摘要：

The objective of this research is to analyze the clinical progression and identify prognostic factors among elderly patients with sepsis admitted to the emergency intensive care unit (EICU). A total of 211 patients with sepsis, aged 65 years or above, were selected for inclusion in the study. These patients were admitted to the EICU of the Emergency Department at Harrison International Peace Hospital Affiliated to Hebei Medical University from August 2018 to June 2023. The clinical features, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) Π score, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score, and routine laboratory test indicators were documented. All patients were followed up for 28 days. The factors associated with mortality in both the sepsis group and septic shock group were analyzed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, MedCalc software, and Kaplan-Meier curve. Among the 211 patients, 101 were identified as having septic shock. A significant elevation in blood urea nitrogen-to-albumin ratio (BAR) and inflammatory indicators, APACHE II score, and SOFA score was observed in the septic shock group compared to the sepsis group (P<0.001). Moreover, the sepsis group exhibited a higher proportion of males (P=0.002), while there was no statistically significant difference in age (P=0.467). Further analysis revealed that BAR within 24 h after admission exhibited a positive correlation with infection indicators procalcitonin (PCT) and C-reactive protein (CRP), as well as disease severity scores APACHE Π and SOFA. Additionally, BAR was found to be positively associated with the 28-day mortality rate in patients with sepsis (r = 0.169, P=0.001). The results of the ROC curve analysis showed that BAR exhibited the highest predictive capability for 28-day mortality in elderly patients with sepsis who were admitted to the EICU (AUC=0.614). The Kaplan-Meier survival curve, which identified the optimal cut-off value (≥0.3) of BAR as the most accurate predictor of 28-day mortality in this individual, revealed a significantly higher mortality rate among patients with BAR≥0.3 (χ2 = 12.340, P=0.000). The elderly patients with sepsis in the EICU are generally over the age of 70, with a higher prevalence of males than females, and the albumin level is generally low on admission. Furthermore, BAR is significantly and positively correlated with infectious indexes and has a high predictive value for their mortality outcomes.

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