Patients with a first symptomatic unprovoked deep vein thrombosis are at higher risk of recurrent venous thromboembolism than patients with a first unprovoked pulmonary embolism.

Previous studies are mixed as to whether patients with unprovoked pulmonary embolism (PE) have a higher rate of venous thromboembolism (VTE) recurrence after anticoagulation is discontinued than patients with unprovoked deep vein thrombosis (DVT). To determine whether patients with unprovoked PE have a higher rate of VTE recurrence than patients with unprovoked DVT in a prospective multicenter cohort study. Six hundred and forty-six patients with a first episode of symptomatic unprovoked VTE were treated with heparin and subsequent oral anticoagulation for 5-7 months, and were followed every 6 months for recurrent VTE after their anticoagulant therapy was discontinued. Of 646 patients, 194 had isolated PE, 339 had isolated DVT, and 113 had both DVT and PE. After a mean of 18 months of follow-up, there were 91 recurrent VTE events (9.5% annualized risk of recurrent VTE in the total population). The crude recurrent VTE rate for the isolated PE, isolated DVT and DVT and PE groups were 7.7%, 16.5% and 17.7%, respectively. The relative risk of recurrent VTE for isolated DVT vs. isolated PE was 2.1 (95% confidence interval 1.2-3.7). This study has demonstrated that patients with a first episode of unprovoked isolated DVT are 2.1 times more likely to have a recurrent VTE episode than patients with a first episode of unprovoked isolated PE. These findings need to be considered when determining the optimal duration of anticoagulant therapy for patients with unprovoked VTE.

Kovacs MJ ，Kahn SR ，Wells PS ，Anderson DA ，Chagnon I ，LE Gal G ，Solymoss S ，Crowther M ，Perrier A ，Ramsay T ，Betancourt MT ，White RH ，Vickars L ，Rodger MA ... -  《-》

The risk of recurrent venous thromboembolism in patients with unprovoked symptomatic deep vein thrombosis and asymptomatic pulmonary embolism.

Jiménez D ，Díaz G ，Marín E ，Vidal R ，Sueiro A ，Yusen RD ... -  《THROMBOSIS AND HAEMOSTASIS》

The long-term recurrence risk of patients with unprovoked venous thromboembolism: an observational cohort study.

Essentials Long-term recurrence risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) is uncertain. We performed a prospective cohort study of 839 patients with first unprovoked VTE. VTE recurrence risk is high, particularly in men with proximal thrombosis or pulmonary embolism. Sex and VTE site determine the recurrence risk and should be considered for patient counseling. Background The long-term recurrence risk (ltRR) of venous thromboembolism (VTE) is uncertain. Objective To assess the ltRR of patients with first unprovoked VTE. Patients/methods Patients were classified into three categories: distal deep vein thrombosis (DVT), proximal DVT or pulmonary embolism (PE), that is, PE associated with DVT or isolated PE. Patients with major thrombophilia or antithrombotic therapy were excluded. The endpoint was recurrent symptomatic VTE. Results A total of 839 patients were followed for a median of 7.7 years. VTE recurred in 263 patients (31%). After 10 and 20 years, the cumulative ltRR was 32% (95% confidence interval [CI], 29-36) and 44% (95% CI, 38-49) with 3.9 (95% CI, 3.3-4.6) and 3.3 (95% CI, 2.7-4.0) events per 100 patient-years, respectively. The adjusted hazard ratio was 2.1 (95% CI, 1.4-3.2) and 2.1 (95% CI, 1.4-3.2) for patients with proximal DVT or PE compared with patients with distal DVT and was 2.1 (95% CI, 1.6-2.9) for men compared with women. At 10 years, 4.7 (95% CI, 3.8-5.8) events per 100 patient-years occurred in men with proximal DVT or PE, 2.4 (95% CI, 1.2-4.4) in men with distal DVT, 1.9 (95% CI, 1.2-2.8) in women with proximal DVT or PE and 0.9 (95% CI, 0.2-1.9) in women with distal DVT. Conclusion The ltRR of patients with first unprovoked VTE is high and dependent upon sex and VTE site.

Kyrle PA ，Kammer M ，Eischer L ，Weltermann A ，Minar E ，Hirschl M ，Heinze G ，Eichinger S ... -  《-》

The risk of recurrent venous thromboembolism after discontinuing anticoagulation in patients with acute proximal deep vein thrombosis or pulmonary embolism. A prospective cohort study in 1,626 patients.

Prandoni P ，Noventa F ，Ghirarduzzi A ，Pengo V ，Bernardi E ，Pesavento R ，Iotti M ，Tormene D ，Simioni P ，Pagnan A ... -  《-》

Clinical outcomes after discontinuing anticoagulant therapy in patients with first unprovoked venous thromboembolism.

The duration of anticoagulation for a first episode of unprovoked venous thromboembolism (VTE) should balance the likelihood of VTE recurrence against the risk of major bleeding. Analyze rates and case-fatality rates (CFRs) of recurrent VTE and major bleeding after discontinuing anticoagulation in patients with a first unprovoked VTE after at least 3 months of anticoagulation. We compared the rates and CFRs in patients of the Registro Informatizado Enfermedad Trombo Embólica (RIETE) and Contemporary management and outcomes in patients with venous thromboembolism registries. We used logistic regression models to identify predictors for recurrent pulmonary embolism (PE) and major bleeding. Of 8261 patients with unprovoked VTE in RIETE registry, 4012 (48.6%) had isolated deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and 4250 had PE. Follow-up (median, 318 days) showed 543 recurrent DVTs, 540 recurrent PEs, 71 major bleeding episodes, and 447 deaths. The Contemporary management and outcomes in patients with venous thromboembolism registry yielded similar results. Corresponding CFRs of recurrent DVT, PE, and major bleeding were 0.4%, 4.6%, and 24%, respectively. On multivariable analyses, initial PE presentation (hazard ratio [HR], 3.03; 95% CI, 2.49-3.69), dementia (HR, 1.47; 95% CI, 1.01-2.13), and anemia (HR, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.57-0.91) predicted recurrent PE, whereas older age (HR, 2.11; 95% CI, 1.15-3.87), inflammatory bowel disease (HR, 4.39; 95% CI, 1.00-19.3), and anemia (HR, 2.24; 95% CI, 1.35-3.73) predicted major bleeding. Prognostic scores were formulated, with C statistics of 0.63 for recurrent PE and 0.69 for major bleeding. Recurrent DVT and PE were frequent but had low CFRs (0.4% and 4.6%, respectively) after discontinuing anticoagulation. On the contrary, major bleeding was rare but had high CFR (24%). A few clinical factors may predict these outcomes.

Gabara C ，Aibar J ，Nishimoto Y ，Yamashita Y ，Prandoni P ，Barnes GD ，Bikdeli B ，Jiménez D ，Demelo-Rodríguez P ，Peris ML ，Nguyen ST ，Monreal M ，Registro Informatizado Enfermedad Trombo Embólica Investigators ... -  《-》