摘要：

The prognostic nutritional index (PNI) has been used to assess the immunonutritional status of cancer patients and can predict the prognosis of various solid cancers, and the serum alanine transaminase (ALT)/aspartate transaminase (AST) ratio (LSR) is considered a good predictor of liver injury. A retrospective cohort analysis was conducted to investigate the relationship between the prognosis of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients and LSR or PNI, as well as to combine these two indicators (LSR-PNI) for further prognostic analysis in ESCC patients undergoing radiotherapy (RT). In this study, 134 patients with esophageal cancer were retrospectively analyzed. The Chi-square test was utilized to compare count data, and univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were employed to identify independent risk and prognostic factors. Additionally, the combination of LSR and PNI (LSR-PNI) was analyzed. This study included a cohort of 134 patients, comprising 105 males with a mean age of 70.7 years and 29 females with a mean age of 76.3 years. Pathological examination categorized 41 cases as stage I-II and 93 cases as stage III-IV. The predominant treatment modality administered was intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) for esophageal cancer. Of these patients, 96 received radiation doses ≤ 54 Gy, while 38 were administered doses > 54 Gy. Radiation-induced adverse effects were observed in 67 patients, with the remaining 67 showing no such effects. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis revealed that elevated levels of the lymphocyte-to-serum ratio (LSR) and prognostic nutritional index (PNI) were significantly correlated with improved progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). The high-LSR group demonstrated longer PFS (14.4 vs. 9.3 months, p = 0.0469) and OS (19.9 vs. 13.7 months, p = 0.0315) compared to the low-LSR group, with respective 3-year survival rates of 18.4% vs. 12.7%. Similarly, patients in the high-PNI group exhibited superior PFS (13.9 vs. 8.9 months, p = 0.0071) and OS (19.0 vs. 13.5 months, p = 0.0002) compared to the low-PNI group, with 3-year survival rates of 19.6% vs. 11.3%. Stratification based on combined LSR and PNI levels categorized patients into low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups. The low-risk group demonstrated significantly better PFS (17.8 vs. 10.1 vs. 8.2 months) and OS (24.1 vs. 14.3 vs. 12.9 months, p < 0.0001) compared to the intermediate- and high-risk groups, with 3-year survival rates of 24%, 14%, and 10.3%, respectively. Pretreatment LSR and PNI can serve as independent prognostic predictors for patients, with higher values of both being associated with improved progression-free survival and overall survival. Additionally, the combined LSR-PNI score effectively stratifies patients into distinct risk groups, offering a robust tool for predicting outcomes in clinical practice.

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