The totaled health risks in vascular events (THRIVE) score predicts ischemic stroke outcomes independent of thrombolytic therapy in the NINDS tPA trial.

To date, no ischemic stroke outcome prediction scores have been validated for use in the setting of both endovascular and non-endovascular stroke treatments. The Totaled Health Risks in Vascular Events (THRIVE) score has been previously validated in patients undergoing endovascular stroke treatment, and we hypothesized that it would perform similarly well in patients receiving intravenous tissue plasminogen activator (tPA) or no acute therapy. We compared the performance of the THRIVE score between patients in the National Institutes of Neurological Disorders and Stroke (NINDS) tPA trial and patients in the Mechanical Embolus Removal in Cerebral Ischemia (MERCI) trials of endovascular stroke treatment. The predictive performance of the THRIVE score was compared using receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. In the NINDS cohort, separate analyses were also performed for patients receiving tPA versus those receiving placebo. ROC curve analysis revealed a good prediction of outcomes across the range of THRIVE scores in both the NINDS and MERCI datasets. As we have previously found in the MERCI datasets, the THRIVE score, which encompasses the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score, age, and chronic disease burden, was a better predictor of outcomes than NIHSS and age alone in the NINDS trial dataset. THRIVE score and tPA administration both strongly predicted outcome, but these effects were statistically independent. The THRIVE score provides accurate prediction of long-term neurologic outcomes in patients with acute ischemic stroke regardless of treatment modality. Both the THRIVE score and tPA administration predict outcome, but the THRIVE score does not influence the impact of tPA on outcome, and tPA administration does not influence the impact of THRIVE score on outcome.

Kamel H ，Patel N ，Rao VA ，Cullen SP ，Faigeles BS ，Smith WS ，Flint AC ... -  《-》

The THRIVE score predicts symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage after intravenous tPA administration in SITS-MOST.

The Totaled Health Risks in Vascular Events (THRIVE) score is a clinical prediction score that predicts ischemic stroke outcomes in patients receiving intravenous tissue plasminogen activator, endovascular stroke treatment, or no acute therapy. We have previously found an association between THRIVE and risk of post-tissue plasminogen activator symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage in the National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke (NINDS) tissue plasminogen activator trial and risk of radiographic hemorrhage in Virtual International Stroke Trials Archive. The study aims to validate the relationship between THRIVE and symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage among tissue plasminogen activator-treated patients in the large Safe Implementation of Thrombolysis in Stroke - Monitoring Study (SITS-MOST). This is a retrospective analysis of the prospective SITS-MOST to examine the relationship between THRIVE and symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage after tissue plasminogen activator treatment. Symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage after tissue plasminogen activator was defined according to each of three standard definitions: the NINDS, European Cooperative Acute Stroke Study (ECASS), and Safe Implementation of Thrombolysis in Stroke (SITS) criteria. Multivariable logistic regression was used to confirm the relationship of THRIVE and individual THRIVE components with the risk of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage and to examine the relationship of THRIVE, symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage, and functional outcome. The odds ratio for symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage at each increased level of THRIVE score is 1·34 (95% CI 1·27 to 1·41, P < 0·001) for symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage by NINDS criteria, 1·36 (95% CI 1·27 to 1·46, P < 0·001) for symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage by ECASS criteria, and 1·21 (95% CI 1·09 to 1·36, P < 0·001) for symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage by SITS criteria. In receiver-operator characteristics analysis, the C-statistic for THRIVE prediction of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage was 0·65 (95% CI 0·62 to 0·67) for symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage by NINDS criteria, 0·66 (95% CI 0·63 to 0·69) for symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage by ECASS criteria, and 0·61 (95% CI 0·56 to 0·66) for symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage by SITS criteria. Each component of the THRIVE score predicts the risk of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage, with independent impact of each component in multivariable analysis. The THRIVE score predicts the risk of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage after intravenous tissue plasminogen activator administration. This external validation of the relationship between THRIVE and symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage in a prospective study further strengthens the role of the THRIVE score in the prediction of poststroke outcomes.

Flint AC ，Gupta R ，Smith WS ，Kamel H ，Faigeles BS ，Cullen SP ，Rao VA ，Bath PM ，Wahlgren N ，Ahmed N ，Donnan GA ，SITS International and VISTA-plus investigators ... -  《-》

Validation of the Totaled Health Risks In Vascular Events (THRIVE) score for outcome prediction in endovascular stroke treatment.

We recently developed the Totaled Health Risks In Vascular Events (THRIVE) score to predict outcomes after endovascular stroke treatment. The THRIVE score, which incorporates age, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score, and three medical comorbidities (hypertension, diabetes mellitus, and atrial fibrillation), was developed using data from the Mechanical Embolus Removal in Cerebral Ischemia (MERCI) and Multi MERCI trials. We set out to perform external validation of the THRIVE score using data from the largest registry of endovascular stroke treatment performed to date, the Merci Registry. We compared the performance of the THRIVE score in two different data sets: the development cohort (the MERCI and Multi MERCI trials, n = 305) and a validation cohort (the Merci Registry, a prospective multicenter registry of patients undergoing endovascular stroke treatment, n = 1000). We examined the predictive utility of the THRIVE score across the range of clinical outcomes and used receiver-operator characteristics curve analysis to compare score performance in the two data sets. The THRIVE score predicted good outcome, death, and the full range of the modified Rankin Scale in a similar fashion between the MERCI trials and the Merci Registry. Receiver-operator characteristics curve comparisons showed no statistically significant difference in the performance of the THRIVE score between the two data sets: for good outcome, the receiver-operator characteristics area under the curve was 0·293 for the MERCI trials and 0·266 for the Merci Registry (P = 0·47) and for death, the receiver-operator characteristics area under the curve was 0·692 for the MERCI trials and 0·717 for the Merci Registry (P = 0·48). The THRIVE score and vessel recanalization were also found to be independent and unrelated predictors of clinical outcome. The THRIVE score reliably predicts outcomes after endovascular stroke treatment and may be useful as a clinical prognostic tool and to perform severity adjustments in stroke clinical research.

Flint AC ，Kamel H ，Rao VA ，Cullen SP ，Faigeles BS ，Smith WS ... -  《-》

THRIVE score predicts ischemic stroke outcomes and thrombolytic hemorrhage risk in VISTA.

Flint AC ，Faigeles BS ，Cullen SP ，Kamel H ，Rao VA ，Gupta R ，Smith WS ，Bath PM ，Donnan GA ，VISTA Collaboration ... -  《-》

Preclusion of ischemic stroke patients from intravenous tissue plasminogen activator treatment for mild symptoms should not be based on low National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale Scores.

Intravenous tissue plasminogen activator (IV tPA) improves neurologic outcome after stroke, but is not recommended for patients with minor neurologic deficits commonly classified by a lower cutoff on the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS). Because not all stroke signs are captured on the NIHSS, the use of a strict cutoff may exclude functionally impaired stroke patients from IV tPA treatment. We described functional impairment, safety, and clinical outcome in patients derived from our hospital thrombolysis database who had stroke that was considered disabling despite a neurologic deficit that was considered mild. We used 2 cutoffs: NIHSS score ≤ 4 and ≤ 3. Functional impairment was assessed with the modified Rankin Scale (mRS). Between 2008 and 2011, a total of 670 acute ischemic stroke patients received IV tPA in our institution. 107 (16%) of these patients presented with a NIHSS score ≤ 4; 65 (10%) patients presented with a NIHSS score ≤ 3. All of these patients were considered functionally impaired (mRS score ≥ 2). The most frequent symptoms were language impairment (two-thirds), distal (hand) paresis (one-third), and gait disorder in both groups. Symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage occurred in 1 patient with a NIHSS score of 4 (1%). Despite IV tPA therapy, 26% had a nonfavorable outcome (mRS score 0-1) after 3 months, and 52% had persisting symptoms in both groups. Language impairment, distal (hand) paresis, and gait disorder are common disabling deficits in patients with low NIHSS scores. Judgment of whether a stroke is disabling should not be based on the NIHSS score but on the assessment of the individual neurologic deficits and their impact on functional impairment.

Wendt M ，Tütüncü S ，Fiebach JB ，Scheitz JF ，Audebert HJ ，Nolte CH ... -  《-》