The independent contribution of diabetic foot ulcer on lower extremity amputation and mortality risk.

To estimate 3-year risk for diabetic foot ulcer (DFU), lower extremity amputation (LEA) and death; determine predictive variables and assess derived models accuracy. Retrospective cohort study including all subjects with diabetes enrolled in our diabetic foot outpatient clinic from beginning 2002 until middle 2010. Data were collected from clinical records. 644 subjects with mean age of 65.1 (±11.2) and diabetes duration of 16.1 (±10.8) years. Cumulative incidence was 26.6% for DFU, 5.8% for LEA and 14.0% for death. In multivariate analysis, physical impairment, peripheral arterial disease complication history, complication count and previous DFU were associated with DFU; complication count, foot pulses and previous DFU with LEA and age, complication count and previous DFU with death. Predictive models' areas under the ROC curves ranged from 0.80 to 0.83. A simplified model including previous DFU and complication count presented high accuracy. Previous DFU was associated with all outcomes, even when adjusted for complication count, in addition to more complex models. DFU seems more than a marker of complication status, having independent impact on LEA and mortality risk. Proposed models may be applicable in healthcare settings to identify patients at higher risk of DFU, LEA and death.

Martins-Mendes D ，Monteiro-Soares M ，Boyko EJ ，Ribeiro M ，Barata P ，Lima J ，Soares R ... -  《-》

Predictors of lower extremity amputation in patients with diabetic foot ulcer: findings from MEDFUN, a multi-center observational study.

Ugwu E ，Adeleye O ，Gezawa I ，Okpe I ，Enamino M ，Ezeani I ... -  《Journal of Foot and Ankle Research》

Clinical characteristics and risk factors of lower extremity amputation in the diabetic inpatients with foot ulcers.

To analyze clinical characteristics of the diabetic inpatients with foot ulcers and explore the risk factors of lower extremity amputation (LEA) in West China Hospital of Sichuan University. A retrospective analysis was performed based on the clinical data of the patients with diabetic foot ulcer (DFU) hospitalized in West China Hospital of Sichuan University from January 1, 2012 to December 31, 2020. The DFU patients were divided into three groups: non-amputation, minor amputation, and major amputation groups. The ordinal logistic regression analysis was used to identify the risk factors for LEA. 992 diabetic patients (622 males and 370 females) with DFU were hospitalized in the Diabetic Foot Care Center of Sichuan University. Among them, 72 (7.3%) (55 minor amputations and 17 major amputations) cases experienced amputation, and 21(2.1%) refused amputation. Excluding the patients who refused amputation, the mean age and duration of diabetes of and HbA1c the 971 patients with DFU, were 65.1 ± 12.3 years old, 11.1 ± 7.6 years, and 8.6 ± 2.3% respectively. The patients in the major amputation group were older and had longer course of diabetes for a longer period of time than those in the non-amputation and minor amputation groups. Compared with the non-amputation patients (55.1%), more patients with amputation (minor amputation (63.5%) and major amputation (88.2%)) suffered from peripheral arterial disease (P=0.019). The amputated patients had statistically lower hemoglobin, serum albumin and ankle brachial index (ABI), but higher white blood cell, platelet counts, fibrinogen and C-reactive protein levels. The patients with amputation had a higher incidence of osteomyelitis (P = 0.006), foot gangrene (P < 0.001), and a history of prior amputations (P < 0.001) than those without amputation. Furthermore, a history of prior amputation (odds ratio 10.194; 95% CI, 2.646-39.279; P=0.001), foot gangrene (odds ratio 6.466; 95% CI, 1.576-26.539; P=0.010) and ABI (odds ratio 0.791; 95% CI, 0.639-0.980; P = 0.032) were significantly associated with LEAs. The DFU inpatients with amputation were older with long duration of diabetes, poorly glycemic control, malnutrition, PAD, severe foot ulcers with infection. A history of prior amputation, foot gangrene and a low ABI level were the independent predictors of LEA. Multidisciplinary intervention for DFU is essential to avoid amputation of the diabetic patients with foot ulcer.

Gong H ，Ren Y ，Li Z ，Zha P ，Bista R ，Li Y ，Chen D ，Gao Y ，Chen L ，Ran X ，Wang C ... -  《Frontiers in Endocrinology》

Development of Predictive Nomograms for Clinical Use to Quantify the Risk of Amputation in Patients with Diabetic Foot Ulcer.

To determine the novel proposed nomogram model accuracy in the prediction of the lower-extremity amputations (LEA) risk in diabetic foot ulcer (DFU). In this retrospective study, data of 125 patients with diabetic foot ulcer who met the research criteria in Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University from January 2015 to December 2019 were collected by filling in the clinical investigation case report form. Firstly, univariate analysis was used to find the primary predictive factors of amputation in patients with diabetic foot ulcer. Secondly, single factor and multiple factor logistic regression analysis were employed to screen the independent influencing factors of amputation introducing the primary predictive factors selected from the univariate analysis. Thirdly, the independent influencing factors were applied to build a prediction model of amputation risk in patients with diabetic foot ulcer by using R4.3; then, the nomogram was established according to the selected variables visually. Finally, the performance of the prediction model was evaluated and verified by receiver working characteristic (ROC) curve, corrected calibration curve, and clinical decision curve. 7 primary predictive factors were selected by univariate analysis from 21 variables, including the course of diabetes, peripheral angiopathy of diabetic (PAD), glycosylated hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), white blood cells (WBC), albumin (ALB), blood uric acid (BUA), and fibrinogen (FIB); single factor logistic regression analysis showed that albumin was a protective factor for amputation in patients with diabetic foot ulcer, and the other six factors were risk factors. Multivariate logical regression analysis illustrated that only five factors (the course of diabetes, PAD, HbA1c, WBC, and FIB) were independent risk factors for amputation in patients with diabetic foot ulcer. According to the area under curve (AUC) of ROC was 0.876 and corrected calibration curve of the nomogram displayed good fitting ability, the model established by these 5 independent risk factors exhibited good ability to predict the risk of amputation. The decision analysis curve (DCA) indicated that the nomogram model was more practical and accurate when the risk threshold was between 6% and 91%. Our novel proposed nomogram showed that the course of diabetes, PAD, HbA1c, WBC, and FIB are the independent risk factors of amputation in patients with DFU. This prediction model was well developed and behaved a great accurate value for LEA so as to provide a useful tool for screening LEA risk and preventing DFU from developing into amputation.

Peng B ，Min R ，Liao Y ，Yu A ... -  《-》

Clinical outcome and determinants of amputation in a large cohort of Iranian patients with diabetic foot ulcers.

Determining the predictive factors of diabetes foot ulcer (DFU) development and lower extremity amputations (LEA) in patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) is of great importance to compose risk stratification models. The aim of this study is to investigate the outcome and predictors of LEA in patients with DFU in large sample of Iranian patients. This prospective cohort study was conducted during a 2-year period from 2014 to 2016, in Shiraz, southern Iran. All the patients with type 1 and 2 DM and DFU were included in the cohort and were followed for 2 years at least. They were visited in the clinic on a monthly basis and development of new DFU and LEA were recorded. The two-year free-DFU survival and predictors of the DFU development and LEA were recorded. Multivariate regression models were used to determine the factors. A total number of 432 patients with mean age of 56.8 ± 13.3 years were included. The two-year DFU-free survival rate was 0.826. The two-year DFU-free survival was associated with male gender (p = 0.005), foot deformity (p = 0.002), history of prior DFU (p < 0.001), cigarette smoking (p = 0.032), nephropathy (p = 0.005), retinopathy (p = 0.007), ischemic heart disease (p = 0.043), and neuropathy (p < 0.001). Development of new DFU is associated with higher age, longer duration of disease, and type I diabetes. LEA was associated with increased white blood cell (WBC), Creatinine and ulcer history for major amputation and ulcer history, fasting blood sugar (FBS), infection, revascularization history, and foot deformity, for minor amputation.

Niakan MH ，Dehghankhalili M ，Pourdavood A ，Vahidi A ，Nazemi S ，Piranviseh A ，Hasanvand K ... -  《-》