Predictive ability of direct genomic values for lifetime net merit of Holstein sires using selected subsets of single nucleotide polymorphism markers.

The objective of the present study was to assess the predictive ability of subsets of single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) markers for development of low-cost, low-density genotyping assays in dairy cattle. Dense SNP genotypes of 4,703 Holstein bulls were provided by the USDA Agricultural Research Service. A subset of 3,305 bulls born from 1952 to 1998 was used to fit various models (training set), and a subset of 1,398 bulls born from 1999 to 2002 was used to evaluate their predictive ability (testing set). After editing, data included genotypes for 32,518 SNP and August 2003 and April 2008 predicted transmitting abilities (PTA) for lifetime net merit (LNM$), the latter resulting from progeny testing. The Bayesian least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method was used to regress August 2003 PTA on marker covariates in the training set to arrive at estimates of marker effects and direct genomic PTA. The coefficient of determination (R(2)) from regressing the April 2008 progeny test PTA of bulls in the testing set on their August 2003 direct genomic PTA was 0.375. Subsets of 300, 500, 750, 1,000, 1,250, 1,500, and 2,000 SNP were created by choosing equally spaced and highly ranked SNP, with the latter based on the absolute value of their estimated effects obtained from the training set. The SNP effects were re-estimated from the training set for each subset of SNP, and the 2008 progeny test PTA of bulls in the testing set were regressed on corresponding direct genomic PTA. The R(2) values for subsets of 300, 500, 750, 1,000, 1,250, 1,500, and 2,000 SNP with largest effects (evenly spaced SNP) were 0.184 (0.064), 0.236 (0.111), 0.269 (0.190), 0.289 (0.179), 0.307 (0.228), 0.313 (0.268), and 0.322 (0.291), respectively. These results indicate that a low-density assay comprising selected SNP could be a cost-effective alternative for selection decisions and that significant gains in predictive ability may be achieved by increasing the number of SNP allocated to such an assay from 300 or fewer to 1,000 or more.

Weigel KA ，de los Campos G ，González-Recio O ，Naya H ，Wu XL ，Long N ，Rosa GJ ，Gianola D ... -  《-》

Accuracy of direct genomic values derived from imputed single nucleotide polymorphism genotypes in Jersey cattle.

The objective of the present study was to evaluate the predictive ability of direct genomic values for economically important dairy traits when genotypes at some single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) loci were imputed rather than measured directly. Genotypic data consisted of 42,552 SNP genotypes for each of 1,762 Jersey sires. Phenotypic data consisted of predicted transmitting abilities (PTA) for milk yield, protein percentage, and daughter pregnancy rate from May 2006 for 1,446 sires in the training set and from April 2009 for 316 sires in the testing set. The SNP effects were estimated using the Bayesian least absolute selection and shrinkage operator (LASSO) method with data of sires in the training set, and direct genomic values (DGV) for sires in the testing set were computed by multiplying these estimates by corresponding genotype dosages for sires in the testing set. The mean correlation across traits between DGV (before progeny testing) and PTA (after progeny testing) for sires in the testing set was 70.6% when all 42,552 SNP genotypes were used. When genotypes for 93.1, 96.6, 98.3, or 99.1% of loci were masked and subsequently imputed in the testing set, mean correlations across traits between DGV and PTA were 68.5, 64.8, 54.8, or 43.5%, respectively. When genotypes were also masked and imputed for a random 50% of sires in the training set, mean correlations across traits between DGV and PTA were 65.7, 63.2, 53.9, or 49.5%, respectively. Results of this study indicate that if a suitable reference population with high-density genotypes is available, a low-density chip comprising 3,000 equally spaced SNP may provide approximately 95% of the predictive ability observed with the BovineSNP50 Beadchip (Illumina Inc., San Diego, CA) in Jersey cattle. However, if fewer than 1,500 SNP are genotyped, the accuracy of DGV may be limited by errors in the imputed genotypes of selection candidates.

Weigel KA ，de Los Campos G ，Vazquez AI ，Rosa GJ ，Gianola D ，Van Tassell CP ... -  《-》

Genomic prediction of simulated multibreed and purebred performance using observed fifty thousand single nucleotide polymorphism genotypes.

Genomic prediction involves characterization of chromosome fragments in a training population to predict merit. Confidence in the predictions relies on their evaluation in a validation population. Many commercial animals are multibreed (MB) or crossbred, but seedstock populations tend to be purebred (PB). Training in MB allows selection of PB for crossbred performance. Training in PB to predict MB performance quantifies the potential for across-breed genomic prediction. Efficiency of genomic selection was evaluated for a trait with heritability 0.5 simulated using actual SNP genotypes. The PB population had 1,086 Angus animals, and the MB population had 924 individuals from 8 sire breeds. Phenotypic values were simulated for scenarios including 50, 100, 250, or 500 additive QTL randomly selected from 50K SNP panels. Panels containing various numbers of SNP, including or excluding the QTL, were used in the analysis. A Bayesian model averaging method was used to simultaneously estimate the effects of all markers on the panels in MB (or PB) training populations. Estimated effects were utilized to predict genomic merit of animals in PB (or MB) validation populations. Correlations between predicted and simulated genomic merit in the validation population was used to reflect predictive ability. Panels that included QTL were able to account for 50% or more of the within-breed genetic variance when the trait was influenced by 50 QTL. The predictive power eroded as the number of QTL increased. Panels that composed the QTL and no other markers were able to account for 50% or more genetic variance even with 500 QTL. Panels that included genomic markers as well as QTL had less predictive power as the number of markers on the panel was increased. Panels that excluded the QTL and relied on markers in linkage disequilibrium (LD) to predict QTL effects performed more poorly than marker panels with QTL. Real-life situations with 50K panels that excluded the QTL could account for no more than 20% genetic variation for 50 QTL and less than 10% for 500 QTL. The difference between panels that included and excluded QTL indicates that the predictive ability of existing panels is limited by their LD. Training in PB to predict MB tended to be more predictive than training in MB to predict PB due to greater average levels of LD in PB than in MB populations. Improved across breed prediction of genomic merit will require panels with more than 50,000 markers.

Kizilkaya K ，Fernando RL ，Garrick DJ 《-》

Genetic markers for lactation persistency in primiparous Australian dairy cows.

Good performance in extended lactations of dairy cattle may have a beneficial effect on food costs, health, and fertility. Because data for extended lactation performance is scarce, lactation persistency has been suggested as a suitable selection criterion. Persistency phenotypes were calculated in several ways: P1 was yield relative to an approximate peak, P2 was the slope after peak production, and P3 was a measure derived to be phenotypically uncorrelated to yield and calculated as a function of linear regressions on test-day deviations of days in milk. Phenotypes P1, P2, and P3 were calculated for sires as solutions estimated from a random regression model fitted to milk yield. Because total milk yield, calculated as the sum of daily sire solutions, was correlated to P1 and P2 (r=0.30 and 0.35 for P1 and P2, respectively), P1 and P2 were also adjusted for milk yield (P1adj and P2adj, respectively). To find genomic regions associated with the persistency phenotypes, we used a discovery population of 743 Holstein bulls proven before 2005 and 2 validation data sets of 357 Holstein bulls proven after 2005 and 294 Jersey sires. Two strategies were used to search for genomic regions associated with persistency: 1) persistency solutions were regressed on each single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) in turn and 2) a genomic selection method (BayesA) was used where all SNP were fitted simultaneously. False discovery rates in the validation data were high (>66% in Holsteins and >77% in Jerseys). However, there were 2 genomic regions on chromosome 6 that validated in both breeds, including a cluster of 6 SNP at around 13.5 to 23.7 Mbp and another cluster of 5 SNP (70.4 to 75.6 Mbp). A third cluster validated in both breeds on chromosome 26 (0.33 to 1.46 Mbp). Validating SNP effects across 2 breeds is unlikely to happen by chance even when false discovery rates within each breed are high. However, marker-assisted selection on these selected SNP may not be the best way to improve this trait because the average variation explained by validated SNP was only 1 to 2%. Genomic selection could be a better alternative. Correlations between genomic breeding values predicted using all SNP simultaneously and estimated breeding values based on progeny test were twice as high as the equivalent correlations between estimated breeding values and parent average. Persistency is a good candidate for genomic selection because the trait is expressed late in lactation.

Pryce JE ，Haile-Mariam M ，Verbyla K ，Bowman PJ ，Goddard ME ，Hayes BJ ... -  《-》

Differences among methods to validate genomic evaluations for dairy cattle.

Two methods of testing predictions from genomic evaluations were investigated. Data used were from the August 2006 and April 2010 official USDA genetic evaluations of dairy cattle. The training data set consisted of both cows and bulls that were proven (had own or daughter information) as of August 2006 and included 8,022, 1,959, and 1,056 Holsteins, Jerseys, and Brown Swiss, respectively. The validation data set consisted of bulls that were unproven as of August 2006 and were proven by April 2010 with 2,653, 411, and 132 Holsteins, Jerseys, and Brown Swiss for the production traits. Method 1 used the training animal's predicted transmitting ability (PTA) from August of 2006. Method 2 used the training animal's April 2010 PTA to estimate single nucleotide polymorphism effects. Both methods were tested using several regressions with the same validation animals. In both cases, the validation animals were tested using the deregressed April 2010 PTA. All traits that had genomic evaluations from the official USDA April 2010 genetic evaluations were tested. Results included bias, differences from expected regressions (calculated using selection intensities), and the coefficients of determination. The genomic information increased the predictive ability for most of the traits in all of the breeds. The 2 methods of testing resulted in some differences that would affect interpretation of results. The coefficient of determination was higher for all traits using method 2. This was the expected result as the data were not independent because evaluations of the validation bulls contributed to their sires' evaluations. The regression coefficients from method 2 were often higher than the regression coefficients from method 1. Many traits had regression coefficients that were higher than 2 standard deviations from the expected regressions when using method 2. This was partially due to the lack of independence of the training and validation data sets. Most traits did have some level of bias in the prediction equations, regardless of breed. The use of method 1 made it possible to evaluate the increased accuracy in proven first-crop bull evaluations by using genomic information. Proven first-crop bulls had an increase in accuracy from the addition of genomic information. It is advised to use method 1 for validation of genomic evaluations.

Olson KM ，Vanraden PM ，Tooker ME ，Cooper TA ... -  《-》