%CI 0.74-0.89)] and calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow χ2 P=0.67). Cox proportional hazard multivariable regression modeling, adjusting for inhalational injury, presence of 3rd degree burn, gender and the acute organ failure score, showed that major burn was predictive of lower mortality following hospital admission [HR=0.34 (95% CI 0.15-0.76; P=0.009)]. The modified Baux score was not predictive for mortality following hospital discharge [OR 5year post-discharge mortality=1.00 (95%CI 0.99-1.02; P=0.74); HR for post-discharge mortality=1.00 (95% CI 0.99-1.02; P=0.55)]. Critically ill patients with major burns who survive to hospital discharge have decreased 5year mortality compared to those with less severe burns. ICU Burn unit patients who survive to hospital discharge are younger with less comorbidities. The observed relationship is likely due to the relatively higher physiological reserve present in those who survive a Burn ICU course which may provide for a survival advantage during recovery after major burn.

Nitzschke S ，Offodile AC 2nd ，Cauley RP ，Frankel JE ，Beam A ，Elias KM ，Gibbons FK ，Salim A ，Christopher KB ... -  《-》

Burn mortality in patients with preexisting cardiovascular disease.

Burn shock, a complex process, which develops following burn leads to severe and unique derangement of cardiovascular function. Patients with preexisting comorbidities such as cardiovascular diseases may be more susceptible. We therefore sought to examine the impact of preexisting cardiovascular disease on burn outcomes. A retrospective analysis of patients admitted to a regional burn center from 2002 to 2012. Independent variables analyzed included basic demographics, burn mechanism, presence of inhalation injury, TBSA, pre-existing comorbidities, and length of ICU/hospital stay. Bivariate analysis was performed and Poisson regression modeling was utilized to estimate the incidence of being in the ICU and mortality. There were a total of 5332 adult patients admitted over the study period. 6% (n=428) had a preexisting cardiovascular disease. Cardiovascular disease patients had a higher mortality rate (16%) compared to those without cardiovascular disease (3%, p<0.001). The adjusted Poisson regression model to estimate incidence risk of being in intensive care unit in patients with cardiovascular disease was 33% higher compared to those without cardiovascular disease (IRR=1.33, 95% CI=1.22-1.47). The risk for mortality is 42% higher (IRR=1.42, 95% CI=1.10-1.84) for patients with pre-existing cardiovascular disease compared to those without cardiovascular disease after controlling for other covariates. Preexisting cardiovascular disease significantly increases the risk of intensive care unit admission and mortality in burn patients. Given the increasing number of Americans with cardiovascular diseases, there will likely be a greater number of individuals at risk for worse outcomes following burn. This knowledge can help with burn prognostication.

Knowlin L ，Reid T ，Williams F ，Cairns B ，Charles A ... -  《-》

The epidemiologic characteristics and outcomes following intentional burn injury at a regional burn center.

Intentional burn injury outcomes are usually more severe, have a high mortality and are seen more often in low and middle-income countries. This study will examine the epidemiological characteristics of intentional burn injury patients and mortality outcomes at a regional Burn Center. This is a retrospective study of 11,977 patients admitted to a regional Burn center from 2002 to 2015.Variables analyzed were basic demographics (sex, age, and race), total body surface area of burn (%TBSA), presence of inhalation injury, Charlson comorbidity index, intent of injury, mortality, and hospital and ICU length of stay (LOS). Chi-square tests, bivariate analysis and logistic regression models were utilized to determine the effect of burn intent on outcomes. Eleven thousand eight hundred and twenty-three (n = 11,823) adult and pediatric patients from 2002 to 2015 were included in the study. Three hundred and forty-eight (n = 348, 2.9%) patients had intentional burn injuries (IBI). Patients with IBI were younger, 26.5 ± 20 years compared to the non-intentional burn injury (NIBI) group (32 ± 22 years, p < 0.001). Mean %TBSA was significantly higher in the IBI vs. NIBI group at 14.6 ± 20 vs. 6.4 ± 10%, p < 0.001, respectively. Overall, Non-whites (n = 230, 66%) were more likely to have IBI, p < 0.001. Inhalation injury and mortality were statistically significant in the IBI group compared to the NIBI group, (n = 54,16%) vs. (n = 30, 9%) and (n = 649,6%) vs. (n = 329,2.9%), p < 0.001, respectively. Multivariate logistic regression did not show any significant increase in odds of mortality based on burn intent. In subgroup analysis of self-inflicted (SIB) vs. assault burns, SIB patients were significantly older, 38 years (±14.7) vs. 22.4 years (±20.5), p < 0.001 and had a higher %TBSA, 26.5 (±29.6) vs. 10.3 (±13.6), p < 0.001. Seventy three percent (n = 187, 73%) of assault burn patients were Nonwhite and Whites were more likely to incur self-inflicted burns, (n = 53% p < 0.001). We show that patients with intentional burn injuries have an associated increased %TBSA and inhalation injury without increased adjusted odds for mortality. Intentional burns increase health care expenditures. Violence prevention initiatives and access to mental health providers may be beneficial in reducing intentional burn injury burden.

Atwell K ，Bartley C ，Cairns B ，Charles A ... -  《-》