Arterial stiffness and endothelial dysfunction independently and synergistically predict cardiovascular and renal outcome in patients with type 1 diabetes.

To evaluate whether pulse pressure alone or with placental growth factor as estimates of arterial stiffness and endothelial dysfunction, predicts mortality, cardiovascular disease and progression to end-stage renal disease in patients with Type 1 diabetes. Prospective, observational study, median (range) follow-up 8 (0-13) years, 900 patients with Type 1 diabetes, 458 with diabetic nephropathy, mean ± SD age 44 ± 11 years. During follow-up, we recorded 178 (20%) all-cause deaths, 109 (12%) cardiovascular deaths, 213 (24%) cardiovascular events and 73 (16%) progressed to end-stage renal disease. Elevated pulse pressure predicted all-cause and cardiovascular mortality and cardiovascular events [Hazard Ratio (HR) (95% CI) per 10 mmHg increase]: HR 1.2 (1.1-1.3), 1.3 (1.2-1.5) and 1.2 (1.1-1.3), P<0.001 (adjusted for sex, age, HbA(1c) , cholesterol, diastolic blood pressure, creatinine, smoking, previous cardiovascular disease and nephropathy status). Furthermore, pulse pressure predicted the development of end-stage renal disease in patients with diabetic nephropathy: HR 1.2 (1.1-1.4), P=0.011 (adjusted for sex, age, HbA(1c) , cholesterol, diastolic blood pressure, previous cardiovascular disease and glomerular filtration rate). In a two-hit model, patients with pulse pressure and placental growth factor levels above the median vs. below the median had increased risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, cardiovascular events and progression to end-stage renal disease: adjusted HRs 2.3 (1.2-4.2), 4.2 (1.6-11.0), 2.3 (1.3-4.1) and 3.5 (1.0-11.8),P<0.05. Elevated pulse pressure independently predicts mortality, cardiovascular events and progression to end-stage renal disease in patients with Type 1 diabetes. Placental growth factor adds to the predictive value of pulse pressure on cardiovascular and renal outcome.

Theilade S ，Lajer M ，Jorsal A ，Tarnow L ，Parving HH ，Rossing P ... -  《-》

Evaluation of placental growth factor and soluble Fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 as predictors of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients with Type 1 diabetes with and without diabetic nephropathy.

Placental growth factor is a vascular endothelial growth factor involved in angiogenesis, vascular inflammation and plaque formation. Soluble Fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 is a decoy receptor for placental growth factor, reducing its activity. The aim of this study is to evaluate the predictive value of placental growth factor and soluble Fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 in relation to all-cause and cardiovascular mortality and decline in kidney function in Type 1 diabetes. This was a prospective, observational follow-up study with 8 (0-13) years [median (range)] of follow-up, including patients with Type 1 diabetes, of whom 458 had diabetic nephropathy [278 men; age 42 ± 11 years (mean ± sd), diabetes duration 28 ± 9 years, glomerular filtration rate 76 ± 33 ml min(-1) 1.73 m(-2) ] and 442 had long-standing normoalbuminuria (234 men; age 45 ± 12 years, diabetes duration 28 ± 10 years). Placental growth factor and soluble Fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 levels measured at baseline were higher in patients with diabetic nephropathy compared with patients with long-standing normoalbuminuria [median (range)] 15 (4-131) vs. 11 (7-64) ng/l, (P < 0.001) and 86 (42-3462) vs. 77 (43-1557) ng/l (P < 0.001), respectively. In patients with diabetic nephropathy, high levels of placental growth factor predicted all-cause and cardiovascular mortality [hazard ratio 1.94 (1.16-3.24) and hazard ratio 2.91 (1.45-5.85)] after adjustment for sex, age, smoking, systolic blood pressure, HbA(1c) , cholesterol, glomerular filtration rate and previous cardiovascular disease. High levels of placental growth factor predicted increased risk of end-stage renal disease [hazard ratio 2.77 (1.47-5.14)], but covariate adjustments attenuated the association [hazard ratio 1.89 (0.91-3.95)]. Among patients with long-standing normoalbuminuria, placental growth factor levels predicted fatal and non-fatal cardiovascular events [hazard ratio 1.97 (1.03-3.76)], but not all-cause mortality. Baseline soluble Fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 levels did not predict outcome in either group after adjustment. Placental growth factor is elevated in patients with Type 1 diabetes and diabetic nephropathy and predicts all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, but not deterioration of kidney function.

Theilade S ，Lajer M ，Jorsal A ，Tarnow L ，Parving HH ，Rossing P ... -  《-》

Central hemodynamics are associated with cardiovascular disease and albuminuria in type 1 diabetes.

We sought to investigate associations between central hemodynamic parameters (estimated from radial pulse wave analyses (PWAs)), cardiovascular disease (CVD), and albuminuria in type 1 diabetes. We conducted an observational study of 636 type 1 diabetes patients. Central hemodynamics were measured by PWA as central aortic systolic pressure (CASP), central aortic pulse pressure (CPP), central aortic diastolic pressure (CADP), and subendocardial viability ratio (SEVR). CVD included revascularization, myocardial infarction, peripheral arterial disease, and stroke. Albuminuria was urinary albumin excretion rate ≥30 mg/24 hours. We computed standardized odds ratios (ORs) adjusted for sex, age, mean arterial pressure (MAP), heart rate, height, estimated glomerular filtration rate, glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) total cholesterol, antihypertensive medication, and smoking. At follow-up, development of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and mortality was traced through electronic medical records. Patients were aged a mean of 54±13 years, and 289 (45%) were women. The mean ± SD was 118±17 mm Hg for CASP, 75±10 mm Hg for CADP, 43±14 mm Hg for CPP, and 150±32 for SEVR. In fully adjusted models, increased CASP and CPP and decreased CADP and SEVR were associated with presence of CVD (n = 132; P ≤ 0.02) and presence of albuminuria (n = 335; P < 0.001). During follow-up, median (range) (2.8 (0.7-3.8) years), SEVR predicted ESRD or mortality combined (n = 26) after adjustment for sex, age, and MAP (P = 0.001), whereas CASP, CPP, and CADP did not (P ≥ 0.13). In type 1 diabetes patients, increased CASP and CPP and decreased CADP and SEVR were independently associated with history of CVD and albuminuria. Furthermore, SEVR predicted mortality and ESRD during follow-up. Future studies are needed to determine whether targeting central hemodynamics improves outcome.

Theilade S ，Hansen TW ，Rossing P 《-》

Soluble CD40 ligand is elevated in type 1 diabetic nephropathy but not predictive of mortality, cardiovascular events or kidney function.

Lajer M ，Tarnow I ，Michelson AD ，Jorsal A ，Frelinger AL ，Parving HH ，Rossing P ，Tarnow L ... -  《-》

Soluble Urokinase Plasminogen Activator Receptor Predicts Cardiovascular Events, Kidney Function Decline, and Mortality in Patients With Type 1 Diabetes.

Soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) is an important inflammatory biomarker implicated in endothelial and podocyte dysfunction. However, suPAR's predictive qualities for complications in type 1 diabetes have yet to be determined. We investigated the prognostic value of suPAR for the development of cardiovascular events, decline in renal function, and mortality in patients with type 1 diabetes. We included 667 patients with type 1 diabetes with various degrees of albuminuria in a prospective study. End points were cardiovascular events (cardiovascular death, nonfatal acute myocardial infarction, nonfatal stroke, or coronary or peripheral arterial interventions), estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline ≥30%, progression from lower to higher albuminuric state, development of end-stage renal disease (ESRD), and mortality. Follow-up was 5.2-6.2 years. Results were adjusted for known risk factors. Hazard ratios (HRs) are presented per doubling of suPAR with 95% CI. Relative integrated discrimination improvement (rIDI) was calculated. Quantification of suPAR was available in all participants; median (interquartile range) was 3.4 ng/mL (2.7-4.5). The adjusted HR (95% CI) for cardiovascular events (n = 94), progression in albuminuria (n = 36), eGFR decline (n = 93), ESRD (n = 23), and mortality (n = 58) were 3.13 (1.96-5.45, P < 0.001), 1.27 (0.51-3.19, P = 0.61), 2.93 (1.68-5.11, P < 0.001), 2.82 (0.73-11.9, P = 0.13), and 4.13 (1.96-8.69, P < 0.001), respectively. rIDI was significant for cardiovascular events (22.6%, P < 0.001), eGFR decline (14.4%, P < 0.001), and mortality (23.9%, P < 0.001). In patients with type 1 diabetes and a broad range of albuminuria, a higher level of suPAR is a significant and independent risk factor for cardiovascular events, decline in eGFR ≥30%, and mortality. In addition, suPAR contributes significantly to discrimination for the end points.

Rotbain Curovic V ，Theilade S ，Winther SA ，Tofte N ，Eugen-Olsen J ，Persson F ，Hansen TW ，Jeppesen J ，Rossing P ... -  《-》