A Clinical and Angiographic Scoring System to Predict the Probability of Successful First-Attempt Percutaneous Coronary Intervention in Patients With Total Chronic Coronary Occlusion.

This study sought to develop a scoring model predicting percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) success in chronic total occlusions. Coronary chronic total occlusion is the lesion subtype in which angioplasty is most likely to fail. Chronic total occlusion for PCI (CTO-PCI) failure is associated with higher 1-year mortality and major adverse cardiac events compared with successful CTO-PCI. Although several independent predictors of final procedural success have been identified, no study has yet produced a model predicting final procedural outcome. Data from 1,657 consecutive patients who underwent a first-attempt CTO-PCI were prospectively collected. The scoring model was developed in a derivation cohort of 1,143 patients (70%) using a multivariable stepwise analysis to identify independent predictors of CTO-PCI failure. The model was then validated in the remaining 514 (30%). The overall procedural success rate was 72.5%. Independent predictors of CTO-PCI failure were identified and included in the clinical and lesion-related score (CL-score) as follows: previous coronary artery bypass graft surgery +1.5 (odds ratio [OR]: 2.49, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.56 to 3.96), previous myocardial infarction +1 (OR: 1.6, 95% CI: 1.17 to 2.2), severe lesion calcification +2 (OR: 2.72, 95% CI :1.78 to 4.16), longer CTOs +1.5 (≥20 mm OR: 2.04, 95% CI: 1.54 to 2.7), non-left anterior descending coronary artery location +1 (OR: 1.56, 95% CI: 1.14 to 2.15), and blunt stump morphology +1 (OR: 1.39, 95% CI: 1.05 to 1.81). Score values of 0 to 1, >1 and <3, ≥3 and <5, and ≥5 identified subgroups at high, intermediate, low, and very low probability, respectively, of CTO-PCI success (derivation cohort: 84.9%, 74.9%, 58%, and 31.9%; p < 0,0001; validation cohort: 88.3%, 73.1%, 59.4%, and 46.2%; p < 0.0001). This clinical and angiographic score predicted the final CTO-PCI procedural outcome of our study population.

Alessandrino G ，Chevalier B ，Lefèvre T ，Sanguineti F ，Garot P ，Unterseeh T ，Hovasse T ，Morice MC ，Louvard Y ... -  《-》

Development and Validation of a Novel Scoring System for Predicting Technical Success of Chronic Total Occlusion Percutaneous Coronary Interventions: The PROGRESS CTO (Prospective Global Registry for the Study of Chronic Total Occlusion Intervention) Scor

This study sought to develop a novel parsimonious score for predicting technical success of chronic total occlusion (CTO) percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) performed using the hybrid approach. Predicting technical success of CTO PCI can facilitate clinical decision making and procedural planning. We analyzed clinical and angiographic parameters from 781 CTO PCIs included in PROGRESS CTO (Prospective Global Registry for the Study of Chronic Total Occlusion Intervention) using a derivation and validation cohort (2:1 sampling ratio). Variables with strong association with technical success in multivariable analysis were assigned 1 point, and a 4-point score was developed from summing all points. The PROGRESS CTO score was subsequently compared with the J-CTO (Multicenter Chronic Total Occlusion Registry in Japan) score in the validation cohort. Technical success was 92.9%. On multivariable analysis, factors associated with technical success included proximal cap ambiguity (beta coefficient [b] = 0.88), moderate/severe tortuosity (b = 1.18), circumflex artery CTO (b = 0.99), and absence of "interventional" collaterals (b = 0.88). The resulting score demonstrated good calibration and discriminatory capacity in the derivation (Hosmer-Lemeshow chi-square = 2.633; p = 0.268, and receiver-operator characteristic [ROC] area = 0.778) and validation (Hosmer-Lemeshow chi-square = 5.333; p = 0.070, and ROC area = 0.720) subset. In the validation cohort, the PROGRESS CTO and J-CTO scores performed similarly in predicting technical success (ROC area 0.720 vs. 0.746, area under the curve difference = 0.026, 95% confidence interval = -0.093 to 0.144). The PROGRESS CTO score is a novel useful tool for estimating technical success in CTO PCI performed using the hybrid approach.

Christopoulos G ，Kandzari DE ，Yeh RW ，Jaffer FA ，Karmpaliotis D ，Wyman MR ，Alaswad K ，Lombardi W ，Grantham JA ，Moses J ，Christakopoulos G ，Tarar MNJ ，Rangan BV ，Lembo N ，Garcia S ，Cipher D ，Thompson CA ，Banerjee S ，Brilakis ES ... -  《-》

Angiographic success and procedural complications in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary chronic total occlusion interventions: a weighted meta-analysis of 18,061 patients from 65 studies.

This study sought to perform a weighted meta-analysis of the complication risk during chronic total occlusion (CTO) percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). The safety profile of CTO PCI has received limited study. We conducted a meta-analysis of 65 studies published between 2000 and 2011 reporting procedural complications of CTO PCI. Data on the frequency of death, emergent coronary artery bypass graft surgery, stroke, myocardial infarction, perforation, tamponade, stent thrombosis, major vascular or bleeding events, contrast nephropathy, and radiation skin injury were collected. A total of 65 studies with 18,061 patients and 18,941 target CTO vessels were included. Pooled estimates of outcomes were as follows: angiographic success 77% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 74.3% to 79.6%); death 0.2% (95% CI: 0.1% to 0.3%); emergent coronary artery bypass graft surgery 0.1% (95% CI: 0.0% to 0.2%); stroke <0.01% (95% CI: 0.0% to 0.1%); myocardial infarction 2.5% (95% CI: 1.9% to 3.0%); Q-wave myocardial infarction 0.2% (95% CI: 0.1% to 0.3%); coronary perforation 2.9% (95% CI: 2.2% to 3.6%); tamponade 0.3% (95% CI: 0.2% to 0.5%); and contrast nephropathy 3.8% (95% CI: 2.4% to 5.3%). Compared with successful procedures, unsuccessful procedures had higher rates of death (0.42% vs. 1.54%, p < 0.0001), perforation (3.65% vs. 10.70%, p < 0.0001), and tamponade (0% vs. 1.65%, p < 0.0001). Among 886 lesions treated with the retrograde approach, success rate was 79.8% with no deaths and low rates of emergent coronary artery bypass graft surgery (0.17%) and tamponade (1.2%). CTO PCI carries low risk for procedural complications despite high success rates.

Patel VG ，Brayton KM ，Tamayo A ，Mogabgab O ，Michael TT ，Lo N ，Alomar M ，Shorrock D ，Cipher D ，Abdullah S ，Banerjee S ，Brilakis ES ... -  《-》

The predictors of successful percutaneous coronary intervention in ostial left anterior descending artery chronic total occlusion.

Percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) to chronic total occlusion (CTO) has become one of the treatment strategies in recent era. The ostium of the left anterior descending artery (LAD) is one of the most difficult positions for CTO revascularization. Until now, limited data has been made available for the prediction of successful ostial LAD CTO PCI. The aim of the study was to compare the differences between ostial LAD and all other CTOs and to identify the predictors of successful ostial LAD CTO PCI. This retrospective analysis included consecutive patients referred for CTO PCI between January 2001 and September 2013. Ostial LAD CTO was defined as CTO at the position whose distance between lesion and left main bifurcation was less than 1 mm. Baseline demographics, lesion characteristics, interventional procedure details, and devices were compared between the ostial LAD group and the all other CTOs group. The predictors of successful ostial LAD CTO PCI were also evaluated. 621 patients who underwent CTO PCI were enrolled retrospectively to this study. A total of 70 patients of ostial LAD CTO were compared with 551 patients of all other CTOs group in this study. Ostial LAD CTO was found to have more bridging and better collaterals than all other CTOs. Procedure time, fluoroscopic time, contrast volumes, the use of contralateral injection, and the use of the retrograde approach were significantly greater in the ostial LAD CTO group. The ostial LAD CTO group also had significantly higher J-CTO scores (2.7 ± 0.8 vs. 2.2 ± 1.1, P = 0.011) and higher Syntax Scores (28.3 ± 6.5 vs. 20.9 ± 9.7, P < 0.001). A slightly lower final success rate, but statistically non-significant, was observed in the ostial LAD CTO group (80.0% vs. 81.9%, P = 0.706). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression revealed that without antegrade failure and with retrograde success were predictors of the success of ostial LAD CTO PCI. Syntax Score was also capable of predicting the ostial LAD CTO PCI outcome. J-CTO score was not found to be associated with final success for ostial LAD CTO patients. Ostial LAD CTO resulted in higher lesion complexity in J-CTO scores and Syntax Scores. Ostial LAD CTO PCI had a slightly lower final success rate than that of all other CTOs PCI with longer procedure duration, fluoroscopic time and larger contrast volume. Without antegrade failure, with retrograde success, and lower Syntax Score were found to predict the success of ostial LAD CTO PCI.

Fang HY ，Lu SY ，Lee WC ，Lin YS ，Cheng CI ，Chen CJ ，Yang CH ，Yip HK ，Hang CL ，Fang CY ，Wu CJ ... -  《-》

Correlates and outcomes related to periprocedural myocardial injury during percutaneous coronary intervention for chronic total occlusion: Results from a prospective, single center PCI registry.

There is increasing interest in percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) for chronic total occlusions (CTO). Periprocedural myocardial injury (PMI) post CTO PCI is not uncommon, but true incidence and implications of PMI are not well understood. This study aimed to investigate risk factors for PMI post CTO PCI and its implications for the 1-year clinical outcome of a Chinese population. Baseline characteristics, procedure features, and major adverse cardiac events (MACE) at 1 year were assessed in 629 consecutive patients who underwent CTO PCI. PMI was diagnosed as an elevation of creatine kinase MB ≥3 times ULN 12-24 hr post procedure. Multivariate analysis was performed to determine the correlates of PMI and MACE at 1-year follow-up. In total, PMI was detected in 115 patients (18.3%). Compared with patients without PMI, those with PMI had a higher percentage of previous coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), right coronary occlusion and side branch occlusion, and technical success was lower in the PMI group (90.4% vs. 96.7%, P = 0.003). One-year MACE-free survival was reduced in the PMI group (87.8% vs. 95.9%, P = 0.001). The final TIMI flow 0-1 (OR 2.23, 95%CI 1.06-4.87, P = 0.02), side branch occlusion (OR 2.67, 95%CI 1.19-7.11, P = 0.009), retrograde PCI (OR 1.35, 95%CI 1.10-2.74, P = 0.04), and history of prior CABG (OR 2.41, 95%CI 1.38-5.91, P = 0.01) were independent risk factors for the occurrence of PMI. In this unique Chinese cohort, PMI post CTO PCI was associated with several clinical and angiographic factors and exerts an adverse effect on 1-year clinical outcomes.

Zhang Q ，Hu J ，Yang ZK ，Ding FH ，Zhang JS ，Du R ，Zhu TQ ，Shen WF ，Kirtane AJ ，Zhang RY ... -  《-》